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  • Europe is toast,,, no escape

    My computer was successfully attacked. There's no heat in this office. If I turned on the power switch and, pressed start, after 15 seconds, I got a message that the device was over-heated. Both fans were on. There was other related stuff. I STILL don't know what my password here is.
    I'm running an I5 now. I'm using LINUX and UBUNTU. This has saved me before when a cyber attack window showed up. I hit power real quick and, it didn't get hold of me. My 20 year old (at least) dinosaur had a couple of organ transplants but, it was still pretty bad.

    Back to the topic of the thread.
    The finance sector is strong but, the rest of the economy is screwed.
    "It does seem to me that he is trying to deflect people from looking at Europe and pointing his finger at the Fed. The Fed is compelled to be the man in the middle because banks have withdrawn from lending to banks because they do not know who has the risk with Europe."
    "This is not Quantitative Easing, which is lowering interest rates and stimulating the economy. The Fed is trying to prevent short-term rates from rising because there is a liquidity crisis created by banks refusing to participate in the repo market."
    The BS runs deep here. QE is, by definition, Printing liquidity. It has no direct stipulation on interest rates.
    "The unannounced meeting between the Fed and Trump was a briefing on the Repo Crisis BECAUSE the real crisis cannot be discussed publicly. I have not been getting much sleep lately. This is a very serious crisis and all the BS on TV of these pretend analysts giving their two cents is really amazing. They are making up stuff and speculating because they have no idea how the global economy truly functions and they do not advise institutions. They do not understand the risks for year-end and calling this QE proves they do not understand what is taking place."
    The FED intends to inject $500 billion. What part of money printing do they NOT understand?

    I appreciate the severity of this crisis. Requests to attend board meetings I have only been available by phone. I simply cannot fly all over the place. I really wish I could just come out and spill the beans, but this situation is too critical at this point and I fear that if someone does not blink here, we are headed into a global political contagion.
    This is why a deal had to be tentatively arranged with China on trade. There are politicians out of the loop and this whole thing which is way too far above their heads to even grasp an understanding."

    Everybody is chasing yield. America has yield. If Powell lowers interest rates, yield and, fleeing capital don't come here. If he prints money to keep the banks solvent, investors stick around. BUT, at the same time, American markets suck capital OUT of Europe and China. The money printing isn't especially inflationary if it stays in the upper loop. Much of the money (contrary to Armstrong) is used to satisfy counter-parties to failing derivatives. NOBODY will talk about this.
    I don't know about blinking but, China is starting to fold.

    Comment


    • The message seems to be; $500 billion from the FED won't stop the repo crisis

      Tough times everywhere.
      ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero
      ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero


      "In other words, Powell echoed the general market consensus that just because nothing bad has happened to the repo market since September, that things are under control and there is nothing to be concerned about, and certainly no need to intervene proactively. Which means that Pozsar's worst case scenario is effectively greenlighted, one in which the Fed will have to react to turmoil in the market if and when the reserve shortage strikes in the coming days. As for whether the Credit Suisse strategist is correct, earlier we laid out the two key things to watch into year end to see if the doomsday prediction is coming true.

      So who will be right: Powell or Poszar? The answer will be revealed in the coming days."
      ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero


      We Have No Reason to Believe 5G Is Safe - Scientific American
      Well, it's official. Scientific American, the once-reputable publication, will publish absolutely anything. Just like The Huffington Post or InfoWars.

      FCC announces $9 Billion fund for rural 5G deployment


      Th Japanization of America

      The ticking is getting much louder.

      we don't need no stinkin cars

      Yeah, they're on a train loaded with explosives and, no brakes.

      California doesn't get hurricanes because the water is too cold to support them.

      Comment


      • No future for millennial workers,,, disappearing cash

        There has been a sea-change in the West. Socialist and communist groups all over the West have been ousted.
        Socialist Jeremy Corbyn to step down as leader of Labour
        How Labour Lost the Culture War - The Atlantic

        BoJo's Crushing Victory Shows People Are Rejecting Communism - 2020 Dem Donkeys Are Toast - Can Hillary & Pete Pull The Party Back From The Bolshevik Abyss?
        Impeachment Ringleaders Quietly Panic As Moderate Democrats Bail
        "Fu*k Boris" - Antifa Protesters Clash With Police Outside Downing Street As Furious Leftists Revolt


        All democracies eventually fail. When the people learn that they can just vote for a living, rather than actually working, They break the bank.
        "Fu*k Boris" - Antifa Protesters Clash With Police
        Outside Downing Street As Furious Leftists Revolt


        THEN, there is the other side of the story.

        https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-f...lennial-worker
        Pay Attention: Robots Are Killing The Millennial Worker
        ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero

        Life without purpose or family is the future of the millennials.

        No matter what you hear, China and China tariffs are not going to work out.
        Asset bubbles are brutal. The most difficult time to remain centered and focused is during their last stages as everyone around you is going nuts. Logic has been tossed out the window, sentiment is manic, and every narrative – the stories we hear and use to make sense of our world – is thoroughly ungrounded.


        Trump is playing China like a yo-yo. They can't make any plans for productivity because he changed his plan every week.

        GOV told us that GOV would be our life-long security blanket. Now, GOV is broke and, we lost our blanket.


        China's "Moment Of Reckoning" Arrives: $38BN State-Owned Giant Announces Largest Dollar Bond Default In Two Decades
        MAGA, baby. Too bad that Europe will be collateral damage. They just got too socialist.
        Repo-Market Turmoil: Are We Staring Into The Financial Abyss?Rubino Exposes The Central Planners: Desperate Acts By Clueless People
        ""Everything will be on the table and none of it will work..."
        When asked about the $1/2 trillion of year-end stimulation, Armstrong said that it wouldn't work.
        Canceling Debt And The Debate Over 5,000 Year Old Economic Policy
        "Could debt cancellation really create economic stimulus without causing a massive moral hazard?"
        Everybody who is owed money would get the shaft.
        Diamond Crisis Worsens As De Beers Signals Rough Times Ahead
        De Beers has spent the back half of the year slashing diamond prices...

        Millennials have no interest in diamonds and, little interest in gold.

        Greece To Help Tripoli 'Block Turkish Ships' As Libyan War Spills Into Mediterranean
        "I will sink your ships myself," Haftar's navy commander threatens Erdogan."
        That is definitely going to be a big problem.
        Americans Are Lonely, Miserable, & Depressed: The Legacy Of A Society That Has Rejected Family, Faith, & Patriotism
        That problem is coming more into focus as we lose GOV support.

        As. I've mentioned, ad infinitum, a dollar bill is a powerful instrument. It is a bearer bond and, money of zero maturity. It is illegal to mail U.S. currency. Logan airport has cash sniffing dogs.
        Hundreds Of Billions In Gold And Cash Are Quietly Disappearing
        The blob State.

        Comment


        • World economic collapse might be closer than we thought,,, FX

          Gresham's law states that the "best" currency will go into hiding. You can see that has ramped up in the last year. Armstrong calls for a crash of the world economy January 18. So, what gives? Why don't we see more visible signs that we are just weeks away from collapse? The REPO crisis was an indication that there just wasn't enough liquidity in the system. There is lots of liquidity, it's just that nobody will lend to troubled banks and funds. Warren Buffet has; $128 billion and growing: Warren Buffett's Berkshire cash puzzle

          Even at 10%, he wouldn't risk his cash.
          What has happened is that too many big funds have their cash locked up in illiquid
          assets. They need cash for day-to-day business. They don't trust each other and, won't loan. CONFIDENCE
          The REPO market is frozen solid.
          regulatory failures Yes, regulatory capture
          The banks should have been let go in 2008. This didn't happen and now, confidence and trust are things of the past. Same with morality,,, GONE

          December 12 2019
          This is an excellent vid explaining the nuts & bolts of the systemic problems.

          He projects that the liquidity shortage will move into the foreign exchange FX
          markets . That may not matter to you but, it is very important to worldwide trade.
          According to the Bank for International Settlements triennial report of 2016, the foreign exchange market cap averaged $5.1 trillion per day.

          OK, so the FX market freezes up. Who wins,,, who loses? The Russian Rouble is the safest currency because Russia already had their crash. They have zero GOV debt. Just the same, the Rouble just isn't traded much on FX markets.

          FX markets panic and freeze up. Where does liquidity flow? The Chinese Yuan is NOT a candidate because it isn't freely traded. That leaves the Euro, Pound and, Swiss Franc. The Japanese Yen is going to tap out early. That leaves only the Euro and dollar as being big enough to absorb all that liquidity looking far a safe haven.

          ABOUT THE EURO

          In Bizarre Admission, ECB Warns Its Policies Threaten Financial Stability, Could Lead To A Crash
          Speculation, the liquidity crisis moves into the FX markets. FX locks up and, nobody will touch the Euro. All those Euros that are stashed under the mattress lose most / all of their value.

          Armstrong asks, "will governments be barred from ever borrowing again?
          https://d33wjekvz3zs1a.cloudfront.ne...al-600x775.jpg
          Who would bar them? Who would enforce it? The FED has no army. The bankers have no army. The bankers could try to cut off government credit. Wouldn't that be a hoot.
          No, the GOV can just print money. Armstrong actually recommends that they do just that.
          Something is fishy here.
          51% of Americans receive a check from GOV. What will they do if the banks refuse to loan to the GOV? They will hang bankers from lamp posts, once again.

          Ron Paul talks about the FED and gold.
          Last edited by Danny B; 12-15-2019, 06:54 PM. Reason: Need another link

          Comment


          • The genesis of the REPO crisis

            A friend asked, how did the liquidity crisis get started? I'm sure that others would like to know also.
            So, Alan, this one's for you.
            The Elephant In The Room: Deutsche Bank's $75 Trillion In Derivatives Is 20 Times Greater Than German GDP



            Now, here is the important part. Here is a diagram of the counterparties to Deutsche bank derivatives.

            As various derivatives fail, those counterparties demand settlement.


            Inquisitive minds want to know where all the money from the REPO crisis is flowing. Look at the list of systemically banks that are counterparties.

            BIS Drops a Bombshell: Four U.S. Mega Banks Are Core of Repo Loan Crisis
            So, the most important banks are holding most of the failing derivatives.


            That conjures up a strange mental picture.

            The failures that originated at Deutsche bank require huge liquidity injections to keep systemic banks from defaulting further down the line to everybody else.

            Comment


            • Credit Bubble Bulletin : Q3 2019 Z.1 Flow of Funds: Repo Madness

              It's D-Day For The Repo Market: On Monday $100 Billion In Liquidity Will Be Drained - What Happens Next?
              "an imminent market crash and loss of control of overnight rates by the Fed would spark nothing short of QE4, sparked an unprecedented panic at the Federal Reserve, which just two days later unveiled a historic liquidity injection, in which the Fed promised to inject no less than $500 billion in the next 4 weeks to avert a catastrophic freeze in the repo market as we approach the year end "turn", which would consist not only of a continuation of the Fed's T-Bill POMO, but also a massive injection of nearly $500 billion in overnight and term repos in the coming days."
              "This also means that by Jan 14, the Fed's balance sheet would have grown by a cumulative $365BN in "temporary" repos, and together with the expanded overnight repos, and the $60BN in monthly TBill purchases, and by mid-January, the Fed's balance sheet, currently at $4.066 trillion, will surpass its all time high of $4.5 trillion!"
              "one which was supposed to launch QE4, or will the Fed's gargantuan liquidity injection still not be enough and lead to a collapse in the repo market."


              FED GOV and the CB use various market interventions to add liquidity OR, withdraw liquidity. This only works with electronic money. That is why the State does not want paper money in circulation. Previous episodes of hyperinflation involved runaway printing of paper money.
              Base money refers to money owned by banks and, CB money.
              Low-power money refers to most of the money supply that is loaned into existence. As long as the CB keeps the supply of base money at a minimum, hyperinflation is held at arms length. Technically, the REPO money is not inflationary. It is created,,, loaned out to desperate banks,,, destroyed when repaid. It was originally "overnight" money. Now, the terms are out to about 4 weeks. The CBs try to stimulate the economy by pumping in debt-money. The CBs try to hold back hyperinflation by limiting base money.
              The debt-money is burdened by an interest charge upon repayment. This is deflationary.
              The more debt-money that is created, the higher the interest burden.

              Non-Financial Debt (NFD) surged $835 billion during the quarter
              Yes, it did. Original debt had to be rolled over. This requires an ever-greater supply of liquidity to meet principle + interest + previous interest.
              This "bullet train" is not running on the level. Federal debt is expanding at an exponential rate. Just how long can this train climb at an ever-steeper angle?

              Hyperinflation, Money Demand, and the Crack-Up Boom
              "I am not saying that fiat money, once established on the ruins of gold, cannot then continue indefinitely on its own. Unfortunately … if fiat money could not
              Most people are unaware of the EXTREME DANGER posed by the Pharmaceutical Industry and their effort to force vaccines on the entire population by law and at




              7000 die of starvation every day
              836 million Indians survive on less than Rs.
              Over 20 crore Indians will sleep hungry tonight. Over 7000 Indians die of hunger every day. Over 25 lakh Indians die of hunger every year."
              I never did get that "crore" and "lakh" stuff. If India is going to slow down, things will get a lot worse.

              Comment


              • The Central Bank ruse is falling apart

                Big, Bad, bald Ben Shalom Bernanke admitted that the FED caused the 1929 crash. He said that the crash happened because the FED did not inject enough liquidity. The crash started with an AUSTRIAN bank. This time, it looks to be a German bank. Bernanke claimed that he could have forestalled the '29 crash with more liquidity. Armstrong has made it clear, the quantity of money theory is 8ull$hit.
                Notional liquidity is growing by $trillions. The big money in the upper loop told GOV, "give us lots of money and, we will create lots of jobs". They grew their bonuses and stock buybacks instead. The FED can create liquidity but, they control where it flows.

                Charles Hugh Smith,
                "A "market" that needs $1 trillion in panic-money-printing by the Fed to stave off a karmic-overdue implosion is not a market: a legitimate market enables price discovery. What is price discovery? The decisions and actions of buyers and sellers set the price of everything: assets, goods, services, risk and the price of borrowing money, i.e. interest rates and the availability of credit."
                "The U.S. has not had legitimate market in 12 years. What we call "the market" is a crude simulation that obscures the Federal Reserve's Socialism for the Super-Wealthy: "
                The apologists claim the bubbles must be inflated to "help" the average American, but that claim is absurdly specious. The majority of Americans "own" near-zero assets that earn income; at best they own rapidly-depreciating vehicles, a home that doesn't generate any income and a life insurance policy that pays off only when they pass away."

                The dirty little secret that nobody dares whisper lest the whisper trigger a self-reinforcing avalanche is that this Fed-manipulated "market" is illiquid: if any serious selling were to arise, there wouldn't be enough buyers to stave off a complete implosion of the bubbles.
                The Fed's game is to create the illusion of liquidity by being the buyer of last resort, only now the Fed is the only buyer. This is the toxic consequence of the Fed's 12 long years of Socialism for the Super-Wealthy:
                "Why has the Fed been forced to panic-money-print $1 trillion to stave off an implosion of their phony "market"? Moral hazard is coming home to roost, and the Fed is having a full-blown panic-attack because the Super-Wealthy (banks, corporations, financiers) have no fear that liquidity could dry up and markets go bidless"

                "If you want to understand how liquidity can dry up overnight and bids disappear, please read Mandelbrot's book The Misbehavior of Markets: A Fractal View of Financial Turbulence. The point Mandelbrot makes here is that markets are intrinsically unstable and prone to sudden, chaotic turbulence. In a legitimate market with intact price discovery"


                "But in our bogus Fed-controlled "market," buyers and sellers are supremely confident the Fed will always buy assets regardless of price, and so they trade accordingly: There are no limits on leverage, derivative positions, credit lines, stock buy-backs or currency (FX) swaps: the Fed has been reassuring the legalized looters that the sky is the limit, go ahead and gamble hundreds of billions of dollars, we'll buy your overvalued assets if things get dicey."
                Ah yes,,, but, what happens when derivative failures reach hundreds of $trillions?
                "The Fed's thorough destruction of price discovery and its elevation of moral hazard have created a monster that is about to devour the Fed's phony facade of a "market". It was all fun and games enriching the super-wealthy but now the karmic cost of the Fed's manipulation and propaganda is about to come due,
                oftwominds-Charles Hugh Smith: A "Market" That Needs $1 Trillion in Panic-Money-Printing by the Fed to Stave Off Implosion Is Not a Market

                BUT
                There are only certain instruments that you can drag in to the FED to hock for new liquidity.

                Panic is setting in and, everybody is trying to hock all the U.S. GOV paper that they can dig up.

                Central Banks have recently had an epiphany, Gold is the only asset that isn't somebody else's liability.

                London has loaned out all the gold that they held for safekeeping. As more of it is taken from their vaults by the legitimate owners, the vaults will run out.
                QUESTION: Martin- I am a recent new member and just finished reading the REPO Crisis Report. As an individual, not an institution, it was a steep price but

                Armstrong has been adamant. The politicians will NEVER act to stop the crisis. Truth be told, they don't have a fracking clue what to do. There is NO roadmap of what to do when automation takes all the jobs.
                The labor markets of the world have evolved. At one time, society demanded people with great physical strength. Today, it demand high intelligence. 16% of Americans have an IQ below 85. What should they do? Where will they fit into society?

                Armstrong claims that Europe must do something. He laments the fact that Europe did not bail out it's banks. Well, the FED bailed out the banks here. What good did it do?
                Bernanke claimed that he could hold back a depression. The CBs try to hold back price inflation by limiting the amount of increase in base money. They are fine with an increase in low-power debt money, though. The CBs created continuous price inflation that outran wage inflation. They are now powerless to do anything about stagnant wages.

                Comment


                • Italy is again helping a troubled bank. The government approved an emergency ordinance to support the Volksbank Popolare di Bari on Sunday and provided grants




                  "Over time, every fiat currency ever created has failed and always for the same reason: Governments become overextended (generally due to warfare), "
                  The US had joined both world wars late. In the early years, the US became the suppliers of munitions, equipment and vehicles for the two wars. And more to the point, they insisted on being paid in gold.

                  (It should be noted here that, as often as the US government and the Federal Reserve have tried to argue to Americans that gold is not really money, during wartime, the US would accept nothing else in payment for goods shipped to other countries.)"
                  "But along the way, weaknesses began to appear in the bubble. Oil producers such as Iraq and Libya announced that they would begin dealing in currencies other than the dollar. The US reacted swiftly, killing their leaders and destroying their governments.

                  Soon, Iran made the same decision and, this time, it was supported by India, China, Russia and even the EU. Additionally, both China and the EU created their own international payments systems (CIPS and INSTEX, respectively), bypassing the dollar."
                  Over time, every fiat currency ever created has failed and always for the same reason...


                  Crypto Ponzi Scheme; China Dominates Bitcoin Mining - Forbes
                  https://www.forbes.com


                  Did you hear that this also happened to gold?? Neither did I.


                  "The Sackler family-owned Purdue Pharma filed for bankruptcy as ... The Sacklers, who are Jewish, would cede control of Purdue"
                  No amount of money can make up for the millions of lives destroyed.


                  WHAT gold?

                  The Fed's Recent 'Not QE' Is 'Not Working' and People Are Starting to Notice
                  Iranian Professor Invents Polymer Nanocomposite Able to Reflect Electromagnetic Waves - Reports
                  Kinda cool !
                  French Pension Reform Commissioner Resigns Amid Protests - Reports
                  He is afraid that somebody, somewhere has a guillotine with his name on it.
                  Transport workers erect flaming barricades as France brought to standstill in massive strike - Vid


                  What is the real reason? Insane levels of credit creation in the third quarter of 2019.
                  The article has all the numbers. I seriously doubt that liquidity injections can hold off the crash until after the elections.
                  "So either this debt binge continues or liquidity dries up and financial assets get sold. Which means chaos of one kind or another is heading our way. "

                  Comment


                  • Planners, plotters and space war

                    The whole "green" agenda is a good idea because Mother Earth has taken a good thrashing in the last few decades. The globalists are trying to force their carbon plan through just to squeeze out more money. They don't care about doing anything positive for Earth. Their bank accounts are the only thing that they care about.
                    ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero

                    Armstrong, "The major trend on a broader basis is moving toward a steep cooling trend. The few years that saw rising temperatures were nothing more than a three-day reaction in market terms on a daily chart.

                    The major concern remains the broader long-term trend. The activists are trying to use the climate to force socialism down the throats of society to take over the global economy. That agenda has been sold so well that they have distracted society from the real climate threat that is unfolding before our eyes. "
                    On December 3, 1972, Brown University wrote to the president concerning the climate changing back to a potential Ice Age. Because our models have been divided

                    "On December 3, 1972, Brown University wrote to the president concerning the climate changing back to a potential Ice Age."

                    Fascinating vid about all the fires burning around the world. You hear nothing about fires in Africa.



                    NATO's Real Purpose: Welfare For The Military-Industrial Complex
                    ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero

                    It's no different in America.


                    Argentina has gone through a number of financial crises in the past 100 years and it looks like it is on the cusp of another one, Giambruno says.


                    China Tianjin Explosion Was Caused By Pentagon 'Rod Of God'
                    https://www.inquisitr.com

                    I don't think that the "planners" have thought this through.

                    Comment


                    • Summation,,, fighting back against MMT

                      Here is a great summation of all the various financial problems. I won't cite because all of it is worth reading.

                      Even Goldman Bristles As Junk Bond Rally Smashes All Records
                      "When the next recession hits, the downturn in the financial markets could be worse than the economic effects" - Vanguard"
                      Elderly In Japan Are Wearing Exoskeletons To Continue Working Into Old Age
                      Bank Of England "Hijacked" Audio Feed Was Used To Secretly Leak Confidential Information To Hedge Funds
                      BOJO will fix it.

                      Will Modern Monetary Theory Blow Up The Dollar?
                      The FED is monetizing 94% of GOV debt and, it can't stop. MMT would formalise GOV printing to pay it's bills. The bankers will find long and hard to keep GOV from creating debt-free money.

                      China Is Facing A $400 Billion "Liquidity Hole" In January
                      Females & Births, As Rudimentary As We Can Get
                      ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero

                      The US Stock Market Hasn't Been This Rich & Overbought Since 1933
                      Rickards: World On Knife-Edge Of Debt Crisis
                      Stocks Set For New All Time High On Trump Impeachment Day
                      Never Trust A Failing Empire

                      "when journalist do their job, the military industrial complex finds it difficult to lie its way through wars and failures..."

                      SoCal Millennials Are Piling On Most Credit Card Debt
                      Boeing 737 MAX Production Halt Will Slash A Third Off Q1 GDP

                      Krieger: "It's A Systemic Looting On A Massive Scale"
                      "Financial services as currently structured is the most pernicious, predatory and corrupt industry on earth..."
                      Bad Capitalism And Good Socialism
                      Senate Sends Mammoth $738BN Defense Bill To Trump's Desk, Creating Space Force

                      Virginia Activates Official Militia After Gun Confiscation Threats. Lawmakers Want To Make This A Felony

                      "As Virginia lawmakers prepare to pass a draconian gun control bill that would make most guns in the state illegal, Tazewell County has formed an official active militia as per the Second Amendment to the Constitution..."

                      The Trump effect, "10 Self-Evident Truths That 'We, The People' Have Spontaneously Come To Realize..."
                      ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero
                      Last edited by Danny B; 12-19-2019, 04:03 AM. Reason: jumped the gun

                      Comment


                      • Instead of never-ending progress, today’s kids face a world on the edge of collapse. What next?


                        The bond bubble,


                        :They" inflated the upper loop, hoping that trickle-down would help out the upper loop, without causing hyperinflation of prices in the lower loop. The inflation of the lower loop crosses over in anything that can be considered a "store of Value". Much of the money poured in residential real estate. Owner-occupied housing has barely gone up since 1985. Housing is unaffordable to may people. There is enough bleed-over of upper loop inflation moving into the lower loop that prices are rising at 6--10% (Shadowstats)
                        This wouldn't matter much of wages had seen some kind of inflation. It never happened.
                        The State and the CBs are now stuck in the unenviable position of printing new money to subsidise the upper loop, at the same time that they have to print new money to support the unemployed.

                        The stimulus required to keep the upper loop solvent has now reached insane numbers. MOST of this is due to the failure of derivatives originated by Deutsche bank.
                        ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero



                        Always stating the obvious when the edge of the cliff is behind us.

                        Always stating the obvious,,,

                        Always,,,

                        Said the pyromaniac,


                        The CBs have inflated the snot out of the upper loop. Only higher wages can inflate the lower loop.

                        I sincerely hope that cyber-war will replace kinetic war in the case of China.
                        The carbon tax was supposed to finance the implementation of one-world government. That didn't fly so, many millions of bureaucrats are looking for a new source of finance for their worthless paper-passing salaries & pensions.
                        European Parliament Adopts Resolution Supporting An International Digital Economy Tax
                        Last edited by Danny B; 12-20-2019, 03:49 AM. Reason: nistook

                        Comment


                        • Questioning the legitimacy of the State,,,, cheerleaders keep us from getting prepare

                          "To address the latter question, we need to remember that Fourth Generation war is rooted in a crisis of legitimacy of the state. As people shift their primary loyalty away from the state to a wide variety of other things, the state loses its monopoly on war and on social organization. And as those monopolies vanish, disorder spreads.

                          What we are seeing in spreading disorder is not Fourth Generation war itself. But it is a failure of the state. As Martin van Creveld argues in The Rise and Decline of the State, the state arose for only one purpose: to establish and maintain order and safety of persons and property. States that cannot do that lose their legitimacy."
                          The writer points out clearly that the cheerleaders have hidden so much for so long that very few people will be at all prepared.
                          In processing the flow of information about the goings on in the US, it is impossible to get rid of a most unsettling sense of unreality—of ...


                          A good article from Paul Craig Roberts and Michael Hudson,
                          Opinion -Neoliberal Economics Destroyed the Economy and the Middle Class
                          "that the Trump administration appeared in court as a friend of the Indian farmers and fishermen. The US Solicitor General, represented by Jonathan Ellis, rejected the notion that international orgnizations have absolute immunity. The Establishment exists on its immunity. Here we see the ultimate reason that the ruling Establishment wants rid of Trump."
                          The article has a lot of good information.

                          Charles Hugh Smith;
                          " The reckoning is coming, and everyone who counted on "eternal growth of borrowing" to stave off the reckoning is in for a big surprise.
                          We've used a simple trick to keep the status quo from imploding for the past 11 years: borrow whatever it takes to keep paying the skyrocketing costs for housing, healthcare, college, childcare, government, permanent wars and so on.
                          The trick has worked because central banks pushed interest rates to zero, lowering the costs of borrowing more as costs continued spiraling higher.
                          But that trick has been used up. The next step--negative interest rates--has failed to spark the "growth" required to pay for insanely overpriced housing, healthcare, college, childcare, government, etc."
                          " The reckoning is coming, and everyone who counted on "eternal growth of borrowing" to stave off the reckoning is in for a big surprise: revenues will plummet, incomes will plummet, lending will plummet, college enrolments will plummet, and tax receipts will plummet. Defaults will skyrocket, triggering a collapse in debt markets, housing markets and stock markets, all of which are totally dependent on the delusion that we can deal with soaring costs by borrowing more, forever and ever.
                          The smartest most experienced rats flee the ship at the first sign that "this sucker is going down." The complacent rats who believe that extending the line of "permanent growth" will track reality will lose the opportunity to exit before the panic, and they will pay the price for their delusional complacency."
                          oftwominds-Charles Hugh Smith: Skyrocketing Costs Will Pop All the Bubbles

                          Here is a dense but, good article on "gamma flip" It is a situation where a particular strategy in equity markets flips all your positions from positive to negative.
                          ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero


                          Italian banks were always a shaky business. They had $trillions in non-performing loans.

                          Italians are good at magic.


                          The banks need the opium.

                          Years ago, Nigel Farage got up in front of the European Union and told them that he was going to work to destroy the EU. They laughed at them. He gets the last laugh.

                          The eurocrats said that they can block Brexit and Boris.

                          "They" are fighting for a cash ban. Everything would be digital.

                          That would be great. You wouldn't have to sit down and work out how much you owed the government.
                          European Parliament Adopts Resolution Supporting An International Digital Economy Tax
                          "They" will figure out how much you owe.


                          NOT going to happen. China never carries through on their agreements.

                          Comment


                          • “Banking was conceived in iniquity and was born in sin. The Bankers own the earth. Take it away from them, but leave them the power to create deposits, and with the flick of the pen they will create enough deposits to buy it back again. However, take it away from them, and all the great […]
                            This is the sense in which our fiat-money, fractional-reserve system uses "debt-based money."


                            The Central Banks were created mainly to give financial support to non-producers. The producing economy does need a means of exchange. It is the non-producers that need an infinitely expandable means of exchange. Since un-backed currency only acts to convey information, it is easily corrupted by manipulators who create it out of thin air.

                            From the G-30, "Central banks were first established in the 17th century, with the primary purpose of providing war finance to governments and managing their debts."


                            Keynes and Burke tell us that we need continuous war to effect continuous stimulation of the economy. Shumpeter teels us that we must go around breaking windows to stimulate the economy. That is effected by continuous wars to destroy stuff that needs replacing. A "war on terror" gives us a war without end to give us stimulation without end. This situation seems to be coming to an end. The U.S. dollar is backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government. Well, the U.S. government is effectively bankrupt and, the FED is buying most of U.S. debt issuance.
                            What will be left standing when the credit collapse hits?

                            Comment


                            • Liquidity traps and speed bumps

                              Peter Schiff must not be getting enough attention so, he has gone out on a limb.
                              Peter Schiff: Why The Next Economic Collapse 100% on January 14, 2020?
                              Armstrong said on the 17-18. Maybe Schiff is trying to bump up close to Armstrong's date to get some of the attention.

                              The blob State in Europe sees a possible end of funding. They are now advocating spending many billions on "green Bonds" to fight global warming,,, and, finance their salaries.
                              QUESTION: Marty, what do you think about Legarde claiming the top priority of the ECB is climate protection?


                              "A report from China suggests that capital flows are fleeing from the region at a record pace. The State Administration of Foreign Exchange commented that the situation is critical in order to maintain market stability."
                              https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/m...ember-19-2019/
                              The Chinese communist mentality led them to attack Hong Kong for insubordination. Hong Kong is the 5th? largest banking center in the world. Chinese stupidity is forcing capital flight now that China needs it most. China made autonomy agreements with Hong Kong. Then, they broke them,,, figuring that Hong Kongers couldn't do anything about it.
                              Those inscrutable Chinese just look stupid.

                              "Unfortunately, when the U.S. and the global economy finally enters into a recession-depression, the asset values will crash while the debts remain.

                              GOD hath a sense of humor.

                              We saw this happen during the U.S. Subprime Housing Bust. After millions of Americans refinanced their homes by cashing in on the equity, they were upside down with their mortgages when real estate prices plunged. The brutal truth of the market is that the DEBTS will remain while ASSETS evaporate."

                              "The entire Political Circus from the LEFT or the RIGHT is a complete waste of time. If you have been watching the Impeachment hearings hoping and praying that President Trump is forced out of office, you are WASTING YOUR LIFE AWAY. If you are listening to the RIGHT or Alt-Media about all the conspiracies in regards to the DEEP STATE, you are WASTING YOUR LIFE AWAY.

                              The two political parties are not going to help you survive the next financial and economic collapse phase that is coming. Thus, the extreme Left AOC New Green Party and the extreme Right-Wing Divide and Conquer Regime of Global Domination will become totally meaningless when the ENERGY CLIFF arrives."



                              It will get everybody.

                              Pelosi is afraid to pass the impeachment on to the senate. Buyer's remorse?

                              Comment


                              • unregulated market played a significant role in the recent financial crisis. She also served as a Commissioner on the U.S. Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission from 2009 until early 2011, when the Commission issued its report on the causes of the 2007-2008 financial crisis and resulting economic crisis.

                                Brooksley Born argued loudly for the regulation of derivatives. She was ignored and silenced. Warren Buffet claimed that derivatives were "weapons of mass destruction"
                                The plan ALL ALONG was to threaten the financial stability and,,, get a government bailout.
                                So, where do we find ourselves now?
                                NY Fed Plans to Throw $2.93 Trillion Into Wall St Trading Houses Over Next Month - Almost $7 trillion in Just 3 months...In Trump's 'Booming Economy'!
                                The banks figured that; if they were indispensable to the survival of the economy, they would be bailed out regardless of their numerous criminal actions.

                                Armstrong characterizes the current situation as a ; breakdown of socialism.

                                "Japanese workers are strapping on special muscle-enhancing exoskeletons in order to continue working well into old age. ... One such company, Innophys, has built a suit that 'charges' by squeezing a hand pump 30 times to fill pressurised air-powered 'muscles' that are then used to augment the worker's natural strength."

                                That $939 billion isn't going to social support. It is going directly to the bankers. Armstrong would NEVER mention,,,, socialism for the bankers.

                                Cash-Strapped Chinese Banks Are Offering Pork To Lure New Depositors

                                The big banks don't have this problem.

                                The Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC) is a United States federally chartered corporation created by the Employee Retirement Income Security Act
                                The PBGC insures 42,000 pension plans.

                                Year in review,
                                Every year, friend-of-the-site David Collum writes a detailed "Year in Review" synopsis full of keen perspective and plenty of wit. This year's is no exception.


                                The European blob state just can't seem to find enough funds for all the blob entities. Remember, the bureaucratic overlay of the EU on top of existing bureaucracy reduced the GDP by 20%

                                Gold is boring. It just sits there.


                                GREAT, more "green shoots" just when we need them.

                                Comment

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