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  • Slouching Toward Okeefenoke - Kunstler

    There won't be a civil war. There is no place to draw the battle lines. It will be constant civil insurrection.


    Yep, record low prices at the same time as record low supply.

    Yep, you're going to be reading a lot about money-market funds running hither and yon.

    Close your eyes and, click your heels three times.

    The only way that they can get more dollars to do loan service is to sell us more stuff.


    There are NO reins on that horse.

    It is a little bit late to start worrying about that. The exit will be closed pretty soon.

    "That companies would be scrambling to repurchase their stock last month was not lost on one particular group of investors: the corporate insiders of the companies buying back their own stocks.

    According to data compiled by TrimTabs, insider selling reached $450 million daily in August, the highest level this year; on a monthly basis, insiders sold more than $10 billion of their stock, the most of any month this year and near the most on record.
    corporate insiders are ramping up share selling as the major U.S. stock market averages are at or near record highs," TrimTabs wrote in a note.

    In other words, as insiders and management teams authorized record buybacks, the same insiders and management teams were some of the biggest sellers into this very bid, which one would say is a rather risk-free way of dumping their stock"


    John Hussman once again shows excellent data to predict a 50-60-70% decline in the stock market. The data is great. I can't take issue with it. Armstrong shows sovereign debt completely collapsing. So, a 50% collapse of equities is a better deal than a 100% collapse of sovereign debt. Not only that, corporate bonds are looking TERRIBLE. There is a shift out of emerging markets. The money has to go somewhere.
    Current stock market capitalization is largely an artifact of speculative psychology, not reasonably discounted cash flows. Unless investors rely on eternal sunshine of the spotless mind – the assumption that current levels of extreme cyclical optimism will be permanent – they should not expect the associated valuation extremes to be permanent either.


    The banks made a killing before and after the 2008 collapse. They were in NO way motivated to reform. There was even more regulatory capture. Not surprisingly, this has set the system for an even bigger collapse.
    "Securities ended Q3 2008 at $8.070 TN, having about doubled from year 2000. The government agencies were integral to the mortgage finance Bubble - fundamental to liquidity excess,"
    "$7.544 TN during Q1 2012. Since then, with crisis memories fading and new priorities appearing, GSE Securities expanded $1.341 TN to a record $8.874 TN. Of that growth, $970 billion has come during the past three years, as financial markets boomed and the economy gathered momentum. A lesson not learned."

    "But overall global debt has surged: last year it was 217% of gross domestic product, nearly 40 percentage points higher - not lower - than 2007."
    "The big beasts are even bigger: at the last count America's top five banks controlled 47% of banking assets, compared with 44% in 2007, and the top 1% of mutual funds have 45% of assets."
    "Regulators pledged to clamp down. So did the shadow banks shrink? Not quite: a conservative definition of the shadow bank sector suggests that it is now $45tn in size, controlling 13% of the world's financial assets, up from $28tn in 2010"
    "I've never viewed the 2008 fiasco as a "failure of the free markets." It was instead an abject failure of policymaking - of government policy and central bank doctrine and methods."
    What do you expect when the parasites run the show?
    We're rapidly Approaching the 10-year Anniversary of the 2008 financial crisis. Exactly one decade ago to the day (September 7, 2008), Fann...

    America will be in there sooner or later.


    Secret Grand Jury Proceedings Underway Against Andrew McCabe; Witnesses Summoned
    The entertainment looks to be improving.

    U.S. GOV has cut way back on tax collection to give the economy a temporary boost. This has cut way back on FED GOV income.
    "The U.S. Government paid $40.5 billion in interest expense this July versus $28.7 billion for the same month last year. "
    "Total U.S. interest expense in 2017 was $458 billion while the amount paid this year is $455 billion and we still have two months remaining."
    Wait til Powell really gets the bit in his teeth.

    Comment


    • The spread of monetary sepsis

      The Central banks printed up an extra $250 trillion to temporarily rescue their member banks AND, all the various things that were considered to be stores of value (except gold). The problem came up that; how could all this wet-ink money be invested at a profitable rate of interest?
      ZIRP had been instituted so that the State could carry the public debt burden more easily. The extra $250 T created extra price inflation that wore down the returned interest on all investments. You had to get a few % interest just to preserve the value of your principle.

      This pushed a lot of liquidity into risky asset classes like junk bonds and emerging markets. Pension funds were especially fried because they had bought safe U. S. government debt. Some pension funds bought riskier public debt in EMs. The currency crash in places like Turkey has come back here to haunt / wreck domestic pension funds.



      This is a long article of doom-porn from many well known writers. BUT, the crash of the stock market has been imminent for years.
      ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero


      EVERYBODY who is anybody reads Martin Armstrong. Uncle Sam is cutting his income and increasing his debt. Armstrong predicts that it will all crash down (public debt). No matter how high the stock market goes, it's crash will be less than the bond market. Making crash predictions based on valuation is risky when there are $trillions of capital flight.
      COMMENT: Marty; Did you know that your site is listed in the top 20 economic sites in the world? You are in the top 20 with Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg,
      ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero

      Comment


      • ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero

        Aug 2018
        Total not in the labor force (in thousands) 94,494 96,157
        Do not want a job now(1) 88,641 90,622

        So, it is very difficult to find workers and, there are 90 million who do not want a job.
        Just imagine what would happen if we had universal basic income.
        political fragmentation "
        Part 2 of a three-part series on what it means to have a polarized electorate and a monolithic market. Today’s note: How do things fall apart in a monolithic market? Not with a bang but a whimper.


        World trade is starting to seize up. That weakens both currencies and bonds.
        ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero

        "Goldman estimates that the fading credit impulse and associated debt service costs will shave goods consumption growth by a whopping 3% in 2H 2018, resulting some time in late 2018 and early 2019 in the most negative print since the financial crisis. This, as shown in the chart below, would lead to the fastest slowdown in Chinese consumption this decade."
        ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero

        Yep, just one more facet of the credit collapse.

        "tariffs could trigger a domestic slowdown in shipping that would ripple through the transportation industry."
        ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero
        "Right now, the amount of money in government bonds and debt is distributed at a ten-to-one ratio against equities,"
        "The United States is the only game in town, said Armstrong. There is ultimately no safe place for large investors to park money to ensure a return of principle, Armstrong stated, other than the dollar and US-related assets. As a result, a massive amount of capital is flowing into the US right now."
        By FS Staff – Contrary to those continually predicting a stock market bubble and crash over the past 8-9 years, well-known market forecaster Martin Armstrong has been telling listeners that systemic problems overseas would continue to drive capital...


        Originally, social security was created to support widows and orphans. It supported people over 65 y.o. back when average life expectancy was 58.
        What started out as a good idea was a misunderstanding of human nature.
        Capitalism Encourages More Personal Responsibility - WSJ

        Socialism discourages personal responsibility.
        History shows that socialism brings misery to nations that adopt it ...
        https://www.washingtontimes.com/.../...s-misery-to-na...
        You really can't argue with this conclusion. All government is socialist because the State is a non-producer. If we take Armstrong's claim at face value, what happens to the people who currently depend on the state. How many people were born just because their parent(s) knew that the State would support them?

        How Socialism Destroyed the Family Structure | Armstrong Economics
        5 Ways Socialism Destroys Societies - Townhall
        Black Jobs Matter: How Socialism Has Destroyed Black Communities
        Why socialism always fails - AEI - American Enterprise Institute
        Socialism at war with marriage, family - Washington Times
        What Has Government Done to Our Families? | Mises Institute


        Socialism and the State have destroyed the family structure for a great number of people. A large part of our population is so insecure that they blindly follow anything or anybody. Witness the recent resurgence of the flat earth "phenomenon." Don't forget Niburu.
        The State promised to be our benefactor and our "security blanket" That job has gotten far too expensive. The collapse of socialism will leave many millions of people cast adrift. Moral relativism will give millions of lefties the justification to grab anything that you have.
        'Morality test' on topics like incest and puppy-killing judged 'not OK' by students' parents

        The pension crisis is bigger than the world's 20 largest economies
        This will be the biggest facet of the collapse of socialism.
        Plant a garden for your granny. BlS

        Comment


        • BS from the BLS,,, technostructure,,,

          This is a repost of 40 charts showing that employment in America is doing great.
          ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero

          Paul Craig Roberts throws a barrel of cold water on the BS reports.
          "The great mystery is how these jobs can possibly have been created when the Bureau of Labor Statistics Household Data (Table A) https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.a.htm reports that the civilian labor force declined by 469,000 in August from the level in the previous month (July); that employment declined by 423,000 in August from the previous month; and that 692,000 Americans dropped out of the labor force in August. Year over year (August 2017-August 2018) 1,531,000 Americans have left the labor force. This is inconsistent with a booming economy at full employment."
          interest rate swaps in the derivatives market. So FED GOV blatantly lies about employment to raise rates and attract foreign capital inflows. This crashes down Europe, China, et al. It's called beggar thy neighbor.
            In the autumn of 2008 events unfolded in Wall Street that the crushing majority of people around the world had been led to believe could never occur. It was the financial equivalent of watching the sun spinning out of control soon after it rose above the horizon. Humanity watched on in collective disbelief. The […]

          Varoufakis leans towards socialism in his writings. For all his brilliance, he is blind to the corrosive effects of socialism on the body politic.

          You can thank Powell for that. China in particular has a desperate need for capital to service it's enormous bubble. This will bring about bubble deflation.
          Blockchain, YES... Crypto, NO!

          Former Chief Economist of IMF Wants the Fed to Buy Stocks
          If you read the CAFR 1 website, the GOV informs you that they own $trillions in stocks. CAFR1 Home Page

          The bankers set up investment vehicles and draw in investors with money.
          The bankers use regulatory capture to get changes to the law.
          The bankers spring the trap on the investors and clean them out.
          The investors get cleaned out by a market crash that nobody could have predicted.
          The laws protect the bankers.

          Comment


          • CAFR1 Home PageThere are now more job openings than workers to fill them - CNN Money https://money.cnn


            The article is upbeat about us figuring a way out of this problem. Previously. machines had replaced man's arms. Now, machine are replacing his brain. I do not see any answer that is compatible with human nature.

            As far as support for all these displaced workers, there are only a couple of possibilities. Universal basic income or a Tobin tax. Both of these are heavily resisted by the corporatocracy. sadly, both of these are incompatible with human nature.
            A great number of the PTB have seen this coming for a long time. THAT is why we see such a widespread push towards socialism.
            Socialism too is incompatible with human nature as far as maintaining a viable economy.
            Even a degenerate capitalism produces more prosperity than the best socialism. Therefore, the task ahead cannot be to remove capitalism in favor of socialism

            The State has maintained productivity in the working class by constantly reducing our effective wages with taxes and currency / price inflation. The end effect was; the corporatocracy increased automation and, we reduced our reproduction rate. The looming default cascade will not settle the problem of the falling birth rate and increasing automation. It will not change human nature to be more robot like and, work without motivation.
            Even a robot tax will not solve the problem.
            Last edited by Danny B; 09-12-2018, 10:59 PM. Reason: mistook

            Comment


            • Rolling out the blockchain to enforce morality

              Probably the biggest problem today is that far too much of the economy is run by organized crime. The swamp is a loosely organised group of people, both elected and appointed and self-promoted. Morality is an easily ignored stumbling block. Douglas MacArthur said that without morality, it all comes tumbling down.
              Since so much of the world is controlled by the corporate mentality, there is no chance of morality making a reappearance.
              We're slowly moving into a post-colonial world. The war-mongers don't want to let go of control.
              How can the world institute accountability as an acceptable substitute for morality?
              The Bretton Woods agreement was a wonderful arrangement to prevent a State from hyper-inflating their bond market to finance a war. It failed because it depended on the honesty and morality of politicians.
              Gold previously served the role of limiting expansion of the bond market as a prelude to starting a war. The war-mongers will never willingly let gold make a reappearance. The East has it in mind to do exactly this. They must tame the bond-inflators.
              Various States regularly cheated on bonds and went off the gold standard when they were in the runup to war. The only way to prevent this is to institute instant accountability. This is where the blockchain comes in. I believe that the blockchain can bring accountability to all finance. That is what the East is concentrating on.
              How Beijing is building a blockchain empire | Asia Times

              Future-facing South Korea moves to full blockchain adoption | Asia Times
              Reading everybody including Jim Willie and FOFOA, et al, et al, one gets the idea that gold is an un-stoppable idea.
              OBVIOUSLY, there will be no gold-backed currencies. Gold can no longer serve that purpose. The gold needs to quietly come to rest in the bond market.
              The blockchain is like "double entry book keeping" It is just too useful to ignore. It ferrets out corruption. I'm sure that the Italians will be the last to adopt.
              The private markets are STRICT about efficiency. Eventually, the accountability demanded by private entities will be demanded in public entities.
              The more corrupt the institution, the more that they will resist the transparency of the blockchain.
              This is where the collapse of fracking comes in. We managed to fake it when we hit peak-cheap-oil. No longer. The R.O.W. wants to end our military adventurism. If we want oil, we will have to have accountability. The Pacific Northwest already depends on Russian oil. I believe that Trump is trying to lay the groundwork so that we don't have a huge interruption is petroleum deliveries.

              LOVE those tax cuts;
              "The federal deficit hit $895 billion in the first 11 months of fiscal 2018, an increase of $222 billion, or 32 percent, over the same period the previous year,"
              "revenue only rose 1 percent, failing to keep up with a 7 percent surge in spending" "Revenue from individual and payroll taxes was up some $105 billion, or 4 percent, while corporate taxes fell $71 billion, or 30 percent."
              Bullion dealer GoldCore provide award winning research for anyone seeking to excellent market coverage of the gold market and world economic events.


              Rahm Emanuel is getting out of Chicago as fast as he can,,, before it blows up.
              ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero



              The FED is desperate to raise interest rates that it can lower them later.

              Comment


              • happening as soon as later this year



                So, what is the French debt to GDP if you take out government spending?

                "Due to the high dependence of many economies around the globe on the US dollar, the Fed can no longer gear its monetary policy to the needs of the US economy alone. It can no longer ignore the consequences its monetary policy is most likely to have on other economies around the world. While the US economy may well need higher interest rates, many countries will have significant problems coping with US borrowing costs going up."
                USAGOLD's NEWS & VIEWS newsletter
                THAT is the whole idea and, it isn't an accident.

                The U.S. is doing a tax holiday to repatriate overseas funds. Keep in mind that the whole world needs dollars to service dollar-denominated debt.
                Some US$2.6 trillion of offshore funds are in the process of taking advantage of a one-off 14% tax holiday.USAGOLD's NEWS & VIEWS newsletter
                Where do these idiots get the idea that America is going to save the financial world?

                "The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) says offshore dollar funding has risen to US$10.7 trillion since the early 2000s, with a further US$14 trillion of global dollar debt hidden in derivatives."

                Powell is going to put them up against the wall.

                The strong dollar is crashing CBs and economies around the world. China said that they would refuse to take part in a new "Plaza Accord" where the CBs would sell dollars and buy weaker currencies. There is speculation that Trump could declare a national emergency and cheapen the dollar unilaterally. I really don't think that would be successful.


                While Italy and France will blow up in 12--18 months, it looks like Turkey will beat them. Erodgan has gone totally nuts. Maybe, he plans to just default anyway.

                This will make all the Turkish bonds held by Spanish and Portuguese banks
                unsaleable.


                America is the best looking horse in the glue factory.

                "In 2018, total high and upper middle income population growth will be +22 million persons or just half of that of the 1988 peak"
                "'88 when over 85% of the growth was among the under 65 year old population...in 2018, just 21% of the consumer nations population growth will be among the under 65 year olds,"

                So, the potential workforce is crashing. This, at the same time that pensions are shooting up. This is where the rubber meets the road as far as socialism is concerned. Socialism is financed through the bond markets. Social Security is holding non-negotiable U.S. Treasury bonds.
                U.S. public debt is slated to crash going in to 2020.
                Needless to say, the European States will be crashing first.


                I'm betting on Italian banks.

                This can be expected every time that the parasites get control of the printing press.


                Forget the dominoes. I want to see heads roll. Starting with politicians.

                So, raise the rates even faster.

                I'm glad to see Frau Merkel get kicked in the teeth.

                Merkel walks out of parliament as AfD leader slams her migration policies

                Brussels thinks that they are going to fine Hungary. The MEPs are cheering Hungary on.

                He came on board just 3 weeks ago. He took a look at the books and, ran away as fast as possible.

                Comment


                • Breaking windows around the world

                  J. M. Keynes advocated perpetual war as the best means to keep the economy stimulated. Keynes became a celebrity before becoming one of the most respected economists of the century when his eloquent book The Economic Consequences of the Peace

                  "Keynes wrote it to object to the punitive reparations payments imposed on Germany by the Allied countries after World War I. The amounts demanded by the Allies were so large, he wrote, that a Germany that tried to pay them would stay perpetually poor and, therefore, politically unstable."
                  Keynes claimed that the Treaty of Versailles sowed the seeds for the next war.
                  Every country England has invaded
                  Among this select group of nations are far-off destinations such as Guatemala, Tajikistan and the Marshall Islands, as well some slightly closer to home, such as Luxembourg. The analysis of the histories of the almost 200 countries in the world found only 22 which have never experienced an invasion by the British.
                  (Edith Cavill, 1865-1915)    All wars are contrived by the Cabalist central bankers for power, profit and to "kill the best of the goyim in time of war." (The Talmud) Sir William Wiseman, head of British Intelligence and a partner in the bankers Kuhn Loeb, demanded the Germans execute


                  "Keynes' most successful policy initiative, the proposal that Britain and the U.S. finance World War II by taxes rather than by borrowing, came directly out of Schumpeter's 1918 warning of the disastrous consequences of the debt financing of World War I."
                  Schumpeter advocated the "broken window" policy of stimulating the economy by destroying existing infrastructure.
                  General Wesley Clark: Wars Were Planned - Seven Countries In Five ...


                  You see where this is all going. ISIS has gone around wantonly destroying every bit of infrastructure in the Middle East that it comes in contact with. The "secret" is to destroy other people's infrastructure,,, not your own. Washington pushed England and France to attack Germany. The end result was that America got the job of rebuilding Europe with the Marshall plan. General Clark said that we were going to attack seven countries. It is simple. They ALL have oil and, can pay for rebuilding.
                  This is Shumpeter's creative destruction carried out on an international scale.

                  This isn't anything new. We let Iraq know that we would turn a blind eye if they attacked Kuwait.
                  Superpowers unite over Iraqi invasion of Kuwait- archive, 3 August ...

                  Aug 3, 2018 - Superpowers unite over Iraqi invasion of Kuwait
                  https://www.washingtonpost.com/.../c...00f42e-c2eb-48...
                  Feb 22, 1991 - It is a job that eventually could cost as much as $100 billion, and Kuwait has promised the contracts to countries that are supporting the war ...

                  Comment


                  • Continued

                    We got a Central bank in 1913, and, shortly thereafter, we got a world war. This is a very convenient way to enslave the State to the bankers. This eventually brought regulatory capture where the State had to do the bidding of the bankers if it wanted to avoid bankruptcy. The tables have turned somewhat. In the runup to WW II, FED GOV demanded that the FED buy GOV bonds to support the war. This hasn't stopped. The FED is now locked in to buying government debt. The wars are a waste of money but, they keep the bankers happy AND, people working.

                    China wanted to get all it's people working too so, they industrialized. The end result was that China exported unemployment.

                    The massive currency inflation brought on by the inception of the FED in 1913 had crashed the economy by the 20s.

                    Roosevelt felt that a war would drag America up out of the Great Depression One. Keep in mind that the '29 crash was not all that bad. When the Rothschild bank, Credit Anstalt crashed in 1931, that is when the banking crash really got going.

                    Roosevelt blockaded Japan (and act of war) and then, acted surprised when they attacked Pearl harbor. Admiral Kimmel of Pearl Harbor testified to congress that military intelligence knew 2 weeks ahead of time when / where the attack would come. Roosevelt was more concerned about getting the economy going than he was about many millions of dead Americans. The New York bankers pushed Roosevelt into war. Just as the London bankers pushed England into war.

                    When presidents lie to make a war | DD Guttenplan | Opinion | The ...
                    https://www.theguardian.com/commenti...to-wage-war-ir...
                    Aug 2, 2014 - Fifty years on we know the trigger for war with Vietnam was a fiction. ... secrets, is that the attack on 4 August may never actually have happened.
                    The Gulf of Tonkin incident never happened but, it was a good excuse to get the war industries running at full capacity.
                    This kind of provocation now happens on a regular basis with things like weapons of mass destruction.
                    The current "La Guerre du jour" is an attempt to destroy Syria. They have LOTS of money for rebuilding. Will Trump resist the temptation to go to war to stimulate the economy?
                    Trump's Choice - WW3 Or Saving Face In Syria
                    Ex-US Intel Officers Warn Trump Over Syria Attack 'Don't Be Surprised Russians Fire Their Missiles'


                    The bankers are doing their best to hold Trump's feet to the fire to get a war going. The swamp is gearing up for war.
                    "As a reminder, just yesterday we reported that the US fiscal deficit has resumed its surge, rising 40% Y/Y to $898BN for the first 11 months of the year, following the biggest monthly outlay by the US government in history."
                    " with a recession in 2020 (or sooner) now inevitable, the question then being just how and where will the US government find the room to add on the trillions in extra debt needed to bootstrap the economy out of what is likely to be the most severe contraction in decades,"
                    GREAT graph, https://www.zerohedge.com/sites/defa...forecast_2.jpg
                    "if the current or future administration will eventually "grow into" the contextual situation that Goldman laid out as justifying the current fiscal outlier state of the US economy, namely entry into war."
                    ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero


                    FED GOV is spending money like crazy. https://theantimedia.com/government-...llion-deficit/
                    America is considered the least-worse place as a destination for fleeing capital. How much longer will this be true?
                    Starting next year, debt service to the bankers will surpass the cost of the defense department. The cure for the expense of debt service has long been known.


                    The bankers claim that the State can't possibly create the money supply because they will print so much that terrible inflation will result. Just another fairy tale.
                    QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, I think I am starting to understand your view of inflation. It is very complex. I think some people cannot think beyond a simple one

                    Comment


                    • 10 years after the inception of the crash

                      10 years on from the 2008 crash, everybody is looking back to examine what happened.
                      In 1908, the bankers precipitated a panic that was later used as a justification for creating the Central bank in 1913. Since then, we have had a succession of crashes. The history of modern crashes should begin with the dotcom crash. Great gobs of money were thrown at anything that had to do with computers. The 2001 crash resulted. This sowed the seeds for following crashes.
                      In 2004, units from both the SEC and FBI warned of a RE bubble. Both units were disbanded. The sheep had to be shorn and, the show had to go on. The shearer was to be the banks. Banks take a financial risk when they loan money. This brings financial prudence to the loan originators. With securitization, the loan is immediately resold to an investor. All financial prudence went out the window. The loans were rated AAA and, the investor was sucked in. The banks generated fees whether the loan was good or bad. The banks were actually motivated to make loans to the more numerous deadbeats.

                      "Oct 20, 2009 - As head of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission [CFTC], Brooksley Born became alarmed by the lack of oversight of the secretive, multitrillion-dollar over-the-counter derivatives market."
                      Everyone from Born to Buffet warned about derivatives but, few people listened. It was just a matter of time.
                      Here is an article about 4 prominent people who tried very hard to sound the alarm to the financial world. It is well worth the time to read the whole article.
                      ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero


                      The bankers had a great degree of control over the various regulatory bodies like the FED, SEC and CFTC. Here is a list of the lessons to be learned.
                      ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero

                      The State needed to inflate the money supply to make up for the liquidity that had vanished in the crashes. How could they do that when all money was debt? Simple, they created more debt to re-inflate the economy. All this debt carried an interest cost. The interest cost is eating into everything. It takes a LOT of productivity to service a debt of $250 trillion. BUT, productivity is falling. More printing is the only thing available to do debt service.

                      Comment


                      • Tug-o-war between bankers and producers

                        Here is a longish article recounting the travails pictured in Steinbeck's book," The Grapes of Wrath". The author compares that period of time with what we have today.
                        https://www.peakprosperity.com/blog/114369/bad-money

                        Armstrong says that we see today is a collapse of socialism. The thin-air money has kept legions of non-producers from starving. It has nurtured millions of babies that have no future job niche. It supports many millions of retired people who are unable to work.
                        Socialism is a system that distributes the fruits of labor to everyone, including the poor non-producers.
                        Capitalism purportedly distributes the fruits of labor to the people who produced the wealth. Using the intermediary of un-sound money, this wealth is handed over to the non-producers who are rich enough to buy favorable legislation.
                        The poor vote to try to get enough of the wealth that they have produced. The rich take a shortcut and just buy politicians.
                        The well-off rent out their excess wealth that they have earned, to gain profit. The rich rent out their money that they got for free to gain profit.
                        The Central Bank is the enabler of this arrangement. Wealth and capital is something that you earn or create.
                        The sins of crony capitalism are laid at the feet of honest capitalism.

                        The banking fraternity may claim that they are staunch capitalists but, they actually produce nothing.

                        The bankers only have one game. They don't plan on doing anything that is actually productive.

                        Doug Casey is the master of bad timing.
                        Here is a claim that $30 trillion in notional value will just evaporate. I expect that to be a very low number.
                        ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero

                        Comment




                        • Back in the '90s, Armstrong told the Eurocrats that the EU would blow up because it didn't have a common debt market. They went ahead anyway. It is now a race to the finish line. Who will blow first. Will it be Deutsche bank..... Italian bond markets.... Turkish debt?

                          just two more rate hikes would put the central bank above the neutral rate - the interest rate that neither stimulates nor holds back the economy
                          These boneheads seem to believe that there is a perfect / neutral interest rate. They ignore falling population. All that old debt was rescued by creating $247 trillion of new debt. They ignore the fact that the debt bubble has grown enormously.
                          "This broader overvaluation makes things "considerably more dangerous" for investors, as BCA estimates that the total value of global risk-assets is $400 trillion"
                          "The takeaway is that any inflationary impulse would - through higher bond yields - undermine the valuation support of global risk-assets that are worth several times the size of the global economy. Thereby, it could unleash a potentially much larger disinflationary impulse. Or stated simply, the higher yields go, the lower they will eventually drop during what Albert Edwards has dubbed the next deflationary "ice age."
                          ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero
                          Honest Work for Dishonest Pay |
                          ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero

                          Comment


                          • The Noosphere,,, gold & peace

                            Since it has no value, debt money is easy to create. Commodity money has to actually have a commodity linked to it. At one time, FED GOV required gold reserves to be 40% of the value of paper money. This proved to be very inconvenient to speculators and other non-producers. When paper money was gold convertible, there was really no question of confidence. Un-backed money lives & dies on confidence. A few years ago, the FED quit reporting the most important aspect of the money supply. They said that it was too expensive and, too troublesome. You see BS statistics everywhere. All done in the name of preserving confidence.
                            Most of you have heard of The Hundredth Monkey.

                            Some of you may have heard of the Princeton Egg.
                            The Global Consciousness Project
                            "When human consciousness becomes coherent, the behavior of random systems may change. Random number generators (RNGs) based on quantum tunneling produce completely unpredictable sequences of zeroes and ones. But when a great event synchronizes the feelings of millions of people, our network of RNGs becomes subtly structured. "
                            Professor Jamieson got a Nobel prize for proving quantum tunnelling.
                            In short, we are all connected to a certain degree at the quantum level.
                            Also, https://blog.nationalgeographic.org/...consciousness/

                            There are a lot of people who know that the economy is going to crack up. Maintaining confidence is much more difficult. Quantum tunnelling is what allows the whole flock of birds to wheel and turn at once. What has our impending credit collapse done to our national psyche?
                            The left has always been the most violent in politics mainly because they blame others for their own failure. Already we are starting to see a trend where


                            The National Geographic Society is a global nonprofit organization that uses the power of science, exploration, education and storytelling to illuminate and protect the wonder of our world. Since 1888, National Geographic has pushed the boundaries of exploration, investing in bold people and transformative ideas, providing more than 15,000 grants for work across all seven continents, reaching 3 million students each year through education offerings, and engaging audiences around the globe through signature experiences, stories and content. To learn more, visit www.nationalgeographic.org or follow us on Instagram, LinkedIn, and Facebook.
                            Every time Dick Fuld’s publicists succeed in getting a “redemption story” published in the WSJ or NYT, I’m going to write an ET piece about Repo 105. Its consequences for investors haven’t gone away, and neither should we.



                            Powell is fighting the confidence battle.
                            Here are some vids from the doomers.


                            This article starts off with a long rant against Trump. Later on in the article, they have some worthwhile observations on gold. This is from a PDF that is very tedious to copy. You should read it starting at page 4.
                            "Johnson was forced to reverse his decision to send hundreds of thousands more US troops to crush the Vietnamese resistance-instead he opened up peace talks"
                            There is no clearer link between gold and peace.

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                            • More China,,, non-linear unwinding,,, macron=merde

                              Trump and Powell are attacking most of the world. China in particular is the main target. The collapse is coming and, America intends to be last in line. China loses 15% of it's GDP to pollution.
                              At a UN conference in Ethiopia, the world discusses sustainable development, yet any global attempt to push for sustainability will need China on board.



                              “Conventional thinking that performs well in linear eras is disastrously ill-prepared to navigate non-linear eras like the upcoming one..."
                              A Russian military Il-20 aircraft with 14 service members on board went off the radar during an attack by four Israeli jets on Syria’s Latakia province, the Russian Defense Ministry said.

                              I expect Putin will make them pay very dearly.
                              France is going down fast. The State spends 57% of the GDP and their debt is FAR above what is allowed by the EU. I don't wish this on the French people BUT, they did NOT vote for Le Pen. This is what they get.

                              It's not just America that has an epidemic of despair. Notice that these deaths are very high among First nation people. Canada has the same problem.


                              All the $trillions that flowed into passive investment is at high risk of berserk algos all trying to sell at the same time. Junk bonds will evaporate in a microsecond. Now, Michael Milken says that investment grade paper is at high risk.
                              Financier and philanthropist Michael Milken says investors are "dramatically underestimating the risks" of investing in investment grade bonds.
                              The United States is on a major confrontational course with the International Criminal Court (ICC) in The Hague. The White House National Security Adviser,

                              The Court at the Hague would have to move to MUCH larger quarters if they were to prosecutes all the war criminals in just the American lagoon of the swamp.

                              Comment


                              • ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero
                                1971 was when we parted final company with the gold standard. These feces-for-brains are trying to calculate inflation and deflation when the money supply has been growing 6-8% a year. They ignore the cumulative effects of debasing the dollar.https://www.zerohedge.com/sites/defa...18_6-11-58.jpg
                                Here is a chart of CB gold reserves. If it is good enough for them, it is good enough for me.
                                ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero

                                ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero


                                "Peak annual potential labor force growth took place in 1998, adding 1.9 million persons...almost entirely among the prime working age population. By 2008, total potential labor force growth was down about 15% (from peak) but the shift was well underway with the prime working age population growth down 25% to 1.4 million annually. By 2018, the potential labor force growth is just 35% of peak. By 2028, annual labor force growth will be just 15% of that seen at peak growth."
                                ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero
                                The world is a cruel place. And nobody knows that better than Anthony Torres, a 56-year-old man in New York who was recently the butt of jokes when a

                                Not one word of mention that inflation from the FED has priced millions out of the housing market. No wonder the suicide rate is so high.

                                As productivity and GDP dropped, the FED ramped up printing. Here is a chart of GDP minus FED printing.
                                ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero

                                "And when the music finally stops - as they say - it will be the central banks that bear the brunt of the blame.

                                "And it's that $20 trillion, built up over the last two decades, that has basically distorted everything - falsified prices, repressed interest rates, caused an explosion of debt. Twenty years ago there was $40 trillion of debt in the world today there is $250 trillion worth of debt in the world. The leverage of the world has gone from 1.3 times which is stable...to 3.3 times,"
                                Hmmm, Armstrong did mention something about Sovereign debt having some future problem.
                                Tesla, "The market cap is $60 billion going to zero - you can feel that happening. Pets.com was only a couple hundred million."
                                "Amazon is one example, Stockman said, claiming that its current valuation, at 160x free cash flow, is simply impossible to justify.
                                "The crash of Amazon it will thunder across the planet," Stockman said."

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