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  #511  
Old 12-18-2014, 03:35 PM
Danny B Danny B is offline
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the parasites are overdrawn

I work hard. Where does my money go? The industrial economy produces enormous wealth. Where does it all go? We should have drastically falling prices with so much automation. Who is reaping the benefits of all this productivity?
I'm helping a couple of kids with college tuition. Tuition was just raised in the UC system. Wonder why?
"UC panel proposed Tuesday that environmental and social issues should influence how the system invests its $91 billion"
OK, so the UC system has $91,000,000,000 to it's credit. Why the helll does it have to raise tuition?
184,000 GOV entities have hundreds of $ trillions stashed away but, they need to raise taxes. Obama's Phony Turning Point
Orange county in Ca. screamed that they had a $ 1 billion deficit and had to raise taxes. Someone got up at the meeting and pointed to the CAFR report and showed that Orange county showed $14 billion in cash and lots of investments. CAFR 'Off-Budget*Incomes DWARF 'Budget Deficits'

A few years ago, there was a huge battle in Wisconsin over a demand to raise taxes to cover budget shortfalls. I went to the State GOV site and clicked on the "comprehensive annual financial report". It returned, "page unavailable, contact your webmaster". Someone else did have the report and aired it out showing that Wisconsin had tons of money. Wisconsin’s Real Financial Situation Explained | REALITY BLOG

Now, we've all heard the claim that America is a corporation, " UNITED STATES OF AMERICA INC.
Registered in Delaware
as a Religious Non-profit Corporation "
AMERICAN KABUKI: UPDATED: UNITED STATES OF AMERICA INC. Registered in Delaware as a Religious Non-profit Corporation
AND; United States v. United States of America

Everyone has seen the vid on tax farming; https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xbp6umQT58A
Looking at the numbers and structure of GOV, one would be inclined to believe that GOV exists solely to feed itself and grow without limit. One also gets the idea that; if GOV continuously demands ever-more taxes, it does so to keep us producing rather than kicking back and taking it easy.

If the UC system is a public institution supported by taxes, why should there be any need for it to squirrel away $ 91 billion. Even the court systems have hundreds of billions squirrelled away. We're taxed mercilessly to support entities that don't need support.
The economy is crashing because we have no money and there is no demand. The enormous price deflation that should have been a benefit of automation never appeared. It was siphoned off by taxes, fees and interest. Was this done simply to provide support for every bureaucrat that was able to slither into a GOV job OR, was it done to bring a low birth rate?

The 2008 crash was an example of what happens when to much money is forced into a sector beyond the fundamental need. The same thing was done in the oil sector. The Fracturing Energy Bubble Is the New Housing Crash | Zero Hedge
It is expected to be 10 times worse and it didn't even cause the effects that the neo-cons hoped for. Russian news: America's "Defeat Russia with Cheap Oil" Strategy is Failing - Russia Insider
This isn't expected to turn out well;
The Fed Is Sitting On a $191 TRILLION Time Bomb | Zero Hedge
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  #512  
Old 12-20-2014, 04:59 AM
Danny B Danny B is offline
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Global debt and the dollar

The FED lowered interest rates to near zero. The bankers made about $ 440 billion in bets (derivatives) that rates would stay there for the future. These Interest rate swaps are just lying there waiting to blow up. The bankers have gotten regulatory changes to ensure that their derivatives are first in line for payout,,, before depositors or share/bond holders. As an insurance policy on payment, they have gotten regulatory changes that would make the FDIC also responsible for big parts.

At the same time, tons of free dollars flowed into emerging markets in the form of dollar-denominated loans. The EM States just assumed that the dollar spigot would never run out. The FED is not near so free with dollars now and the spigot is drying up.
Fed calls time on $5.7 trillion of emerging market dollar debt - Telegraph

EM States that depend on oil for income have it even worse. Venezuela is expected to default next year. Russia will have NO problem because they sell lots to China and China has about $ 3 trillion dollars. The neo-cons have driven Russia and China even closer. Not happy with this debacle, they have tried to isolate Europe from Russia. This is failing also.
Backfired! | Michael Hudson
The U.S. still imports natural gas but, claims that it can supply Europe with gas. Right now, Europe is trying to do a reversal of the cancellation of the South Stream pipeline. They can see the writing on the wall AND the frost on the windowpane. CNG/LNG export terminals in America are years in the future.
Considering the situation in Ukraine, it appears that the Neo cons are more than willing to see Europe both, freeze to death AND become embroiled in a pan-Europe war. The net makes FAR too many people painfully aware of this obvious plan. Every influential person in Germany has written Merkel to tell her to pull her head out of her a$$.

The neo cons have a blatant agenda for world war. The Europeans are VERY tired of war. They know that the bankers are salivating at the prospect of a Europe-wide theater.

Greenspan made it clear just recently that the FED is not independent. Assume that the Neo cons have control and want a Europe-wide crash and war. The FED is still pumping money into the system but, NOT so that it flows into emerging markets. EM States will crash. European banks have huge exposure to EM debt.
Last time that the FED tightened, it brought down Russia and much of Asia. The FED IS tightening. It appears that they hope to crash the rest of the world this time, including Europe. WW III would just be the icing on the cake for the bankers.
The Biggest Economic Story Going Into 2015 Is Not Oil - The Automatic Earth
So much of global debt is denominated in dollars and the criminals in the District of Corruption hope to light the world on fire to gain world control.

BBC News - Global debt: How worried should we be?
The rest of the world is VERY motivated to stop us. No matter the burden they must bear, it would still be better than WW III.
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  #513  
Old 12-20-2014, 09:42 PM
Danny B Danny B is offline
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Geab N°90

"For almost two years, by combining various points of view (speculative, geopolitical, technological, economic, strategic and monetary…), we have continued to anticipate a major crisis in the entire oil sector. "
" It will have taken nine years for this Western world to collapse (or seven years, if we begin the process with the 2008 subprime crisis, as one should really do)"
"2015 will show the complete collapse of the Western world we have known since 1945. It will be a gigantic hurricane, which will blow and rock the whole planet, but the breach points are to be found in the “Western Port”,
GEAB N°90 is available ! Global systemic crisis 2015 – Oil, currencies, finance, societies, the Middle East : Massive storm in the Western port!
Money creation is up and velocity is down, The Housing Bubble Explained in One Little Gem of an Excerpt….. | First Rebuttal
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  #514  
Old 12-21-2014, 02:25 AM
Danny B Danny B is offline
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russian energy

Well, the neocons are crowing that they have brought Russia to it's knees. The wankers in the district of corruption are most likely celebrating too soon. It is extremely difficult to understand how supposedly intelligent people can make some of the moves that have been made. They have a desire and they project a path to take them directly to the desired outcome. They entertain NO thought of fallout or repercussions.
Dr. Roberts, "I was listening to the news today and there were all these self-righteous people just happy as all get out that they had finally stomped Russia into the ground and ‘Russia is now finished,’ and Russia was broken and ‘would soon be an American vassal state where it belongs.' And I was listening to this rot and got to thinking, ‘How can people be so utterly stupid?’ But they are, and they are just as stupid in Washington."


Paul Craig Roberts – Russia To Unleash Ultimate Black Swan Against The West
December 20, 2014


Today Dr. Paul Craig Roberts warned King World News that the Russians are going to unleash what he called the "ultimate black swan" against the West. Dr. Roberts also discussed how a terrifying series of events would then bring the Western financial system to it knees as the banking system completely collapses.

Dr. Roberts: “I was listening to the news today and there were all these self-righteous people just happy as all get out that they had finally stomped Russia into the ground and ‘Russia is now finished,’ and Russia was broken and ‘would soon be an American vassal state where it belongs.' And I was listening to this rot and got to thinking, ‘How can people be so utterly stupid?’ But they are, and they are just as stupid in Washington.

And in the meantime, as part of this process, Eric, we may see Russia unleash black swans that bring down the Western house of cards….

“Suppose the Russian government says, ‘Well, since the attack on the ruble is political and you guys are attacking the ruble and causing us so much trouble, we are just not going to pay off the next traunch of our debt that comes due early in 2015.'

Well, the European banking system would collapse because those banks are terribly undercapitalized. Some of them have loans to Russia that almost absorb the entire capital base. So the Russians don’t even have to default. They can just say, ‘We’re not going to pay this year. We will do it later. We’ll do it when the ruble stabilizes.’ (Laughter).

"The biggest black swan of all, Eric, if the Russians get thoroughly angry, all they have to do is call up the European governments and say, ‘We no longer sell natural gas or any other form of energy to members of NATO.' The consequence would be the utter and total collapse of NATO.
So whenever the Russians want to destroy NATO, that’s all they have to do."

"So all the cards are in Putin’s hands. None of them are in Washington’s hands. "
Paul Craig Roberts – Russia To Unleash Ultimate Black Swan Against The West | King World News
So, European banks face catastrophe from emerging market debt AND catastrophe from Russia if it chooses to stop NATO dead in it's tracks.
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  #515  
Old 12-22-2014, 04:21 PM
Danny B Danny B is offline
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stupid, criminal bankers and the dominoes of debt

In the movies, "Silver Bears", Cybill Shepard states that all bankers are crazy. It is a result of the fact that they handle money all day but, don't have any themselves. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0jjkj_Wb0-w
From Martin Armstrong, "Then there was what people called the First Gilded Age more than a century ago, when senators and representatives were owned by Wall Street and big business. This culminated in the 1929 Crash."
"Will they Hang Bankers Again on Wall Street?"
Will they Hang Bankers Again on Wall Street? | Armstrong Economics

The CBs printed lots of free money. This flowed into emerging markets and commodities. The super-cycle in commodities has come to an end BUT, the debt structure is still there. The money went into commodities as speculation that wasn't based on consumption. Danielle Park says that there is a carry-trade that is unwinding that is nominally valued at $ 9 trillion. There is an audio link halfway down the page.
Juggling Dynamite | By Danielle Park
Armstrong, " The interesting aspect is the talking heads will continue to yell and scream about a stock bubble. They are blind to the debt bubble and have not even considered what happens when government bonds go off the boards." BIG BANG & THE DOMINO EFFECT | Armstrong Economics

Armstrong, "Furthermore, so many people (mainly Americans) are so bearish on the dollar because of debt that they cannot see the simple fact that even $17 trillion in debt is nothing in comparison to $158 trillion in worldwide debt. They also fail to grasp that the US debt is the ONLY place for money right now to park among nations."
Coming Emerging Market Debt Meltdown | Armstrong Economics

OK, so the dollar goes higher because America is the current safe haven. By shifting reserves into dollars, Europe and the emerging markets are hastening their own demise.
The oil companies have had a 49% decline in valuation.
Drilling Our Way Into Oblivion - The Automatic Earth
This has caused $ 1 trillion in stranded investments. Think that might explode a few derivative contracts?
Bankers See $1 Trillion of Zombie Investments Stranded in the Oil Fields - Bloomberg
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  #516  
Old 12-22-2014, 06:53 PM
Danny B Danny B is offline
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Headed for a quadrillion

There is a troll who appears everywhere claiming that no GOV can go broke that prints it's own currency. Technically, I suppose that this is true. Realistically, GOV might survive but, the rest of the economy will go bust.
#Monetary Sovereignty - Mitchell » Economics, Money and Debt #Monetary Sovereignty – Mitchell
Just how much can be printed? Gideon Gono of Zimbabwe printed trillion dollar notes. It still didn't work out too well.
We may get to find out. "The Bond Bubble's Risk Hits an Unbelievable $555 TRILLION in Size" http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-1...-trillion-size
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  #517  
Old 12-24-2014, 04:58 AM
Danny B Danny B is offline
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Eurasian integration for Europe

The industrial Revolution created great wealth and power and military might. It started in England and Germany. This allowed the West to exercise great control over the East, Opium was a great help also. The industrial revolution has finally caught up in the East. The Eastern States were able to hold wages down to accumulate a huge bankroll. Their next project is to raise wages and the standard of living.
The West always tried to keep the East in a colonial status. The emerging markets have industry and a bankroll. They plan to use these to pull away from the West and integrate among themselves.
Europe has been totally thrashed and trashed by following the lead of the war mongers in America / London. The East is offering Europe a chance to escape the endless American wars and resulting austerity. The East is intent on building a trading empire and NOT a belligerent empire.

First comes communication, then, transportation. This is followed by developing markets. There is now a train that runs from China to Spain. There are plans to build high-speed rail links to get away from maritime transportation.
The District of Corruption offers endless wars and widespread chaos. The East offers integration and trade. The idiots in D.C are trying to obtain / maintain control of the oil that runs in pipelines from Russia and central Asia. The East is building institutions to replace Western control of banking and investment.

The U.S. is only 4% of the world's population. The R.O.W. has grown up and industrialized. They see D.C. pushing for WW III. They see that the Chinese just want to get filthy rich doing trade. Europe just shot itself in the foot by getting the Southstream pipeline cancelled. Hopefully, they will break away from American dictates in the near future.
They have to choose between American enforced chaos or a chance of a peaceful future with Eurasian integration.
Tomgram: Pepe Escobar, Eurasian Integration vs. the Empire of Chaos | TomDispatch
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  #518  
Old 12-30-2014, 03:34 AM
Danny B Danny B is offline
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Purge In Russia and theft of retirment accounts in America

There were about 7 countries who were not members of the B.I.S. America started invading them one at a time. The Russian central bank is a member of the B.I.S. The B.I.S is dictating to the Russian CB that it not print or loan money. Also, they attacked the Rouble on the FOREX exchange. All in an attempt to crash the currency and country. Russia would like to escape the clutches of the B.I.S. but, Russia is number 2 in volume in the SWIFT system. They have to have a replacement system before they can break away.

China knows very well that they will be next in line if Russia is crashed. They are supporting Russia and buying lots of oil. Even the oligarchs in Russia are supporting Putin. They know that they too will be on the chopping block if the Western bankers can crash Russia.
This vid with Federov is very interesting. At about 23:00, he talks about a purge coming. He refers to the Russian CB and bankers as a fifth column.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5qLMG0KD3rI
He says that there is going to be a purge. When a Russian KGB officer uses the word "Purge" , he isn't talking about the fate of Bernie Maddoff.

I found some numbers on the crash in the oil patch. " U.S. bank derivatives exposure alone is in the hundreds of trillions of dollars. What people don’t realize is that 15 percent of that exposure is in the energy sector. So when oil is at $54, half of what it was before, undoubtedly this will create tremendous turmoil in the derivatives arena and we have not seen the fallout from that yet. This is setting up to be a repeat of the 2008 subprime collapse all over again.” Man Asked To Speak To Chinese Officials Warns 2015 Collapse To Dwarf That Of 2008 | King World News

Adrian Salbuchi is a very astute Argentinian economist. He has about 226 videos talking about the collapse in Argentina. He also talks about what we can expect in America. https://www.youtube.com/user/arsalbuchi
He clearly relates how all Argentine pensions were stolen by GOV and used to pay off the banks.

"The myRA regulations proposed by the Treasury call for participants to invest in a “non-marketable, electronic savings bond,”
"The bond pays virtually no income and is completely illiquid.
"The government needs the money. What could be better…a perpetual loan at no interest?"
Just be thankful that GOV didn't steal your money
Exposed – Dangerous 2015 Ahead As Global Governments Plan To Steal Money | King World News
"For a bankrupt government with obligations too massive to pay, the pool of nearly $20 trillion of retirement savings is too juicy not to make a run at it. As we have seen with health care, the elites believe that the average citizen is too stupid to make the right choices for their families. The same will be true on the path to retirement confiscations because only the governments and their crony financial institutions will be allowed to make the investment decisions."
BTW, the money in the Social Security trust fund is all gone and has been replaced with NON-negotiable IOUs.
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  #519  
Old 12-30-2014, 03:36 PM
Danny B Danny B is offline
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Oil and the dollar carry trade

When somebody borrows dollars to invest in something, their investment must pay more return than the cost of interest. GOV passed out no/low interest loans to stimulate the economy. The dollar is in demand to service all this dollar-denominated debt. This is causing the dollar to rise and making it impossible to repay loans. Shale oil extraction was done with cheap dollars BUT, the price of oil has been cut in half.

Here’s a chart showing an inverted US Dollar (meaning when the Dollar strengthens, the black line falls) and Oil (blue line):
http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/defau.../12/sc-1_0.png
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-1...%A6-whats-next
The fall in the price of oil is part of the commodity super-cycle that is playing out.
Crude Oil – In the Grips of Massive Deflationary Cycle | Armstrong Economics

The reason that gold is such a good store of value is because it is basically useless. No matter how high the price goes, it doesn't affect the general economy. When oil goes up, it wipes out other sectors of the economy.
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  #520  
Old 12-31-2014, 01:01 AM
Danny B Danny B is offline
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Future employment

If someone invents a tool somebody will use it. If somebody invents a tool that gives them a business advantage, somebody will use it. Look at high frequency trading. They moved their computer as close to the exchanges as possible to have the shortest possible transit time for orders. What does that portend?
Read this carefully; Socrates v Watson | Armstrong Economics
Read this carefully; Yes Socrates Monitors the World | Armstrong Economics
What happens to employment when the best man for the job is a computer? Imagine Socrates in the cloud! Every business decision is weighed, analyzed and judged. Currently, Socrates juggles 23,000 variables and has the economic info for the last 3,000 years.
For the sake of argument, let's suppose that Socrates can't be corrupted. Several years ago, I proposed on the Burning Man blog that ALL political decisions be run through a program that would predict the outcome. It wouldn't control anything,,, just predict the outcome. We use search engines to look for answers. Suppose that we took that one step farther.
Socrates and Watson could pass judgement on every act and decision done by man.
What happens to employment when everything under the sun is optimized?
And Then?
"Colossus: The Forbin Project" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SmSsXoPxi0M
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Last edited by Danny B; 01-01-2015 at 03:22 AM. Reason: bad link
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  #521  
Old 01-01-2015, 03:44 AM
Danny B Danny B is offline
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The disappearing middle class and the new trading blocs

Well, the year is closing out. Even though the oil price has collapsed, it doesn't appear that the relevant derivatives have blown sky high. We'll see. There is quite a bit of other news. As everyone knows, there is an increasing income disparity. The rich don't seem to mind because they are looking forward to the new "feudalism". It is a very dangerous state of affairs when the middle class has lost everything.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-1...modern-america

China has quite a problem with income. The country, China has grown quite a bit, "China’s economy grew 7 times as fast as America’s over the past decade (316% growth vs. 43%)"
"China’s GDP per capita is the 91st-lowest in the world, below Bosnia & Herzegovina"
"If he spent his ENTIRE YEARLY INCOME on housing, the average Beijing resident could buy 10 square feet of residential property"
Read more: 17 Facts About China That Will Blow Your Mind (FXI, LFC, PTR, SHI)

Commodities are crashing but, have a long way to go to reach historical lows. http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-1...-case-iron-ore

The rest of the world is forming trade blocs to try to get away from the influence of America. Event Horizon Chronicle: The Great Unraveling of 2015
"The President of Ecuador, Rafael Correa, will be in Beijing for a bi-lateral summit meeting with the Chinese leadership.

Let The Games Begin

That is no accident. Ecuador will hold the rotating presidency of CELAC in 2015. As Ecuadorean head of state, Correa will therefore occupy a crucial position of international leadership in 2015. It will not have been lost on the Chinese that Rafael Correa is a PhD economist, whose doctoral work at the University of Illinois had to do with "game theory." Game theory is concerned with the mathematical modeling of strategic decision-making, including international decision-making. It is widely used and studied in economics, policy making and political science."
There is a new appreciation for the importance of energy;
Next Big Future: Correctly factoring in the more important role of energy corrects economic predictions - Energy has Ten times bigger role than cost

It looks like we all live in interesting times.
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  #522  
Old 01-02-2015, 05:58 AM
Danny B Danny B is offline
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Prive inflation with wage deflation

After Great Depression I, there was a lot of blame placed on the "dark pools" of liquidity moving rapidly, hither and yon. The markets are becoming more volatile every day. Commodities are at the start of a total meltdown. Liquidity is fast flowing out of oil. Where can it go? 60% of the money in the Japanese stock market is foreign investors. It can move very fast but,,, to where? Emerging markets are crashing because they can't service $ 3 trillion in dollar loans. There is a $ 9 trillion carry trade. Can it unwind peacefully when the dollar is rising?

What about satisfying the derivatives written on the energy markets? 15% of the derivatives are written on energy. Oil fracking is crashing badly and shutting down. The oil majors in Europe lost $ 6 billion in the last 5 years. How long can they be forced to operate at a loss? Can the oil majors in America be forced to continue to operate at a loss? They are losing $ billions.

Previously, the oil majors were floated along on the the junk-bond market. That is disappearing. Will GOV write a check to completely underwrite the energy business?

Wall street is pricing in a very bad year for GOV bonds. Will liquidity displaced from the EMs and commodities flow into bonds? The printing press is trying to preserve the credit structure when consumption is dead in the water. There is no long-term future in that.
The investment community is denigrating the huge income disparity. Just how short-sighted can they get. This is abysmally stupid. The investment community is invested in the consumer economy.

The sins of the central banks are huge and numerous. The blindness of both investors and corporatism are far more destructive.

The bankers have their mindset focused pointedly on money.
The investors have their mindset focused on R.O.I.
ALL are blinded. ALL are focused on productivity. NOBODY is focused on consumption. Everybody figures that consumption is a "given". That may be true for bare necessities but, NOT for discretionary spending.
It is ABSOLUTE HERESY to suggest that dividends be reduced so that wages can be increased. Bonuses, maybe but, NOT wages.

There is a billion sq.ft. of empty retail space in America,,, ya think that might be related to lack of wages?

Sure, go ahead,,, outsource all those jobs. Don't come crying to me when you can't find a customer. We should have realized massive price deflation as a result of automation. NOPE. It was all absorbed and paid out as stock dividends. Everything is priced by "performance pricing". The manufacturing cost is irrelevant. The major crime of the corporation was to disconnect cost from price. Why do you think that credit terms had to grow ever longer? There will be NO renaissance of the consumer economy as long as the crony capitalism and stock dividends prevent price deflation.

Where do you think the credit bubble came from. If wages were adequate, remuneration from productive work would have been much closer to adequate to pay for consumption.

Over the decades, more and more jobs were automated. As aggregate income for productive work was diminished, the presses worked ever-faster. As we slide towards a global-mean wage, more and more things have to be paid for by wet-ink money in lieu of actual wages.

Our lower wages COULD have paid for lower price consumptive goods but, it was not to be. Instead of lower prices, there was an ever-increasing profit margin. This was all absorbed by the rentiers. I'm not a Marxist. BUT, the maxim of "all the markets can bear" MUST be allowed to play out in the FREE market, NOT in the conjured credit market.

The rentiers of "money" have subsumed the productive economy. Their thin-air money is the same money that the productive market has to work for. In their short-sighted blindness, they will bring it all down.
Income redistribution is NOT the solution. Corporatism is not the solution. They will eternally focus on profit and margin. World GOV is NOT the solution. They will focus on redistribution and kill incentive.
With a free market economy, MOST rentiers will be obliterated,,, fine with me. Either bring back wages OR write off the consumer economy. The bankers are in a mad scramble to save the credit structure when the wage structure is gone. U.S. GOV is printing $ 2.5 B a day. This is gross STUPIDITY, doubly so when it has long been proved that it won't work.

It is too late to bring back wages. It is too late to save productivity when consumption has died. It is too late to save the currency when credit has died. The bankers enabled fiat money. Fiat money enabled the disconnect between prices and wages. An inflated market in prices with a deflated market for wages,,,, just what do you think the outcome will be?
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  #523  
Old 01-04-2015, 03:15 AM
Danny B Danny B is offline
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Corbyn, Armstrong and Socrates.

Our revered meteorologists have super computers to predict the weather and things like global warming. BUT, garbage in-garbage out.
Piers Corbyn has a different approach.
"In his talk, Piers Corbyn described the failure of standard meteorology (SM) in outlook, theory, and practice. He included: signals in real meteorology data unexplained by SM; real role of jet stream, stratosphere, electro-jets, magnetosphere, solar wind, solar corona, and the Moon; the total inability of SM to explain: sudden stratospheric warmings and its consequences, tropical storm intensifications, angular momentum concentration in tornadoes; and the need for something else such as electromagnetic plasma explanations; the theoretical basis of non-standard long range weather forecasting on a real planet; a summary on his WeatherAction forecasting skill and examples; and the future of forecasting and meteorology, climate 'science' and science in general."
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6R26PXRrgds
OK, so he uses far more varied input data. He gets far more accurate results.

The current dominant economic system is the horrendous morass created by John Maynard Keynes. His system is based on unlimited growth and credit expansion. A later arrival that is much more accurate is the Austrian school of economics. It is a far better model. But, like most models, there is room for improvement.

That brings us to Martin Armstrong. He is the "Piers Corbyn" of the economic world. Like Piers, he uses far more inputs. Since nobody can mentally juggle this many inputs, he has a program called "Socrates" that does the juggling. He spent about 8 1/2 years in prison because he refused to turn his program over to GOV. Socrates runs 23,000 variables and has a 3,000 year base of results to work from.
Piers Corbyn has a program that blows everybody else out of the water. How long until it is universally used?
Martin Armstrong has a program that puts every other model to shame. How long until his model is universally Used?
One thing that the Austrians don't take into account is that the U.S. dollar is a global money and won't respond to over-printing like a national currency would. Empire v Mere State | Armstrong Economics
There is currently a $ 9 trillion carry trade and a $ 3 trillion emerging market debt that needs to be serviced. The whole world is demanding that America print and supply more dollars. There is always a demand for the most recognizable currency.
"The expansion of the money supply of dollar has FAILED to produce any inflation BECAUSE the old theories have failed to take into consideration the global nature of the world economy and its demand for the currency of the current Financial Capital of the World. This is WHY the dominant currency has ALWAYS been imitated because people had confidence in the dominant currency – NOT the mere fact it was tangible."
Austrian Economics v Keynesian Economics | Armstrong Economics

Armstrong has always had good results; "The year 2014 has been a year which has made all our long-term forecasts amazingly on target."
2014 – What a Year | Armstrong Economics
Everyone is aware of what computer modelling can do if it is fed the right data.
Both Corbyn and Armstrong receive regular feedback on their analysis.
A good chess player or a good chess program can predict far ahead the results of a given move. If Armstrong's program were in universal use, it would be glaringly obvious when a planned economic action would produce bad results.
This would be contingent on Socrates being aware of significant scientific advancements. Wait and see.
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Old 01-04-2015, 05:13 AM
Danny B Danny B is offline
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Wealth, efficiency and free time

Besides the Austrian School, there is the Monetarist School. They have ideas of their own. Japan is still crashing and looking for a "plan j" or whatever letter They are up to.
"Economist Milton Friedman first conjured up the enticing image of bank notes dropping from the skies in 1969. Thirty years later, Ben Bernanke proposed a helicopter drop of cash as an antidote for Japan’s anaemic demand and falling prices."
"The mechanics would be relatively straightforward. Assume each of Japan’s 52 million households received a debit card with, say, 200,000 yen ($1,700) loaded onto it by the central bank. Any remaining balance on the cards would disappear after a year, ensuring that recipients spent the windfall. The move would inject an extra 10 trillion yen, or 2 percent of GDP, of private purchasing power into the economy. This in turn would encourage companies to invest and pay higher wages."
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UH,, sounds real good but, they are not going to pay higher wages.
The CFR proposed the same thing here. Just send everybody a boatload of cash.
The high-wage West crashed into the low-wage East. Capital followed the wage market after global wage arbitrage sent the jobs to low wage States. That isn't the only problem. TOO many people are having to compete with computers, robots and automation. The result; "Roubini;
"Even that may not be sufficient, in which case it will become necessary to provide permanent income support to those whose jobs are displaced by software and machines."
Where Will All the Workers Go? by Nouriel Roubini - Project Syndicate
There just isn't enough appreciation for the ever-increasing job loss to automation. It will suddenly become a BIG problem when the politicians and lawyers lose their jobs.

The main problems are 2. 1. capitalism is "programmed" to send it's rewards to those directly involved in productivity and service. Those not involved get a pittance. 2. people without jobs tend to lose their center of their lives.
Keynes proposed that we will lose this "affliction" and learn to have a meaningful life even if we aren't employed. Keynes also extrapolated that the growth of wealth would make work unnecessary in the future. He guessed that we would have to suffer another century of the present system until wealth grew so large that there would be no reason to work.
https://www.marxists.org/reference/s...ndchildren.htm

Shumpter came up with the idea of creative destruction where we would constantly create and destroy wealth to keep everyone employed. The U.S. military seems to follow that advice. U.S. GOV spends about 44% of the GDP building planes that don't fly well and wars that accomplish nothing but to enrich the offence industry.
We build to destroy because there is no remedy for efficiency. We have 22 billion slaves working for us. WHAT are we going to do to stay occupied?
22 Billion Energy Slaves

We may soon get to find out what the effects of generalized unemployment are.
"The UK stock market is in its 70th month of a bull market, which began in March 2009. There are only two other occasions in history when the market has risen for longer. One is the period leading up to the great crash in 1929 and the other before the bursting of the dotcom bubble in the early 2000s. "
"In the US, Professor Robert Shiller’s cyclically adjusted price earnings ratio - or Shiller CAPE - for the S&P 500 is currently at 27.2, some 64pc above the historic average of 16.6. On only three occasions since 1882 has it been higher - in 1929, 2000 and 2007. "
Ten warning signs of a market crash in 2015 - Telegraph
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Old 01-05-2015, 05:08 AM
Danny B Danny B is offline
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Headlines, color revolutions and war

The headlines are getting very interesting.
Need to channel savings away from gold, PM Narendra Modi tells banks
Need to channel savings away from gold, PM Narendra Modi tells banks - Economic Times
Indians hold about 20,000 tons of gold. The PM is tyring to convince them to hold their savings in paper. 15,000 years of history argues differently.

The war on gold and the financial endgame
http://www.24hgold.com/english/news-...n+Popescu&mk=1
I think that you can guess the endgame. It has 6,000 years of history.

Europe's bond yields fall to lowest since the Black Death
Europe's bond yields fall to lowest since the Black Death - Telegraph
that sounds SO suggestive.

Japanese births drop to lowest ever, deaths hit all time high
The Death Of A Nation: Japanese Births Drop To Lowest Ever, Deaths Hit All Time High | Zero Hedge
That's what happens when you rob a People of their future

The Anglo-American hegemon has historically used color revolutions or outright attacks against any state that tried to escape the embrace of the petro-dollar. Putin really loves Russia and has played very honestly with the Russian people. His people saw what happened in Georgia and the Ukraine. They see what the west has done to the Middle East and many other places. They know that their only chance to avoid revolution and avoid being a vassal state to the District of Corruption is too back Putin.

D.C. and Langley were not able to create a color revolution. The last option is all out war with Russia. China doesn't want to be next in line so, they will advance with Russia. THAT is a non-starter. America is trying to chip away at Russia and China BUT, they are running out of time. The petro-dollar is fast fading. Grandmaster Putin's Golden Trap - Fort Russ
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Old 01-06-2015, 04:34 AM
Danny B Danny B is offline
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big banks and even bigger debts.

I honestly feel very bad for the people who suffer from the global collapse. I bought 10 acres of farmland in Western Oregon hoping to help out as many good people as possible. That said, this is getting very entertaining. New headlines.
"SAYONARA GLOBAL ECONOMY" SAYONARA GLOBAL ECONOMY « The Burning Platform
" Runaway dollar could make deflation unstoppable"
Runaway Dollar Could Make Deflation Unstoppable
" $6 trillion of EM dollar bonds pummeled by rising $" I thought it was only $ 3 trillion
$6 Trillion Of EM Dollar Bonds Pummeled By Rising $, Falling Commodities | David Stockman's Contra Corner
" China's cities face judgement day on debts as costs soar " This is part of that $ 6 trillion that is very difficult to service.
China’s Cities Face Judgment Day on Debts as Costs Soar - Bloomberg
" Greece and Spain on verge of revolt" That's what happens with 50% unemployment.
Squeezed By Austerity Imposed By Germany, Greece and Spain on Verge of Revolt

"How J P Morgan Chase helped wreck the economy " Followed by, Goldman Sachs says that JPM should break itself up.
" Knowing it will end badly and turning a blank eye "
Knowing It Will End Badly And Turning A Blind Eye | Zero Hedge
What do you mean,, blind eye? I'm all packed up waiting to go to camp FEMA.
Not to be left out, it seems that Citi is getting close to blowing all to kingdom-come. They have recently been on a buying frenzy for derivatives. With the bill they just got through congress, they have about $ 70 trillion "supposedly" covered by the FDIC.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-0...-pass-swaps-pu

"To big to fail" has another name. "Alan Greenspan talked about this when I worked in the government. He basically said, ‘Everybody focuses on the too big too fail, but the real question is: What happens when you are too big too save?’ "
Former White House Official Warns Of Terrifying Cyprus-Style Global Endgame | King World News
The pension funds will be fleeced. "

The world is currently in deflation because of all the credit drying up. The CBs are printing like crazy but, the currency isn't moving from the upper loop into the general economy. There are a few plans floating around to send everybody several thousand dollars to get things moving again.
There is one very good analyst, FOFOA who has insisted that the CBs will eventually be able to create inflation. FOFOA

I'm not so sure. Deflation is a shrinkage in the supply of currency and credit. Currency; "There was approximately $1.29 trillion in circulation as of October 1, 2014, of which $1.25 trillion was in Federal Reserve notes. "
There are supposed to be one quadrillion in contracts denominated in U.S. dollars. There are about $ 1 quadrillion in Derivatives. There are about $ 15 trillion in Treasury bonds. We have a fractional reserve banking system. There isn't very much actual paper currency compared to the notional value of all those instruments and pixels.
I'm suspicious that much of the coming deflation will be in the notional value of all those instruments. The BOJ is buying everything that isn't nailed down just to support the notional value of stocks, bonds and whatever. They still have deflation. Can the FED buy everything in sight and still avoid deflation?

The FED bought up all those mortgage backed securities to keep the price of residential RE up high. They are buying every stock in sight to hold up the perceived value of stocks. They buy at least 80% of U.S. treasury bonds. They buy corporate bonds. Can the markets still crash if the CB has bought everything in sight? We may get to find out.
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Old 01-07-2015, 03:17 AM
Danny B Danny B is offline
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Kunstler 2015 projections

James Howard Kunstler has long been a gloom-and-doomer. He sells lots of books. His central point is peak-oil. He says that we will never run out of oil, we just won't be able to afford it. Energy is the master resource. When the price of energy goes up, there is less money to buy other things. The shale boom was financed by junk bonds and the industry lost a lot of money. Financing has collapsed and the oil majors aren't willing to throw their own money after the lost money of investors. They are shutting down.
Kunstler said years ago, that passing peak-cheap-oil would bring great volatility. I suspect that the unwinding of U.S. shale production will indeed bring volatility.
Kunstler has a long list of predictions for 2015.
Forecast 2015 — Life in the Breakdown Lane | KUNSTLER
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Old 01-07-2015, 03:43 AM
Danny B Danny B is offline
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Price of oil

"Oil dips below $49 as sector faces 'Hunger Games'
http://www.cnbc.com/id/102312537
OPEC says that THEY are not going to cut. WE have to cut.
"OPEC is not going to come to the rescue. It is up to American producers to cut oil supplies."
Investors Freak As Saudi Inaction Could Sink Oil To $20 A Barrel. Time To Buy? - Forbes
Expect $40 oil, U.S. to shut 200 rigs, pro says
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/expect...214145489.html
Oil is already at $ 30 in North Dakota because of high transportation costs; North Dakota Producers Looking at Crude Falling to $30 - Whiting Petroleum Corp (NYSE:WLL) - 24/7 Wall St.
While I like the price at the pump, whole nations and economies are going bankrupt. Canada is the #1 oil supplier to America. They have a housing bubble bigger than America had. Venezuela is beyond help and is crying to China for MORE money. Sad times.
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Old 01-08-2015, 03:56 AM
Ruphus Ruphus is offline
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I've always thought that the price of gasoline has been used to control inflation. It will be interesting to see if the OPEC countries hold out to $10-15 barrel prices. I appreciate your time and work into this thread. Very interesting links you have posted. The Forbes link gives a glimmer of hope that all is not lost and that oil will snap back to +$80 per barrel oil before major economic collapse.

I like the idea of getting out from under OPEC's thumb, but we will have to settle for those highly inflated oil prices in order for fracking to be a viable option for domestic oil companies. We are screwed both ways of course.

Thanks again I enjoy reading your posts.
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Old 01-08-2015, 04:04 AM
Danny B Danny B is offline
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The politics of oil

The oil majors are losing a LOT of money. The price is too high. Much of the price of energy is profit for banks and taxes for GOV. The oil majors have had enough of this BS of losing money.
Excess capacity for oil production has been with us for decades, despite propaganda to the contrary. OPEC came into existence in the 1970s to check the over supply of crude in world markets.

With the Jamaica Accords in 1979, the U.S. got the Saudis to quote crude in USD only. This turned the USD into the world's reserve currency, the value of which is managed on one hand by the Saudis along with the American oil majors, and on the other hand by the U.S. Treasury and the FED.

What you see going on in the oil market is a fight between the American oil majors and the FED controlled by the big banks. The Keystone Oil pipeline has nothing to do with the environment. It has everything to do with the value of the USD. President Obama chills for the big banks which got him elected twice. The big banks also own Boehner and Mitchell.

The banks want to keep the price of world crude high (check Schumer's recent statement on Canadian oil going through the Keystone Pipeline). The Saudis and the American oil majors want to sell oil into an economically depressed world market. Now that power has shifted in the Congress, the American oil majors and the Saudis are letting Obama and the big banks know that things will be different.......

Then, there is Putin and ISIL or whatever their current name is.
"A major sustained drop in World oil Prices could easily collapse the Western banks since it is estimated by experts that at least 40% of their Worldwide Derivate holdings are dependent on high World Oil prices.

Apparently the goal of this manipulated drop in World oil prices by the agents of the OCC was to create serious financial stress for the Russian Federation and President Putin, to bring them to their knees.

As a true Ju-jitsu move, what if Putin now dropped the price of oil even further to maybe $15/barrel and increased production to flood the global market with legal oil, not stolen oil??

How long before the criminal western banks collapse under the stress of the derivatives contracts they currently hold??"
Putin’s Opportunity to Bust the US Petro Dollar | Veterans Today
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Old 01-08-2015, 04:26 AM
Danny B Danny B is offline
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Confidence in financial markets

Energy-and-bonds... bonds-and-energy.
Bischoff;
"The FED keeps lowering the interest rates in order to keep the banks solvent. The easiest way I can explain this statement is to say that the loans on the books of the banks are an asset to the banks, while these bank loans are a debt obligation to the borrower. By lowering the interest rate, the FED increases the value of the assets (loans) on the books of the banks, while at the same time it increases the liquidation value of the debt obligation incurred with the bank loans taken out by the borrower. Quite clearly, the lowering of interest rates amounts to destruction of capital, i.e. airlines, car companies, rail road companies, and all capital heavy industry.

The FED is run by bankers appointed by the U.S. President and confirmed by the U.S. Senate. Their mandate is to keep banks alive and to provide for stable prices in the economy. That means in this environment, the FED must constantly be lowering interest rates. It has no choice, despite any propaganda emanating from the FOMC or the FED Chairwoman, that a rise of interest rates is on the horizon. Don't believe it....

Bond speculators are clued into all this. They have figured out a way to "front run" the FED. They take all this "printed money" put into circulation by the FED to purchase bonds ahead of lower interest rates. Then, the minute the FED has lowered the interest rate, the bond speculators sell the bonds back to the FED, thereby earning a hefty gain from the increase in the capital value of the bonds. The beautiful part is that this works for the bond speculators without having to take any risk at all.

Despite the fact that the FED wants all the "printed money" to flow to the commodity markets to keep up prices, once that "printed money" is in circulation, it flows where the fun is. As I explained, the fun is in the bond market. Speculating in the bond market, given the current FED interest rate policy, carries no risks for the speculators. Compare that to the risk speculators incur in the commodities markets.

The reader should see by now that the FED's policy causes prices in the commodity markets to fall, while it increases the capital value of bonds. The more prices fall in the commodity markets, the more "printed money" seeks gains in the riskless bond market. There is your explanation for increasing deflation despite a lot of "money printing". Compare this to the opinion the DB holds that "printing money" must necessarily cause inflation.

The readers get a much more detailed explanation by reading the interview Dr. Fekete gave to the DB in November of 2013."

SO, everybody is running to bonds,
"It is the sector flows that we see as bubbles. To create a bubble in anything, we need capital CONCENTRATION. This is where confidence comes into play. People display their herd-instinct by running into a sector because that is what everyone else is doing. People are convinced by price movement.
The Bond Bubble – Confirmed | Armstrong Economics

China seems to have a bubble in stocks rather than in bonds; The Last Bubble | Zero Hedge

FED GOV seems to have some problems with out of work people;
#16 69 percent of the federal budget is spent either on entitlements or on welfare programs.

#17 The number of Americans receiving benefits from the federal government each month exceeds the number of full-time workers in the private sector by more than 60 million. 17 Facts To Show To Anyone That Believes That The U.S. Economy Is Just Fine

Armstrong claims that it will all change to do-do when confidence is lost. It has happened before.
"The meltdown in Rome took place when? Not until 260AD. Why? Because for the FIRST time a Roman Emperor Valerian I was captured by the Persians and turned into a public slave. The CONFIDENCE in the government collapsed from that point on. Can you imagine what if Russia invaded Europe and captured Merkel and Obama and turned them into public slaves and the West suddenly discovered it was powerless to invade Russia. Confidence would collapse in Western currencies overnight."
Treading Water | Armstrong Economics
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Old 01-09-2015, 04:48 AM
Danny B Danny B is offline
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More debt,,, less oil

Quote:
Originally Posted by Ruphus View Post
I've always thought that the price of gasoline has been used to control inflation. It will be interesting to see if the OPEC countries hold out to $10-15 barrel prices. I appreciate your time and work into this thread. Very interesting links you have posted. The Forbes link gives a glimmer of hope that all is not lost and that oil will snap back to +$80 per barrel oil before major economic collapse.

I like the idea of getting out from under OPEC's thumb, but we will have to settle for those highly inflated oil prices in order for fracking to be a viable option for domestic oil companies. We are screwed both ways of course.

Thanks again I enjoy reading your posts.
Ruphus, thanks for the kudos.
I suspect that there won't be any snap back.
"Ironically, it may well end up as a showdown between the Fed and Saudi Arabia, the former doing everything in its power to keep otherwise insolvent companies well-capitalized, and on the other Saudi Arabia doing everything in its power to keep the cash flow drain as high as possible for High Yield debt-funded shale companies, and daring either the Fed, or rather junk bond investors who are scrambling for any source of yield, to back out. "

The oil rig count is falling fast and the bankruptcies are coming fast. There is fallout from all of this. It's mostly a case of collapse of derivatives.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-0...appening-again
This is an excellent article on the state of society;
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-0...ered-illusions
Facing illusions; https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NbxQpCq21l0
The dollar is not actually strong. It is rising but, only against the Yen and Euro. They are both falling. You Are Being Lied To – The West Is In Bad Shape, Particularly The United States | King World News
Much of this is tied to the demographic crash;
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/01/07/op...ine.html?&_r=0
The Euro is in free fall and can't realistically be saved; The Euro In Free-Fall | Armstrong Economics
The FED says that they have no fear of deflation;
"For many months, the Fed had openly ignored what the market was signaling about future inflation expectations, either through 5Y,5Y forwards or breakevens, instead opting to rely on such trivial and unreliable indicators as inflation surveys and beige book narratives. "
The Chart That Terrifies The Fed | Zero Hedge
They NEVER did have a clue.

The rigs are shutting down fast at the 2 main fracking states. That will show up very soon in supplies because the well depletion rate is so high.
Bakken, Let's Do The Math - Peak Oil BarrelPeak Oil Barrel
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Old 01-10-2015, 03:44 PM
Danny B Danny B is offline
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Bankism and money printing

Several writers have observed that we no longer have capitalism. It has been replaced with "bankism".
Charles Hugh Smith wrote an excellent article about another "system" that has been replaced.
Keep in mind that the Post-war Bretton Woods agreement made the dollar the reserve currency but, insisted that it be backed by gold. Since the dollar was good as gold for so may years, it flowed into every country. When the gold backing was removed, the dollars were still there. People continued to hold dollars as a rainy-day fund mostly out of momentum.
This worldwide saturation of dollars means that the FED can print a lot of dollars without causing the expected inflation. Also, foreign States created a lot of dollar loans that demand a lot of dollars to fund them. There is a big demand for dollars even though the petro-dollar is not as much in demand as previously.

In a general sense, a State funds itself by taxation. America has reached a point where it no longer depends on taxation. The Grace Commission created by Ronald Reagan reported that not one dime of federal tax revenues goes to support GOV. American GOV is supported just by printing. Smith claims that this can not be stopped internally. It must be stopped by external parties.
The banks took our money and bought the lawmakers and the courts so, I suppose that he is correct.
oftwominds-Charles Hugh Smith: 2015: Everything Can Be Fixed by Printing More Money
"But what if you live under a regime of people who obtain their wealth not through taxation but through money printing?"
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Old 01-11-2015, 01:54 AM
Danny B Danny B is offline
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GAAP and voodoo

The stock market just goes up and up. How can that be when the economy is dying? Several $ trillion were pumped into the stock market by the FED, PPT and ESF. About $1 trillion went into stock buybacks.
As companies buy back their own stocks those shares become what are called "Treasury stock" and they subtract from the amount of "outstanding shares", which is what are used for various financial ratios like EPS (Earnings Per (outstanding) Shares.) Therefore, the total number of outstanding shares is constantly shrinking as corporate buy-backs take place, which is one reason corporate profits seem to be rising (i.e., the same earnings are divided by a constantly shrinking number of outstanding shares.)
OK, the fewer outstanding shares, the higher the returns appear.

Sounds real good. It's just that it isn't true.
Generally accepted accounting practices GAAP seems to have gone the way of the Dodo bird. When you do Voodoo accounting, the stock market made money. Not with GAAP http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/defau...non-GAAP_0.jpg
Subtract the voodoo and the stock market made no money.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-0...-what-it-finds
Jefferson, "If the American people ever allow private banks to control the issue of their currency, first by inflation, then by deflation, the banks and corporations that will grow up around them will deprive the people of all property until their children wake up homeless on the continent their Fathers conquered."
OK, we can see the obvious inflation. Do you think that we have deflation on the horizon?

Here is a graph of GDP adjusted for debt; http://www.firstrebuttal.com/wp-cont...3.11.59-PM.png
The angle looks like a ski slope,,, double black diamond.

You have to look at the delta of the debt and GDP to get an accurate idea of what the economy is really doing.
Empirical Proof of the Giant Con | First Rebuttal
The oil majors are at war with the banks and it is getting really ugly. There is an Indian saying, "when the elephants fight, it is the grass that suffers".
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Old 01-11-2015, 02:23 AM
Ruphus Ruphus is offline
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Forgive my ignorance...

Thank you again for taking time to write this tread.

I am reading it from the beginning trying to catch up to now. But I have most likely a naive question. Some of the posts (not just yours but some links too) reference the fact that the USD is just paper with no real worth connected to it. But in other posts remarks are made that the bankers are after sidelined trillions? Why are the bankers after the worthless paper? I don't what to get to far into the thread without that understanding and if you could take the time to explain it I would appreciate it.
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Old 01-12-2015, 01:09 AM
Danny B Danny B is offline
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Avoiding monetary inflation to preserve the value of existing loans

Ruphus, the U.S. dollar IS just paper BUT, it is accepted many places for tangible stuff. The dollar was fixed at $20 per ounce of gold. After enough time, people got accustomed to just using paper. Gold places chains of control on GOV and banking. Even after GOV threw off those chains, people accepted paper just as before. Historically, this scheme goes on until GOV over-issues the paper. The average life of a fiat currency is 30-40 years.
Because the U.S. dollar is the reserve currency and the petro currency, this has given it an extended life.

The FED could just print $ trillions but, this would dilute the value of the existing currency. By stealing already existing currency, they avoid this dilution. U.S. GOV needs to avoid over-printing because exporters would demand something else besides U.S. dollars for the goods that they send us.
The U.S. dollar is not backed by anything BUT, it is redeemable for all sorts of things. Actually, U.S. GOV claims that the dollar is backed by the Full faith and credit of the U.S. GOV.

Keep in mind that the FED can create new currency but, the private banks can not. The private banks need to steal what is already in circulation. The only money that private banks can create is loan money. If there is no demand for credit, private banks can't create any new money. New money from private banks is deflationary because it carries an interest burden.
As long as the economy is growing, the "new" money moving into circulation pays for the principle and interest of the old loans.
When the economy collapses, everything moves towards default and the central bank has to ride to the rescue with debt-free money too offset the lack of debt money. The original loans were inflationary on inception and deflationary on repayment (because of the interest burden). The FED creates free money to ensure that there is always enough money in the system to repay the debt money.
The mega printing by the FED (TARP) was not very inflationary because it only rescued previously inflationary actions. The FED is careful not to inject too much money because your repayment to the bank will not have much "value" in hyper-inflated currency.
The banks have to steal existing money to avoid inflating away the value of the repayment you send them.
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Old 01-12-2015, 01:22 AM
Danny B Danny B is offline
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Church of Perpetual Growth

Keynesian economics demands perpetual growth in credit and presumably, population. We live in a finite world and growth will eventually have limitations. Herman Daly wrote about avoiding these limitations before we did severe damage to our "pale blue dot".
The economic heresy of Herman*Daly | Grist

"14) Mainstream Keynesian Economists and those governments who follow their line, typically aim for the Wrong Target — increased aggregate GDP Growth, when they should be aiming for greater GDP per capita
in a “Steady State” Economy (see the Work of Economist Herman Daly).
This Keynesian view leads to a variety of flawed policies including the
one that assumes that population growth is Good-in-itself. In the U.S.
and Eurozone, for example, this has led to the Counterproductive Policy
which encourages Mass Immigration. In fact this Policy results in larger
and larger social-welfare-Dependent Populations, and the Diversity it
brings generates loss of Social Cohesion. And this Mass Immigration
Decreases Job Opportunities and Wages for the Native-born ("Foreign-born
employment has increased by 1,028,000, while the number of native-born
Americans working has decreased by 780,000" (Rubenstein, vDare.com,
11/8/14) in the receiving Societies. Highly selective and extremely
limited immigration creates better results Economically and Socially. "
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Old 01-12-2015, 01:26 AM
Danny B Danny B is offline
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Selgin and Fekete

George Selgin writes about "free banking"
The Daily Bell - George Selgin on Austrian Finance, Central Banks and the Virtues of Free Banking
Antal Fekete writes about why the actions of the FED will never work as planned.
The Daily Bell - Dr. Antal Fekete: Blowing Up Modern Austrian Economics ... in a Good Way
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Old 01-12-2015, 05:01 AM
Danny B Danny B is offline
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GEAB No 90 and Jim Willie

We're getting closer and closer to dangerous times. I'm not pushing an agenda. I'm just trying to clarify where we are. LEAP 2020 is a group that has been doing a lot of projection. Their latest report is NOT reassuring.
GEAB N°90 is available ! Global systemic crisis 2015 – Oil, currencies, finance, societies, the Middle East : Massive storm in the Western port!
They have a good track record. They tend to be a bit socialist but, with the advance of automation, AI and robots, we are going to need some kind of solution that isn't limited to cut throat capitalism.

Another writer who has a good track record is Jim Willie. Here is his latest text;
Widespread Deceptions & Hall of Mirrors
Here is his latest vid; https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ynAAXzs3PUY

If anybody wants ANY kind of explanation or clarification, just let me know. I'll give it a try. I understand that it is hard to wade through 18 pages of posts. Fortunately, I’m not an economist. I don't have to block out years of bad programing.
If any readers have any doubt about the seriousness of our situation, I will remind you that Rothschilds are big proponents of population reduction.
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Old 01-12-2015, 03:37 PM
Ruphus Ruphus is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2013
Posts: 213
Yes thank you kindly for the response. I believe I am catching on to the way its played. I appreciate your easy reading style and the links to similar writings from FOFOA and Weis and a few others. I suppose now that I have read more that the bankers want all money in action preferably buying things with the help of credit. It is getting much easier to follow once you understand the rules to the game. Continue on kind sir.
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