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Old 11-10-2019, 04:43 AM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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Monetary inflation and,,,, a shortage of liquidity,,, melt-up

Bro Mikey
Zero Hedge;
Riding The Type 3 Mega Market Melt Up Train
"...while additional monetary stimulus won’t stimulate the economy, it will stimulate additional stock price distortions and asset price bubbles... we fear you ain’t seen nothing yet."
"Maybe The Rich See The Writing On The Wall": CEOs Stepping Down At Highest Levels Since 2008
Daimler To Slash 10% Of Management Amid Global Auto Industry Bust
China Auto Sales Fall 6% In October As Global Auto Recession Shows No Signs Of Slowing
Exposing The Plan For A Global Dystopia

"Global policy planners intend to deliver replacements for both dollar hegemony and fossil fuels. Plans may appear uncoordinated and in their early stages, but these issues are becoming increasingly linked."
Pentagon Official Warns China Exporting Killer AI Drones To Middle East
America would never do something like that.

China loaned bazillions of yuan to other countries. Now, these other countries are having trouble paying it back.
Mapping China's Global Debt-Serfdom-ification
"...there are seven countries in the world whose external loan debt to China surpasses 25% of their GDP..."

The U.S. mentality is slowly turning against the endless wars.
California's Housing Nightmare Is Only Getting Worse
There's no shortage of housing. You just have to know where to look.
53 Million Americans Drowning In Cycle Of Low-Wage Work
"The US is at the 11th hour, one hour till midnight, as the wealth inequality imbalance will correct itself by the eruption of protests on the streets of... "

California Approves $3.2 Billion Bond For High Speed Train To Nowhere
Yep, that is just what California needs.
America's Richest 1% Now Own As Much Wealth As The Middle And Lower Classes Combined
11/09 U.S. debt jumps $1 trillion in 3 months – what now? – Birch Gold
The Shanghai Composite is up 18.9% y-t-d, the CSI 300 32.0% and the ChiNext index 36.8%, despite economic deterioration and heightened risk. Chinese apartment prices continue to inflate at double-digit rates, as ongoing rapid Credit growth increasingly feeds asset inflation as the real economy struggles.

"The global financial system is self-destructing. Reckless monetary policies have inflamed late-cycle excess. I believe the scope of speculative leverage is much greater these days – on a global basis. The Fed in 2007 (and into ’08) extended a dangerous mortgage finance Bubble. Central bankers these days are prolonging catastrophic global financial and economic Bubbles. The global economy is much more fragile today, with a faltering Chinese Bubble posing an Extraordinary risk. Highly synchronized global financial Bubbles are a risk much beyond 2008."
"Stocks are fired up at the prospect of a year-end melt-up"
"M2 (narrow) "money" supply jumped $39.6bn last week to a record $15.245 TN. "Narrow money" gained $981bn, or 6.9%, over the past year. For the week, Currency increased $5.2bn. "

"M2 money supply has increased $796 billion y-t-d to $15.245 TN. With two months to go, 2019 M2 growth is on track to easily exceed 2016’s record $854 billion expansion. Recent M2 growth is nothing short of spectacular. M2 has jumped $329 billion in ten weeks, about an 11.5% annualized pace"
"Money Market Fund Assets (MMFA) have similarly exploded this year. Total MMFA have increased $517 billion year-to-date (to $3.555 TN), an almost 20% annualized rate. Like M2, six-month growth in MMFA has been extraordinary: expansion of $472 billion, or 35% annualized. "
"After ending April 2006 at $2.031 TN, money fund assets began growing rapidly, ending 2006 at $2.382 TN. And after expanding $154 billion, or 13% annualized, during 2007’s first-half, things went a little haywire. MMFA proceeded to surge $1.000 TN, or 53% annualized, "
"With the enormous growth of M2 and MMFA during 2007 and into 2008, how was it possible for markets to turn disastrously illiquid in the fall of 2008? Because the monetary expansion was being fuelled by a precarious expansion of the “repo” market and speculative securities finance more generally. "
Credit Bubble Bulletin : Weekly Commentary: Extraordinary Monetary Disorder

11/09 “Clients with guns” are demanding deposits from crisis-stricken Lebanese banks – ZH
After the banks re-opened clients beat up managers and tellers if they couldn't take out all their money. The tellers union threatened to go on strike,,,, and close the banks once again.
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Old 11-10-2019, 08:39 AM
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No belly up ECO

Same Ole Mask, different day, eco's been dead

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Old 11-10-2019, 08:33 PM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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broken up

During the period of time that America was on a gold standard, there was great success and wealth in the lower loop. This is ONLY true if the paper currency is convertible to gold,,, and vice-versa. The bankers wanted flexible currency so that they could create currency inflation to enrichen themselves. The State (or maybe the bankers) wanted a flexible currency so that they could finance wars with the public credit card. The CB tells us that they must have flexibility in currency control & creation to manage the economy. Right, finance for the welfare-warfare state. The gold standard had to go. The creation of the welfare-warfare State came first. The severance of the gold link came as a result.
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Old 11-10-2019, 08:35 PM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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Apparently, I can only post this topic one paragraph at a time. I've tried to post if for 4 days now.
At the same time, all States recognised that intra-State debts would just be paid off by printing sovereign currency. The BIS mandates that intra-State debts be paid in gold to avoid this scenario. So, while the people are saddled with a flexible currency, the States accept ONLY gold for settlement. The result of all this; as Pox Americana runs up ever-greater deficits, it must find ever-more gold to pay for certain things. So, while Bernanke may refer to gold as a barbaric relic, the State is deadly serious about stealing gold from wherever it can.
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Old 11-10-2019, 08:36 PM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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"Trouble is, most of the third world and Non-Aligned Movement – with the exception of Iran, Lebanon, and Venezuela – have already turned over their gold to the West. So, there is little physical gold for Washington to cajole, appropriate, or steal from destabilized sovereign entities or failed states Washington creates."
"Also consider that the United States has been on the oil standard since ditching gold in 1971, because oil is traded in dollars like real money once was (gold). Where oil is fungible, portable, a unit of account and divisible, durable, rare… but most importantly has real intrinsic value — unlike paper currency."

"1. The ratio of gamed gold, ie paper-derivative Wall Street gold to real gold, is at least one thousand-to-one. Meaning that gold would be about $10K USD per ounce if valued in a free market, which concurs to an extent with the overall daily trading volume. Then if we look at trilateral derivative products overall (US/UK/Japan) as being at least 1.2 quadrillion USD in outstanding derivative debt (ie 1,200 trillion but the total is far higher on a global basis) then the gold price per ounce would exceed $40K if the USD were backed by gold"
"2. Now we see a dollar world turned on its head. We know that the USD system is inherently unstable, and structurally unsound. Like an old brick building waiting for an earthquake to happen, the building is standing for now, but any substantial tremor will bring it down. "
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Old 11-10-2019, 08:38 PM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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This is an excellent article but, has a couple of flaws. Germany lost all of it's gold as a result of WW I. But, under the programs created by Adolph Hitler, it had a VERY strong currency. How could that be? The strength of a currency is related to the productivity of the host country, not to gold reserves
"real intrinsic value — unlike paper currency."
A currency does not have to be pegged to anything tangible. The value of the currency is controlled by how well it is accepted. Along with the productivity of the state sponsor of the currency.
"fungible, portable, a unit of account and divisible, durable, rare" THAT is the reason that diamonds are falling out of favor. They vary in intrinsic value and, are not divisible.

The dollar has the best history of not being cancelled. The poor Euro was flawed from the beginning. It is going down in flames. The U.S. dollar is an instrument of the U.S. government. The Euro is an instrument of who knows who.
Armstrong writes that the euro is crashing because of NIRP. It isn't that simple.
"Their greatest hope will be for the Monetary Crisis Cycle to undermine the dollar in the year (singular)ahead. That combined with the neo-cons trying to weaponize the dollar will be the ultimate means to dethrone the dollar."
Dethroning the dollar will cause huge dislocations in all markets. When nobody knows the value of a currency, those who can will demand trade settlement in gold. The most traded commodity is oil. Speculation,,, the dollar will be accepted for oil up until the time that U.S. sovereign debt crashes. We pay for oil with U.S. GOV debt notes, not dollars. If / When the time comes that we can't just print more GOV debt to pay for oil, we will have to pay in gold. It has ALWAYS been the unit of account for intra-state debts.

EDIT I have no idea of what is so threatening about this post. I tried cutting it in half and, taking out the links. I just got a header and a blank page.

Last edited by Danny B; 11-10-2019 at 08:41 PM. Reason: info
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Old 11-10-2019, 09:28 PM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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headlines and progress

Here is an excellent article on the Eurodollar market.
"In 1963 the Eurodollar market was worth around $148 million. By 1982 it was worth $2 trillion."
"The ability of corporations and the wealthy to hide their billions in the euro markets is a chronic problem for both the US Treasury and its Third World counterparts. In 1950 US corporations footed 26% of the total US tax bill. By 1990 they were covering only 9%, contributing to massive budget deficits and a $2.4 trillion US debt. "
" The great African revolutionary leader and Tanzanian President Julius Nyerere wondered, “Should we let our people starve so that we can repay our debts?

The international bankers’ answer was an unequivocal “yes”. Their Club of Rome arm, over caviar and pate, advocated depopulation of the world’s undesirable poor. "
I imagine that the Club of Rome can do quite a bit to reduce world population.
11/10 Yield curve improvement bodes well for economy – Seeking Alpha
It means absolutely ZERO.
11/10 53 million Americans drowning in cycle of low-wage work – Zero Hedge
How about the ones with NO work?
11/10 America is facing a pension crisis. Retirees will pay the price – CNN With their lives.

GPT-2 can write whole books of fake news, etc
11/10 Book by “Anonymous” is said to paint “chilling” portrait of Trump – CBS

Iran Finds New Oil Field With Over 50 Billion Barrels: Rouhani
Edward Griffin and the Red Pill expo.
Broke Bond Markets Mounting: Italy Surpasses Greece As Europe's Riskiest Sovereign
".. central-planners' incessant meddling with global markets has sparked another WTF-moment in capital market history.

Fannie Mae Accidentally Spills The Beans On The Impending Housing Market Crash
Moodys Downgrades UK Outlook To Negative On 'Brexit Paralysis'

Big Pharma's Dangerous Drugs Are Now Killing More People Than Guns Or Automobile Accidents
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Old 11-10-2019, 11:51 PM
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BroMikey BroMikey is online now
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Fear is how the people are manipulated like pawns. OMG the world
system is going to die and you with it. Take this drug or yer gonna die.

Buy gold or yer gonna go broke. Buy survival can goods or yer gonna
starve. Get yer damm vaccines or yer a bad person. Fear.

Fear thru lies spewed ppl gulp down as gospel coming off of the news
station you pay for when the cable vision bill comes. Fear of losing your
health happiness, home so better do what we say right? Pawns no more.
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Old Yesterday, 03:57 PM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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An unfolding, possible solution

I've repeatedly stated that a dollar bill was a powerful instrument. It is a bearer bond of zero maturity. It is more fungible and accepted than gold coin. Traditionally, a transactional currency can't serve as a store-of-value, but, for the time being, the U.S. dollar is doing just that. Especially outside of America. Paper money is more likely to be shunned because of a lack of confidence in the issuing government than to be shunned by over-printing.
Armstrong did a vid on how the U.S. GOV can extricate itself from the collapse of sovereign debt. We are 37 days away from the projected collapse of the world economy.

I'm quite sure that EVERYBODY in GOV is looking for some kind of solution that does NOT include revolution and / or mass starvation. With Armstrong's history and, his super computer program, I suspect that everybody in State will be examining and entertaining his ideas.
I have reviewed your Solution video. Could the government ease into such a solution in stages? For example, the government could place a moratorium on issuing debt and pay the year’s budget which included a reduction in principle on outstanding bond debt, and meeting current interest expense, by printing actual currency.
ANSWER: Yes. I believe we would have to do this in three stages. The point of the exercise is that markets trade on ANTICIPATION. Once it is realized that we are actually making a fundamental change, the markets will begin to move to reflect the long-term expectations.
Currency created like this does NOT incur an interest charge. This would sideline the entire sovereign bond market. It would inflate the currency supply without inflating the interest burden. 51% of Americans depend on a check from GOV. Suppose that they received cash instead.
Remember that U.S. GOV flew planeloads of cash into Iraq to pay contractors.
During Great Depression one, all the means of productivity were there. It was just that nobody had any money.
This action of the GOV paying cash directly to people in the lower loop would definitely re-capitalize the lower loop. It would also remove or block much of the interest charges on Federal debt.

National debt is rising faster than exponentially.
Peter Schiff says US will default on its national debt
Previously, America did a soft default when it revalued gold UP.
The bond market is starting to show signs of great stress.
"They" are trotting out MMT and UBI as a solution. This "version" of using cash is a novel idea. GOV has a LOT of dependents. If federal debt crashes without some kind of backup plan, <160> million people will be cut loose. Even the private sector will continue to crash.
The last thing that the State wants to do is to make government more efficient.
Rage against the (bureaucratic) machine: Putin says AI could ease Russia’s red tape woes
Yep, AI could empty out a LOT of government offices.

11/11 Bitcoin prices surged close to 4% in under 10 minutes – Forbes
11/11 Is bitcoin a good investment and how Is it valued? – Interesting Engineering
11/11 Could Google’s qauntum computer mine 3 million bitcoin in 2 seconds? – Crypto Globe

Uhh, just buy gold if you want something under your control.
11/11 With 97% of companies using non-GAAP (generally accepted accounting practices) metrics, is everything fake? – ZH
I duuno,, what do you think?

11/11 Central banker: “I would have never imagined this would be our destination” – ZH
Spoken by somebody who has never studied history.
11/11 How bad is China’s debt? A city hospital is asking nurses for loans – NY Times
Now comes the official denial so, you know that it is true.
Deutsche Bank Denies Bankruptcy Rumors ... - YouTube
https://www.youtube.com › watch
5 days ago -

edit Big Bad Bald Ben Bernanke said that he could have prevented Great Depression One He said that the FED just didn't provide enough liquidity.
So, he was given the chance to prevent Great Depression Two. The FED pumped in about $27 trillion in loans and loan guarantees. Didn't change anything in the long run. The FED pumped liquidity into the upper loop where it wouldn't be spent on wages or consumption. Now, that this bold new plan has crabbed out, everybody is searching for a solution.
Most "money" is created as new debt. The FED can create new money that is not debt money,,, called, base money. If there is no debt load, nobody makes any gains / interest on it. The Bernanke money was offered to the lower loop as loans. The lower loop was already debt saturated. The only people who borrowed were people who couldn't realistically repay the money. This was first seen in the NINJA loans during the housing bust. Now, we see this in student debt, auto loans, corporate bonds,,, and a few other places. The huge cascade of default is waiting in the wings to make an entrance.

It was clearly proven that hyper inflating the upper loop to rescue the money-renters did not rescue the general economy. "they" have to re-capitalize the lower loop or, it is game over.

Last edited by Danny B; Yesterday at 08:53 PM. Reason: duhh,,, mo info
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Old Yesterday, 10:16 PM
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BroMikey BroMikey is online now
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The End is Near

The eggs are going up, clear sign,time to hunker down.

Originally Posted by Danny B View Post
I've repeatedly stated that a dollar bill was a powerful instrument.

During Great Depression...........

We are 37 days away from the projected collapse
of the world economy.


Last edited by BroMikey; Yesterday at 10:33 PM.
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Old Today, 05:09 AM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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Expensive stocks,,, Achilles heel of bitcoin,,,flawed strategy of China

Zero Hedge;
Manhattan's Retail Industry Is Imploding Before The Holiday Season
"...facing a retail vacancy epidemic."
VIXtermination & Megadeath
"VIX short positioning has taken on record proportions, exceeding even the previous record short right at the January 2018 highs right before holders of the doomed XIV product got massacred."
As Insider-Sales Hit Record Highs, Travis Kalanick Dumps 20% Of Uber Stake After Lockup
"Kalanick is dumping stock like every other insider on Wall Street..."
Ron Paul Asks: Is The "Mother Of All Bubbles" About To Pop?
You can see that there is quite a lot of pessimism about the stock market. BUT
11/11 Blain: “When there is too much cash the market will remain irrational for longer” – ZH

Bank Of America: Stocks Are The Most Expensive Since The Jan 2018 Meltup "But There Is No Alternative"
India's Factory Output And Electricity Demand Plunge To Decade Lows Amid Economic Downturn

I found 2 interesting articles with glaring omissions. The first is on bitcoin. It is very thought provoking.
"That’s why every single system in the history of the world has distributed the money in one way:
From the top down.
Because it maximizes the advantage of the kings and mobs at the top.
Unfortunately, that means most of the money never really leaves the top. It stays right there

"For example, we could pass a law, like a Universal Basic Income (UBI). That would give everyone a stream of money, pushing it out across the entire playing field and giving more people a chance to participate in the system.'
The problem with all of the plans before now, from UBI to socialism (high taxes on the rich to spread the wealth across the game) is that to redistribute the money after it’s already been distributed is nearly impossible. The people with that money rightfully resist its redistribution.
But what if the money is NOT already distributed?
What if we don’t have to take it from anyone at all?

"That’s the missed opportunity of all of today’s cryptocurrencies. Cryptocurrencies are creating new money. And unlike credit markets, which only pretend to expand the money supply, by lending it out 10x with fractional reserve lending, cryptocurrencies are literally printing money. And they aren’t loaning it to people, they’re giving it to them for their service to the network."

I'll reserve judgement on that one.
As Naval said: “Society gives you money for giving society what it wants, blockchains give you coins for giving the network what it wants.”
So, we can all stop working at what society wants.

I outlined one way in the an article about the Cicada project, How We Deliver a Universal Basic Income Right Now and Save Ourselves from the Robots.
Not really.
In other words, we missed the real power of Satoshi’s creation: the distribution of money.
The article is quite thorough but, it never mentions that 10% of crypto gets stolen.
It never mentions that the economy can't function if nobody shows up for work.

The second article is on the rise of China.
"The rest of the world—most of Asia, Africa, and Latin America—essentially didn’t matter, economically or militarily. It was the site of occasional proxy conflicts between the superpowers (Vietnam, Afghanistan, etc) and in some cases, produced vital commodities like Middle Eastern oil, but they were mostly an economic non-factor. We called it the “Third World.” In practice, it was a bipolar world."
Oil is definitely a critical FACTOR.
"Leaders in Beijing may have admired our accomplishments, but not enough to abandon Communism. They merely adapted and rebranded it. We perceived a bigger change than there actually was. Today’s Chinese communists are nowhere near Mao’s kind of communism. Xi calls it “Socialism with a Chinese character.” It appears to be a dynamic capitalistic market, but is also a totalitarian, top-down structure with rigid rules and social restrictions."

"Another good resource is Michael Pillsbury’s The Hundred-Year Marathon. He marshals a lot of evidence showing the Chinese government has a detailed strategy to overtake the US as the world’s dominant power. They want to do this by 2049, the centennial of China’s Communist revolution.

The strategy has been well documented in Chinese literature, published and sanctioned by organizations of the People’s Liberation Army, for well over 50 years. "
"Xi’s vision of the Chinese Communist Party controlling the state and eventually influencing and even controlling the rest of the world is clear. These are not merely words for the consumption of the masses. They are instructions to party members."

"Pillsbury is a recognized scholar of all things Chinese, particularly their military philosophy. He contends China will employ unconventional military tactics, “The Assassin’s Mace,” in any potential confrontation with the United States. Where we see strengths, they see weaknesses. His account of participating in US military wargames is worth the price of his book. Summarizing quickly the section on the first game:

It was three hours before the war game ended, but when the final move was made, the map on the floor was like a chessboard showing checkmate, with the American king trapped and defenseless. For the first time in the history of Pentagon-sanctioned military simulations, the United States had lost a war game. To win, I had employed tactics derived from my evolving understanding of Chinese strategy. The weapons and military strategy that guided my tactics had their roots in ancient Chinese warfare, and their modern incarnations are…"
It's a long, interesting article detailing about how China is using non-conventional warfare against America.

How did African swine fever get from Africa to Russia to China?
"The FAO also reported that within the last month, ASF has spread to new locations in Vietnam, North and South Korea, Lao PDR, Cambodia and The Philippines. "
How did Hong Kong just spontaneously decide to revolt?
Trump is quite open about attacking China financially.
China moved about 400 million self-sufficient peasants to the cities. China has run out of things for them to work on. They continue to build more cities and infrastructure that just wastes capital BUT, keeps the Chines busy. The State-owned-enterprises and shadow banking system financed & built everything. Trump is trying to precipitate a crash of the shadow banking system. Some banks have already failed. There is over $1 trillion a year of capital flight. China has to print more just to stay in one place.

The Chinese could have created some kind of safety net for it's people. Instead, it created it's "social credit" system where everybody is closely monitored, evaluated and punished. All stick and NO carrot

The world is taking a stand against China, freedom's enemy ... https://thehill
The US and China are the closest of enemies | European .
Trump, China and Europe: one enemy at a time please | South ...
https://www.scmp.com › This Week in Asia
Steve Hilton Says: China is our enemy, not our 'partner' - YouTube

Bad sign for trade talks: Trump calls China President Xi 'enemy'
How China Went From a Business Opportunity to Enemy No. 1 ...

Trump is leveraging the communist ideology against China. The Orwellian lockdown of the Chinese people won't be effective when the credit default cascade wipes out the shadow banking system and, everything else with it.

Price deflation
Sex robots give boot to human prostitutes at Swiss brothel, charging half the price
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