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  #3451  
Old 09-09-2019, 04:34 AM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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Stockman,,, the numerous speedbumps

David Stockman has some good observations.
"There’s not going to be a deal, because the problem that Trump is focused on and obsessed with is that we bought $543 billion worth of stuff from China last year, and we sold $120 billion.

It’s not because of bad trade deals The Donald thinks that his predecessor made. Or because the Chinese are the worst kind of trade cheats in world history.
The reason is the economic differential—the economic cost and wage gap between the two countries is so great, that we have this huge imbalance. The Fed is the partial cause of that economic and cost differential.
If you look at manufacturing, our average wage is over $30, which includes the cash wage plus the health benefits, retirement, and Social Security taxes, and all the rest of it.
And in China, it’s about $5. When you have $30 versus $5, it tells you all you need to know."
'China is a red Ponzi. It’s a house of cards. It’ll collapse of its own weight sooner or later.
But we are going to hasten the collapse of the red Ponzi because they’re selling at (low) prices in order to maintain business and not lose it to Vietnam and others."
The global mean wage allows no escape.

"They’ve got no room left to go. Now, people say they could go negative. They will not go negative in the United States. If they actually tried to drive interest rates in the short end of the market into negative territory—and finally crush whatever life is left in the savers and retirees of America—people would be descending on Washington with pitchforks and torches. So that won’t happen."
Not so sure about that. Even Bernanke said that rates could never go negative because people would just hold cash.
"The QE experiment has failed entirely. We’ve had massive increases in the Fed’s balance sheet, which went from about $850 billion on the eve of the subprime crisis to a peak of $4.5 trillion. "
NOT a failure,,, the banks are still open.

"You have $16 trillion of investment-grade sovereign debt trading at negative yields."
"So, if they try to go big time with a new round of QE, that will blow up the bond market. There’s no doubt about it.
I think that will be a calamity and will generate an unprecedented collapse of the entire global financial system"
"This is a race to the bottom on yields. This is a race to the bottom of the $60- or $90-trillion global bond market, depending whether you’re counting investment grade or everything. If you count everything, it’s something like $90 trillion."
"Let’s say the price moves 110 to 120 on 95% leverage, and they’re laughing all the way to the bank. This is big-time speculation.

When it reverses, they’re going to unwind these trades and all these elevated, insane prices in the bond market.
That’s what $16 trillion of negative yield means. It equals insanity.
So, the point is it’s going to correct, and when it does, it will correct hard. It will ricochet through the entire financial system."
"In other words, the correction is going to cascade and ricochet through the entire global financial system. It consists of $250 trillion of debt—of bonds, bank, junk, commercial real estate securitization, and all the rest of it. And the global stock market is about $80 trillion.

That’s to say nothing of the derivatives, which are orders of magnitude larger than those two markets.
So, we’re talking about a threat to the entire financial superstructure of the world. I don’t think it’s going to be a happy ending."
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-...nancial-system

"Make of Argentina’s woes what you will. Central bankers in the United States are also guilty of programs of mass money debasement. They may have a bigger economy to better mask their malice. But despite what the MMT delusionals say the day of reckoning always arrives – and always at the worst possible time."
The article goes on to "prove" that free money always debases the currency and causes price inflation.
ALL the current efforts at reinflating the economy are focused on channeling the money through the bankers FIRST. They just roll-over existing debt with the new money. MMT and UBI, if administered correctly would reflate the consumers, NOT the speculators. It is the massive deflation in the lower loop that is dragging down the upper loop. Still, they would rather be at the helm of a sinking ship rather that changing to a course that would save both loops.
https://economicprism.com/suffering-...l-cheap-money/

"#1 Biggie: Finance and Insurance.

Revenues in the finance-and-insurance sector rose 7.0% to $1.28 trillion in Q2, a new record, and the fastest growth of any major sector. For the first two quarters, revenues rose 6.9% to $2.54 trillion."
"Without the drag of the Fed, finance and insurance revenues rose 7.4% in Q2.

The largest sub-segment of the “finance” part is banking: Deposit-taking banks (commercial banks, credit unions, and the like); and nonbanks or shadow banks (lenders that don’t take deposits). Revenues jumped 7.0% in Q2 to a record $360 billion, with shadow banks having bypassed deposit-taking banks some time ago.

The “insurance” part of this sector is even larger than the “finance” part, in terms of revenues, with blistering growth rates approaching 10% "
https://wolfstreet.com/2019/09/06/se...grows-fastest/
No surprise that the velocity of money is falling. No surprise that the lower loop is constantly deflating.

The problems with the 737 are killing Boeing. NOW,
Scandal-plagued Boeing Suspends Test Of Long-range 777x After 'issue' During Final Load Checks
US Sent 30,000 Truckloads Of Arms To N. Syria - Erdogan And the masters of war are quite happy.

Welsh Independence Supporters March 'All Under One Banner
Scottish Independence Supporters March 'All Under One Banner'

I see no mention of Ireland. What happened to the Provo company?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P8wgrZ6t5BA
https://headlinehealth.com/african-s...pigs-in-china/
Maersk is reducing shipping capacity from China to Europe.
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-...lobal-slowdown

They are ALL gold diggers.
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-...attractive-men
The thread has almost 1100 comments,,, very informative.

9/08 Warning issued after malware hijacks bitcoin blockchain – Forbes
Did you hear that the same thing happened to gold?? NO,,, neither did I.
9/08 Robert Mueller helped Saudi Arabia cover up its role in 9/11 attacks – NY Post
I'm hoping that somebody, somewhere starts to squeal on the real attackers.
9/07 For the first time in my life, I’m frightened to be Jewish – Open Democracy
That's great. If Judaism can rid itself of the great leech of zionism, the world will be a better place for everybody.
9/06 Trump administration backs privatizing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac – MarketWatch
Without an explicit government backing they go bankrupt in a matter of hours.

9/08 Russia issues sovereign bonds denominated in yuan – Zero Hedge
This is a very big deal.
9/08 China: a paper tiger in a fragile economy – Liberty Nation

9/08 This global recession will be immune to monetary solutions – Roubini – Moguldom

ONLY if the money is injected into the upper loop.
9/08 Fed may need radical measures to protect US economy from next downturn – Fox
Try UBI
Workers in Wisconsin lead the way.
https://www.blacklistednews.com/arti...ating-new.html
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  #3452  
Old 09-09-2019, 03:19 PM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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Fighting deflation by destroying the economy

The fight against debt-free money is warming up. The lies fly thick. I'll try to list them.
(Presbyterian) Former US Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker has said that he does not understand the rationale behind the central bank having a target of 2 percent for inflation.
Volcker said that he had found no mention of the rationale behind having a 2 percent target for inflation in any of the textbooks that he had read. "I know of no theoretical justification," he wrote."
Volcker Blasts Bernanke and Yellen Over 2% Inflation Target

The ECB’s Deflation Obsession
Sep 6, 2019 Daniel Gros

It is hard to understand why the European Central Bank is currently so anxious to find new ways to make its policy stance even more expansionary. Its hyper-vigilance about falling prices is misplaced
BRUSSELS – Central banks aim for price stability, and today, prices are largely stable across much of the developed world. Yet central bankers declare themselves unsatisfied.
For starters, prices are not falling now; they are just increasing more slowly than central bankers would like.
The ECB regards such low inflation as totally unacceptable. It defines “price stability” not as stable – that is, unchanging – prices, but as year-on-year eurozone inflation of “below, but close to, 2% over the medium term.” Similarly, the United States Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan have inflation targets of 2%.
Central banks are afraid of stable prices for two reasons. The first is that the real value of debt automatically increases when prices fall. But fears of debt deflation seem overblown: because nominal interest rates are themselves close to zero, the real burden of debt would not increase even if prices remained stable. Moreover, the manageability of debt service depends mainly on whether incomes increase faster than the outstanding debt, not on whether the inflation rate exceeds the interest rate.
Ah yes, income increases.

This is especially important for highly indebted governments (and households). But on that score, the picture is currently even more positive: nominal GDP growth in the eurozone remains around 3%, well above the interest rates on almost all member governments’ longer-term debt (the average refinancing cost across the eurozone is now close to zero).
That GDP growth is all bogus because it counts money printing as GDP growth
As a result, eurozone governments are in a very comfortable position. Provided they run a primary budget balance of revenue and non-interest expenditure, their debt burden will slowly decline, relative to GDP.
Ah yes but, their revenue is falling.
Households are also favorably placed: their incomes are growing by about 3%, while mortgage rates are heading toward zero. They can therefore just wait for their debt-service capacity to improve over time.
There is no income growth and unemployment runs as high as 35%

Central banks’ second reason for avoiding stable prices is that it might be difficult for prices to fall in absolute terms
True, producers rarely face significant barriers to lowering the prices of most goods and services sold to consumers or other businesses. But firms generally find it much harder to reduce nominal wages to compensate for lower prices.
They would NEVER dream of lowering stock dividends.
Yet the downward stickiness of wages is unlikely to become a concern anytime soon. Nominal wages are currently increasing by around 2.5% per year in the eurozone (and by over 3% in the US). These rates are among the highest this decade, which has been a period of strong employment growth overall.
These people must have done a lot of drugs.

This is not the first time that wages have fallen in Japan, and previous episodes caused no noticeable problems. Some economists, in fact, have argued that downward wage flexibility does not seem to be a primary contributing factor to Japan’s prolonged deflation.
Rising Relative Poverty in Japan. TOKYO, Japan — The rate of poverty in Japan has hit an all-time high among children and single mothers, currently at 16.3 percent. .
no noticeable problems,,,, so, just get rid of the children and mothers.

The need for occasional reductions in nominal wages seems remote in Europe and the US, and does not seem to cause trouble in Japan.
These wage reductions are a continual occurrence caused by currency inflation resulting in purchasing power reduction.
Given all this, it is hard to understand why the ECB in particular should be so anxious to find new ways to make its stance even more expansionary. Yes, economic activity has weakened over recent quarters, and survey-based indicators suggest that the global economy is poised for a slowdown. But as former US Secretary of the Treasury Lawrence H. Summers and Anna Stansbury have convincingly argued, by itself, further monetary-policy easing will do little to stimulate demand and drive inflation.
As long as it is all pumped into the upper loop, this is true
https://www.project-syndicate.org/co...l-gros-2019-09

An attempt to pump money into the lower loop will bring disaster,,,, so it is claimed.
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-...cracy-dystopia
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  #3453  
Old 09-10-2019, 02:48 AM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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QE MAX from the ECB,,, Illinois, Ford, GM,, GE

There is a wonderful new method of energy storage that uses CO2 as a primary material.
"So far, the process has been shown to convert about 42 percent of the electricity from a power source into a chemical form that can be used in fuel cells."
https://www.sciencealert.com/enginee...to-liquid-fuel
42%, marvellous.

Margaret Thatcher managed to keep GB out of the monetary union. This should make Brexit easier. Not surprisingly, the House of lords has sided with the City of London bankers in trying to block Brexit. BOJO is no slouch and, things are going to get bloody.
9/09 Boris Johnson’s Brexit carnage – New Yorker
9/09 Boris and Farage could crush Labour in election – Express


9/09 Toxic nanoparticle air pollution found in human brain tissue – Natural Society
What a surprise?? The 10th cranial nerve (Vagus nerve) carries nutrients & poison alike from the gut and, past the blood-brain barrier.
9/09 Australia deploys world’s first law to fight online extremism – Zero Hedge
All the wankers in politics are tired of being ridiculed.
"A man wearing an "I'm with stupid" T-shirt has been charged with public nuisance during campaigning for the Queensland state election. Judi Jabour witnessed the incident and tweeted that she saw at least 10 police, one paddy wagon and two vehicles turn up at Brunswick Street to arrest Fogerty.
Fogerty was seen standing next to people campaigning for Robert Cavallucci, the state member for Brisbane central and Assistant Minister for Multicultural Affairs, "

9/07 Porsche’s 750 hp Tesla-killer has landed… and Elon is getting nervous – Zero Hedge
Marvellous, how many people do you know that can safely drive a car with 750 hp?

9/09 Lagarde says `highly accommodative policy’ is warranted by ECB – Yahoo
9/09 Time for shock and awe: five questions for the ECB – Reuters
9/09 Germany considers ‘shadow budget’ to circumvent national debt rules – Reuters

Italy circumvented the budget rules by telling the ECB to "get stuffed"
France got around the the national debt rules by just ignoring them.
9/09 ‘Super Mario’ Draghi set to ride again – Bloomberg
He's just trying to survive to the end of his term. LaGarde is trying to pave the way for her term.
The printing presses will be humming. Existing capital will flee. The more that the ECB prints, the more that GB and U.S. will attract capital. It won't go to the sovereign bond market because of Armstrong's warnings. The corporate bond market is exceedingly ugly too. Regardless of stock markets being in the nosebleed zone, they may still go higher.

9/09 The shale boom has turned to bust: producers slashing budgets & production goals – ZH
9/09 Oil prices and the coming financial ‘ice age’ – Resiience

Time to call up Russia for oil.

9/09 New questions on Chinese GDP and solvency as SOE’s told to “pay bills on time” – Mish
9/09 Chinese exporters get a taste of the misery to come – Bloomberg
9/09 China’s trade with US shrinks as tariff war worsens – AP
9/09 China adds 100 tons of gold to its reserves in just 9 months – Kitco
9/09 The China silver wildcard & what’s next for the silver price – SRSrocco Report

China, like Germany was on a silver standard for a long time. Germany went off the silver standard when The Comstock Lode was found in Nevada.

9/09 World’s worst bad-loan mess set to worsen on India’s cash crunch – Bloomberg
India banks stressed debt ratio may exceed 12% of the total ,,, A prolonged shadow-banking crisis
Ah yes, the shadow banking system.
9/09 Globalization hits a brick wall named Trump – Real Investment Advice
Trump is trying to pull America back from the road to revolution.

ZH FBI Given Evidence Of Clinton-Linked Libya Scheme; Instead Launched Trump-Russia Quagmire.

Illinois' Record $47 Billion Loss Ignored By Mainstream Media. Why?
Instead of clear reporting on Illinois' greatest loss ever, we’ve seen perhaps the most glaring example yet of how the state’s finances can be misunderstood, misreported and intentionally distorted.

Crashing Angel: Moody's Downgrades Ford, And Its $84 Billion In Debt, To Junk
No less than $84 billion in debt is affected, making Ford the single biggest fallen angel in the US bond market.
Markopolos: GE Is “Bankruptcy Waiting To Happen”
General Motors And General Electric Highlight The Ponzi Scheme That Is The US Economy
9/09 Latest trade war causalities: more than 10,000 layoffs in August – Reason
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  #3454  
Old 09-10-2019, 03:00 PM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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reducing drug availability,,,a bit closer every day to the default cascade

The Trump effect;
Purdue Pharma Expected To File Bankruptcy Amid Settlement Negotiations 'Hitting An Impasse'
Oxycontin Owners Refuse To Risk Their Personal Wealth
"the family had balked at a demand from state attorneys general that they pay roughly $4.5 billion out of their personal wealth. State and local governments have filed more than 2,000 lawsuits claiming Purdue Pharma played a central role marketing opioid medications, including Oxycontin, while downplaying the risks.
Marketing? They bribed doctors to prescribe cowboy cocaine for EVERYTHING.
"federal opioid trial involving Purdue Pharma and more than 20 other drugmakers, distributors and pharmacy chains is set to begin next month in Cleveland."
https://www.npr.org/2019/09/09/75892...-opioid-claims
9/06 Next up for the guillotine, after opioids, are psychotropic pharmaceuticals – Dr. Sircus

The queen and the house of lords are aligned with the London Bankers and, against the people. Besides that "The bankers sell the government debt so the politicians cannot let the bankers fail for they also fund their elections."
Banker funded elections. What could possibly go wrong?
"The central banks are ARTIFICIALLY manipulating interest rates down to try to save the banks, but this Quantitative Easing has not only failed, it has set the stage for the next financial disaster — the collapse of government pensions and private pension funds. These funds are regulated and it is mandated that they have government debt for that is “risk free,” so they claim."
"This entire mess is not going to be held off much longer. We will be looking at this in great detail at the WEC in Orlando (Oct. 25-26)."
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/w...t-the-bankers/

Society General has very good analysts. This is what they have to say about the bond market.
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-...-around-corner
Another article from Zero Hedge points out that the human element is the weak link.
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-...says-ibm-study
BUT, the "human element" is ALL there is.
This doomsday clock tells you when Japan's sex problem will cause the country to go extinct
"The worrisome trend has now reached a critical mass known as a "demographic time bomb."
When that happens, a vicious cycle of low spending and low fertility can cause entire generations to shrink — or disappear completely. "
The BOJ keeps rescuing the banks. Did it never occur to them to rescue the people?

Armstrong; "COMMENT: Chicago is at it again. The new mayor, Lorie Lightfoot, is proposing a sales tax for high end professional services such as accounting, legal and investment banking. Can you imagine how fast the business district will be vacant!

REPLY: Chicago is rather doomed. The teachers wanted to put a tax on all trading in Chicago to pay for their pensions. These people have no concept of competition. Here is a postcard from 1909 showing that New York City was once the biggest port in America. There is NOTHING left because of the unions and corruption. Shipping simply left."

Armstrong answers the question, Can AI think.
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/a.../can-ai-think/

9/08 Warning issued after malware hijacks bitcoin blockchain – Forbes
Probably orchestrated by Goldman Sachs.
9/10 Biggest inflation in the history of history coming – Bill Holter – USA Watchdog
The PPT and CBs pumped in about $250 trillion of new debt. This is rapidly evaporating. The CBs, especially the ECB are getting ready to pump in X amount more to hold off deflation. It is doubtful that they can actually force-feed this debt into any new niches. Inflation is defined as an increase in the money supply. How does this work out when you are inflating a negative? Stay tuned to find out.

9/10 Gold will be the last man standing in a currency war – Mark Mobius – Kitco
Gold isn't a currency. It is a store of value.
9/10 Deficit surpasses $1 trillion: CBO – The Hill
9/10 Phantom FDI – Companies aren’t investing, they’re hiding money – Mish

Stay tuned to see how this works out.
9/10 Samurai, ninja loans boom as Japan banks hunt for yield – Reuters
9/10 Families go deep in debt to stay middle class: revolving credit jumps 11.2% – Mish

Ah yes, the family will be collateral damage in the war to save the banks.

9/10 Top U.S. regulator warns over corporate debt, market risks – Reuters
9/10 Big central bankers have big problems – Bloomberg

Buy more spam and popcorn.

"Lost in this new awareness, however, is that our global industrial economy is once again teetering on the edge of what will be a long drawn-out but ultimately permanent collapse. That’s a concern because if the more pervasive effects of economic collapse come first, there’s a good chance climate collapse will once again be ignored as our attention focuses on the more immediate existential crisis of economic suffering."

"This economy is built on faith in perpetual growth: faith that rapid and accelerating economic ‘growth’ can and will somehow continue indefinitely, so that investments in the future will continue to make sense. If that faith is shattered — if people begin to doubt that investing now in stocks, bonds, loans, real estate, commodities, and businesses will not yield a positive return commensurate with the risk in the intervening period — then the market value of those goods and securities will crumble, in some cases (like with stocks) to zero."
Bonds to zero,,, stocks to 15%

http://howtosavetheworld.ca/2019/09/...mate-collapse/
It's a pretty negative article but, has a lot of information. It leans heavily on CO2 and global warming. Global warming and increased CO2 would be good for plants. Unfortunately, we're moving into a cooling trend. Far worse that warming OR cooling is the obvious AND increasing climate volatility. The crop destruction will get much worse as we move into solar cycle 25.
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  #3455  
Old 09-11-2019, 02:46 AM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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Rethinking globalism and capitalism

Globalization Is the Only Answer - World Bank Group It works for the banks.
The Threat of Globalization - Global Policy Forum
Globalisation: the rise and fall of an idea that swept the world The Guardian
Globalization benefited just 6 countries.

Globalization was one of those ideas that sounded good on paper. It is just too exclusionary. It left too many people out.
Don't Reverse Globalization. Refine It. - The Globalist https://www.theglobalist.com
Trump and the reversal of globalization - Daily Sabah
Globalization a trend that cannot be reversed - Opinion ...www.chinadaily
It worked for China up until the point that it starved it's customers..

Why they're wrong - Anti-globalists - The Economist Yes, the mouthpiece of the self-appointed elites.
That Noise You Hear Is the Sound of Globalization Going Into reverse https://www.wsj. Ah, Wall Street Journal
Globalisation is changing, not going into reverse | Financial Times Another elite mouthpiece.
Globalism is too exclusionary.

What about capitalism? Here is an article about capitalism in crisis.
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/09/04/capi...aboolainternal

Naturally, it is full of lies. Nobody wants to blame crony capitalism.
'Skeptics dismissed that as “virtue-signaling” to mollify the anti-business left. But what if the Roundtable signaled a broader turning point, toward reordering America’s relationship with the free market itself?

Early 21st century discord in the U.S., Britain and elsewhere points toward that possibility. And “The Economists’ Hour,” a compelling new book by New York Times journalist Binyamin Appelbaum, helps explain how we got here."
"Appelbaum traces the rising influence of economists, and the values their discipline embodies, in government decision-making since World War II. Milton Friedman, along with John Maynard Keynes the most influential among them, ushered in the concept of shareholder capitalism in 1970."
Shareholder capitalism Appeared just as we were forced to abandon the gold standard in 1971. Inflate the snot out of everything except wages and, it will be great for the markets.

"Soviet communism collapsed, and living standards rose in the developing world. Yet rising integration with the global economy didn’t halt the long-term slowdown in U.S. growth."
Triffin's dilemma meant that foreign producers were forced to undercut American prices to earn dollars,,, if they wanted to have any reserves. All reserves were U.S. dollars and, there was only one way to get them.
"He adds: “But the market revolution went too far. In the United States and in other developed nations, it has come at the expense of economic equality, of the health of liberal democracy and of future generations.”

In impressive detail, Appelbaum catalogs the ways that revolution reached beyond conventional economic policy. "
Make that economic slavery created by banker originated inflation.
"America deregulated airlines and Wall Street in the name of enhancing choice and competing internationally. It loosened antitrust enforcement"
Yes, remove all moral hazard for the bankers,,, good idea.

"These efforts aimed to limit distortions imposed by political choices in the belief that efficient markets produce better outcomes for society as a whole. Politicians could use government to help market casualties later.
As it happened, casualties outpaced attempts to assist, and government investments in sources of future prosperity shrank."
NOT true, the TARP money created a lot of prosperity for the bankers

"Trump’s 2020 Democratic opponents promise tax, spending and regulatory interventions to lift the working class at the expense of corporations and the rich. Corporate leaders themselves, as the Roundtable made clear, recognize something has to change.

“Capitalism basically is not working for the majority of people,” as billionaire hedge fund manager Ray Dalio puts it. “That’s just the reality.”"
Sure, right,, blame capitalism for the sins of crony capitalism.
“Markets are constructed by people, for purposes chosen by people,” Appelbaum concludes. “And they can be changed and rebuilt by people.”
Markets are constructed by parasites and criminals.

Reportedly America has much more debt than generally recognised.
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/09/09/real...-suggests.html
Here is a good article on the blow-off phase of the debt bubble. Here is one interesting point,,, of many.
"A recent week of corporate bond issuance was “the biggest weekly volume to hit global markets on record,” according to Dealogic. US investment-grade companies raised $72 billion across 45 deals, equaling the total issued in all of August.

Numerous companies issued 30-year bonds with yields below 3%, which used to be the province of safe haven governments. Even Apple, which is sitting on an epic pile of cash, borrowed money. "
https://www.dollarcollapse.com/globa...bble-blow-off/

9/10 Subprime auto lender verified income on only 3% of loans in latest bond – ZH
Is EVERYBODY expecting a bailout in the collapse?
9/10 Deficit surpasses $1 trillion: CBO – The Hill
Really?? I hadn't noticed.
9/10 Trump fires chickenhawk adviser John Bolton – CNN
That is the best news in ages.
The Trump effect.
9/10 Big Tech backlash kicks into gear with antitrust moves – AFP
9/10 Devin Nunes accuses Fusion GPS of “racketeering” in new lawsuit – RCP


9/10 Japan may have to dump radioactive water into the sea, minister says – Reuters
This is SO stupid. Read Eagle Research. The water can be reduced to HHO gas and burned. According to George, vaporization with burning HHO gas removes radioactivity. I haven't tested this my self. HHO gas is SO strange, I wouldn't be surprised if the claim was true.
9/10 Tesla researcher makes million-mile battery cell breakthrough – Teslarati
Fascinating article about the impact that created the K/T boundary.
https://www.nationalgeographic.com/s...unning-detail/
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  #3456  
Old 09-12-2019, 03:13 PM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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Spreading the message of UBI

Once again, yesterday's post got zapped.
Why Momentum Stocks Are Getting "Slaughtered" | Zero Hedge
Charles Huge Smith writes about bubble dynamics. Good article.
Here is one graph, https://www.oftwominds.com/photos201...bubble4-19.png
Keep in mind that the stock market is distorted by foreign capital inflows.
oftwominds-Charles Hugh Smith: The Inevitable Bursting of Our Bubble Economy

Armstrong, Can governments prevent a major debt crisis?
"ANSWER: In building the model, I assembled data on everything I could find and then put it all together to see how and what made the world tick. I investigated tax rates to see how civilizations operated. I investigated what types of governments worked best and what always collapsed into oligarchies, then tyrannical entities, before collapsing into dust."

"The Romans generally had a 7% tax. They also had welfare. The difference was that they had NO central bank and NO national debt.
The problem we face is that it would have been far less inflationary to print the money than borrow it.

The Central banks claim that it is less inflationary to BORROW money rather than printing it.
Monetarism: Printing Money To Curb Inflation - Investopedia
Why Not Just Print More Money? | The New Yorker
Why Can't the Government Just Print More Money to Get Out of debt?


Armstrong, "We have a debt crisis that cannot be paid and the accumulative interest expenditures rose to reach at times even 70% of the national debt. Now that they have discovered NEGATIVE interest rates, they think they discovered a new way to tax people indirectly. They think we are too stupid to realize this is even a tax.

But fear not. We are heading into a Monetary Crisis of untold proportions. If the governments do not listen, they will create the biggest civil unrest in all of history."
One way or another, Trump must wrest control of money origination AWAY from the CBs. The bankers are juct one big club. All origination starts at the CB and passes through the banks FIRST. UBI would channel the money to the consumer instead of the speculator..

"This is the collapse of socialism, for they have promised everything, funded nothing, and cannot keep raising taxes without causing the economy to collapse. This will undermine their entire tax system.

There are ways to deal with this crisis if we have the courage to first admit that we have a crisis. That is step one."
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/w...r-debt-crisis/
The CBs have distorted everything. MUCH of this has been done at the behest of government.
https://confoundedinterest.net/2019/...ive-territory/

What is needed is; a very large number of people must be made aware of the CB ripoff AND, the necessity of UBI.
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Old 09-13-2019, 03:05 PM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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war as a "cure" for economic doldrums

Here is an interesting graph of currency debasement.
https://2oqz471sa19h3vbwa53m33yj-wpe...lver-cycle.jpg
Much of the debasement was a requirement of financing wars.
Armstrong; "Trump is a borrower and only sees the world through his personal experience. The people with savings and pension funds are being wiped out."
"I fully understand that the talking heads on TV also portray the stock market from the borrower’s viewpoint just as Trump has done. Not everyone borrows and the big money does not. So if people believe what they want to believe. I prefer to assemble the largest possible database, correlate everything, and see how the world REALLY ticks. So believe what you want. There are always two-sides to a market so I fully respect that it is ABSOLUTELY vital that the major be on the wrong side for that is what makes the markets move."

Armstrong, ;"Willson took a rather interesting view of tariffs. He argued that the system of high tariffs
“cuts us off from our proper part in the commerce of the world, violates the just principles of taxation, and makes the government a facile instrument in the hands of private interests.”
Tariffs were really an additional tax on consumers which Trump does not understand for he is looking only at jobs which is typical. "

This is typical of Armstrong. He assumes that consumption is a given. IT IS NOT.
"The Revenue Act of 1913 reduced the average import tariff rates from approximately 40% to about 26% and the revenue shortfall was to be be made up with income taxes."
Keep in mind that the "Grace Commission" reported that not one dime of your income tax money went to support GOV.
"From 1914 until early 1917, Wilson’s tried to keep the USA out of the war in Europe. That did not sit well with the hawks in Congress."
"All of that said, on the one hand we have Trump against war, as was Wilson, but in favor of tariffs as a tool to win free trade ignoring that they are really a consumer tax and protectionism for overpaid jobs."
We absolutely can not have people receiving a "living wage". America was a high-price & high-wage economy. The money renters would like to maintain the high prices BUT, reduce wages. 3rd grade arithmetic tells you that this won't work for long.

"The Fed was originally designed to stimulate buying corporate paper directly when banks would not lend. Now the Fed stimulates by supporting government buying bonds from the banks who in turn still do not lend to support the economy in a crisis. The very idea why we needed the Federal Reserve has been completely reversed."
The mandate of the FED was completely distorted, first by FED head, Benjamin Strong and later by FED GOV demand that the FED buy war bonds.
"There was a major debt crisis in Europe, but not the United States. This is what wiped out Britain as it lost the crown of the financial capital of the world to the USA. "

Maybe GB should have avoided all the wars.
Side note.
Mike King, "But the one thing this dirty gang could never have accomplished by themselves was to trigger the actual war. As even the most geographically illiterate Boobus Americanus or Boobus Europithicus should know, neither the US, nor the USSR, and nor the UK shared a common border from which to make mayhem against Hitler's Germany.

France does share a border with Germany, but when Hitler permanently renounced any claims to the disputed Alsace-Lorraine region in 1935, a possible flash-point between the two rivals was diffused forever. "
"In November of 1938, the U.S. mid-term Congressional elections dealt a crushing blow to Franklin Delano Roosevelt's Democrat Party. With America still reeling from the decade-long Great Depression, absent some foreign "crisis", it appeared that the failed two-term President would not be able to seek a third term (He ultimately held office until his death in 1945). It should be noted that at this hard time in American history, prosperous Germany was enjoying full employment, a strong currency, the Autobahn, the Volkswagen, and a happy reconciliation between labor and the entrepreneurial class"

"and so, by 1939, the New World Order crime syndicate and the British & French chauvinists had nearly run out of all options and all propaganda pretexts for instigating another war against peaceful and prosperous Germany, as they had done in 1914. The last hopes for starting the war to re-enslave Germany rested on the shoulders of one man, and one man only. His name was Edward Rydz-Smigly -- the criminal fool who started World War II. As is to be expected, his name is virtually unknown outside of Poland. It's high-time this dirty, rotten, ego-maniacal scoundrel gets the posthumous "credit" he so richly deserves. "

"In 1939, supported from "behind the scenes" by elements in the UK, France, and the US (yes, Roosevelt was deeply involved!), Smigly was encouraged to ignore Hitler's sincere and generous proposals for resolving the bizarre and hated partition of Prussia that had caused tension ever since the end of World War I. At one point, Hitler had even agreed to give up claims to western Prussia in exchange for the return of Danzig and a 1-mile wide highway - railway passage linking Germany to eastern Prussia.

Believing that the western powers were truly behind him, the cowardly Smigly 'stood down' and allowed predominantly Jewish-Bolshevik terror gangs to attack innocent Germans; both within "Prussian Poland" and inside of German border towns as well. These gangs of Red "partisans", as well as other Polish ultra-nationalists, had been salivating at the prospect of triggering a Western "holy war" against Germany ever since 1933."
"By August of 1939, Germany had exhausted all efforts to reason with Smigly's gang. Earlier that year, the British and French had even urged Smigly to allow the Soviet Army to march westward, in the event that war should break out with Germany."
"On September 1, 1939, after all German attempts to reason with Poland, France and Britain had failed, and after the Polish military, at the urging of Britain, went on full mobilization, the Germans invaded Poland and liberated Danzig. On September 7, along with most of the government, Smigly ran from Warsaw as it came under attack. The immediate counter-attack promised by Poland's French and British "allies" never materialized.

Unbeknownst to the blinded idiot Smigly, the Allies had no such plans and fully expected not only the fall of Poland, but the entry of Stalin's hordes. The Allies only interest was to have an excuse to declare war upon Germany, and then wait for Stalin to attack Germany from the east, necessarily having to pass through Poland. Stalin was indeed ready to pounce on a distracted Poland, but his move against Germany was to be on his time-table"
EDWARD SMIGLY RYDZ: THE MAN WHO STARTED WORLD WAR II
The long and the short of all this was Anglo-american-french wars as a panacea for a failed economy.
The result of all this;
Did you know ...

... that just 3 days before the start of the history-altering genocidal tragedy that was World War II, Adolf Hitler pleaded for peace with Britain and France. His sincere overtures were ignored as the Allies, under the phony pretext of "protecting" their aggressive and militaristic Polish ally, declared war first!

HITLER'S SINCERE PEACE LETTER TO FRENCH PRESIDENT

Armstrong again, "This time, the debt crisis is systemic. The currencies are showing divergences as they did pre-World War I. But we have a socialist crisis whereas Western economies are collapsing unable to fund all the promises, as was the case with Communism in 1989-1991 in China and Russia. The central banks only keep governments on life-support and there is no direct stimulation of the economy. Every lesson from the past has been forgotten. We have put all the eggs in one basket (government) and we have politics in meltdown as republics are collapsing and the left v right is becoming much more intense which will, as always and without exception, lead to violence, civil unrest, separatist movements rising, and could result in revolutions which increases the risk of international war as politicians need a distraction from their failed domestic agenda.

It is just now our turn to rock & roll."
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/a...-to-rock-roll/
Assuming the economy collapses, can Trump hold back the war dogs?
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Old 09-14-2019, 04:47 AM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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ECB, screwed either way.,, NIRP, the destroyer,,, Stockman

Once again, my post got zapped. This time, my fault. I have to do the short version.
The Pentagon warns of a complete breakdown of society as mega-cities rise. Just like Robocop andEscape From New York
https://theintercept.com/2016/10/13/...iggest-cities/
That is the projection for 2030. Here is what is happening right now.
https://www.presstv.com/Detail/2019/...st-food-crisis

Disasters causing billions in agricultural losses, with drought leading the way
The Midwest's Farms Face an Intense, Crop-Killing Future
Drought and Extreme Heat Are Killing the World's Crops | Time
Hurricanes, floods, drought and wildfires, 2017 the year of crop losses
Hunger looms as floods destroy crops, sweep away animals in East Africa
Devastating Impacts of Climate Change Threatening Farming
How Climate Change Will Alter Our Food - State of the Planet
Crop Failure A Growing Reality - Earth Changes and the Pole flip
Crop failure and food shortages grand solar minimum and pole flip
Cold and Wet Weather to blame for the Slowest Maize-Planting Season on Record


The emerging solar cycle 25 will be very weak but, our magnetosphere is even weaker. The sunspots may be fewer but, the flares and coronal holes will still affect us. Along with this, we will get a lot more cosmic rays that will bring rain and cloud cover.
You can monitor food production at Crop loss.com, Adapt 2030 and Ice Age farmer
Here are the countries that are most at risk. Keep in mind that crop failures may completely change the list as exporters become importers.
https://www.businessinsider.com/nomu...9#24-vietnam-2
Apparently, you will go to walmart to get your food.
https://www.zerohedge.com/health/wal...hing-when-shtf

9/13 Trump the Russian puppet. A story that just will not die – Strategic Culture
Not until the bombs drop on Tehran.
9/13 Banks seek lower credit score requirements for subprime borrowers – Zero Hedge
9/13 Medical debt is crushing many Americans – Zero Hedge
/13 Another surge in CPI medical care costs – Mish

It's not the doctors getting rich.

9/13 Draghi ties Lagarde’s hands with promise of indefinite stimulus – Reuters
9/13 ECB’s open-ended push leaves it more isolated – Bloomberg
9/13 ECB’s QE: whatever it takes morphs into “as long as it takes” – Mish
9/13 Palace revolt at the ECB, legitimacy of policy out the window – Wolf Street
9/13 The new ECB QE is a mistake. Here is what it should have done – Daniel Lacalle


"Almost all economists and market pundits believe NIRP will be a short-lived phenomenon. However, I have a very different take.
Negative interest rate policy changes the law of economics.
I also believe that NIRP will not only go much lower than almost everyone expects but will be with us globally. Across the board. For much longer than we can imagine.
First, let me explain why NIRP will go lower and stick around for a much longer time than anyone expects.
The general perception of NIRP, using a bond at a -0.5% interest rate, for example, means that if I buy that bond, I will get back less money in the future.
But, the reason why it’s working is the unit cost of the bond is rising significantly. This means the investor who is getting a negative interest rate, is making up for it on the bond price of the unit."

"The price of Austria’s 50-year bond has gone up 28% year-to-date and 8.8%% in August alone. All the while the yield is -0.02% after taxes. That is an incredible return for the bond market unit." "From the perspective of a bond manager, he is aware he is taking the loss on the yield. But, he’s making a 28% gain on the unit price."
So, as long as the CBs pump in new liquidity, the profit never stops.
9/13 ECB’s QE: whatever it takes morphs into “as long as it takes” – Mish
The printing presses can never slow down or,,, the bond market flames out.
https://katusaresearch.com/financial...tted-diseases/

BUT, the CBs have to constantly increase the supply of bonds.
9/13 Mnuchin says 100-year Treasury bond possible – Reuters
So, all the funds and savers who depend on interest income are to be sacrificed to temporarily rescue the bond market.

Stockman, "So, the first thing is to stay out of the casino. By that, I mean the financial-market stocks, bonds, and everything else.

These markets are so artificial. They’re just chasing what the central banks are doing. There’s no honest price discoveries or supply and demand; nobody’s discounting the future of economic growth, productivity, and investment. You’ve got the chart monkeys, 29-year-old day traders who are in charge of the market.

When the big correction comes, there are going to be massive losses, and the panic will be great. All correlations will go to 1—which means everything will fall: the good, the bad, and the indifferent."
What about my safe-haven bonds?
"You can’t be saved by picking high-yielding stocks or conservative blue chips or stocks that provide daily necessities like food—it doesn’t matter. Everything’s overpriced right now because of this huge financial distortion.

When the real correction comes and the central banks are revealed to be impotent and powerless, then everything is going to collapse. You’ll be in harm’s way no matter how clever you’ve been in trying to pick and choose."
"We have to recognize that the 30-year experiment in what I call “Keynesian Central Banking”—which is almost like central planning—is over."
"Remember the Time magazine cover from the late ’90s, “The Committee to Save the World”? It had Robert Rubin, Alan Greenspan, and Larry Summers on the cover. They’re now going to be the ogres who destroyed the world."
As long as it saves the bankers, that is what is important.

"his ferocious attack against the Federal Reserve will tear away the veil that it’s a beyond-politics cabal of geniuses who are safeguarding your livelihood.

He’s going to tear it apart. He’s going to totally besmirch and destroy the credibility of the Fed, at least in the eyes of his base. It’s going to create an enormous political debate about central banking."
"and he’s going to go after the Fed. We haven’t seen anything yet. And I relish the prospect. They need to be beat to smithereens with a strong, lethal political club, and that’s Trump. And after the fragments end up all over the cutting room floor, we can figure out what to do next. But you must take down this institution.

The Fed is the number one, the number two, and the number three enemy of prosperity, capitalism, free markets, individual liberty, and the wealth of people in the world today.
Central banks have to be totally discredited and taken down."
"The one thing that Trump is going to accomplish—as he desperately struggles for re-election—is he’s going to finally rip off the Band-Aid. We’re going to have a real debate about this awful curse of Keynesian central banking.

Let's not blame Keynes for the State takeover of the CBs to do war finance.
"And remember 80% of daily volume in the stock market is essentially either index-driven ETFs or various kinds of quantitative, machine-driven investment strategies. If that ever breaks loose, the market will go through an air pocket, and then it’s all over except for the shouting."
Shouting !!! I want to hear some screaming from the money renters.
"If the stock market cuts through these air pockets down below, the recession will happen instantly, and no one will see it coming—just like in 2008.

I remember in the spring of 2008 they were still talking about the Goldilocks economy. And in November 2008, they were talking about the end of the world."
"I think the odds are that it will happen before then, and if it does, Trump is toast. Elizabeth Warren will be the next president of the United States, and as that prospect becomes even more probable, the panic in the stock market will be something to behold. It will be worse than anything we’ve seen since October 1987.

If you talk about volatility, you haven’t seen nothing yet. Wait until the election gets really in full heat next year."
https://internationalman.com/article...2020-election/

Buchanan; "To Bolton, Trump’s trashing of Barack Obama’s Iran nuclear deal was the first step toward a confrontation and clash to smash the Tehran regime. To Trump, it was a first step to a Trump-negotiated better bargain with Iran.

Bolton’s hawkish stance of confrontation, and conflict if necessary to impose our will, from the Eastern Baltic, to Ukraine and the Black Sea, to the Middle East, Persian Gulf, Afghanistan, the Korean Peninsula, today finds almost no broad support among the American electorate." "It is only among foreign policy elites in Beltway think tanks, the generals who ran the national security state, liberal interventionists in the media"
Don't forget Bibi Netanyahu,
"What Mattis is saying is that Trump’s goal of extracting us from the “forever war” entails too great a risk, and U.S. troops in Syria, Iraq and Afghanistan will have to soldier on, indefinitely."
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Old 09-15-2019, 04:48 AM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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ECB sinking beneath the waves

Americans can't very well take a big rise in the price of energy.
9/15 Drone strikes shut down half of Saudi Arabia oil production – Mish
9/15 Cheaper gas puts a cap on consumer prices in August, but inflation rising – MW

Russian State debt is now zero.
"In 2017, total global debt reached an all-time high of $184 trillion (225 percent of global GDP) or, in per capita terms, $86,000 of debt per person on the planet. The top three borrowers in the world - the U.S. (256 percent of GDP), China (254 percent of GDP), and Japan (395 percent of GDP) "
“This leads to a unique situation which points to a high credit worth of Russian bonds, "
https://www.rbth.com/business/330970-state-debt
Russian bonds will be the only ones to survive the default cascade.

Draghi from the ECB is a Goldman Sachs guy.
"And nowhere was this mood represented better than by Germany's most popular tabloid, Bild, which on Friday accused Draghi of "sucking dry" the bank accounts of Germany’s savers, a day after the ECB cut interest rates deeper into negative territory. Next to a Dracula photomontage of Draghi, Bild’s headline read: “Count Draghila is sucking our accounts dry.”
"Handelsblatt, in an article titled "The dangerous game with the money of the German savers",
"That said, there were some complications when Bloomberg reported that Europe's top central bankers - the French, German and Dutch governors - all opposed more QE, as did Coeure and Lautenschlaeger "
But, but, we have to save the banks.

"So just how easy will it be for the ECB - and its new head Christine Lagarde - to force Europe into taking the politically unpopular move of issuing (much) more debt (even with the ECB's MMT-esque guarantee to monetize it) to support the economy."
It supports the bans only, not the economy
https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/...onetary-horror
The ECB can print up lots of liquidity but, there is another problem.
ECB is running out of debt to buy – more smoke and mirrors ...
What If the ECB Runs Out of Bonds to Buy?


Remember that Draghi is an ITALIAN and a Gold Man Sachs alumni. That makes him doubly irresponsible.

"And while the Treasury has taken its time in rebuilding the cash over the past month, with the latest Treasury cash balance just $184BN as of Sept 11, it only means the ramp up in the coming weeks will be that much more acute. So acute in fact, that as BofA rates strategist Mark Cabana writes today, "the USD funding storm has been brewing for months and is likely to make landfall in Q4."
"Why does this matter? Since the Fed does not know the minimum quantity of reserves needed in the banking system and it desires to hold "no more securities than necessary" for the efficient implementation of monetary policy, BofA believes that the Fed will likely want to test how low reserves can fall before intervening in funding markets. "This runs the risk of a temporary overshoot on the extent of money market tightness as the Fed plumbs how low reserves can fall before it ultimately needs to start growing its balance sheet."
A game of "chicken" with Trump
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/do...t-happens-next

Interesting article on fiat currencies.
https://www.numismaticnews.net/artic...paper-currency
9/15 We’re bankrupt. Isn’t that worthy of presidential discussion? – FEE
Don't ask, don't tell.
9/15 Cheney, Paul duke out foreign policy split in Trump’s GOP – JH News
Why isn't Cheney's head on a pike somewhere?
9/14 Nuclear war with Russia winnable said Trump’s new National Security Adviser – Mish
Why isn't HIS head on a platter somewhere?
9/15 US war hawk nut case Senator Graham responds to Saudi refinery attack – Mish
OBVIOUSLY , Iran did it.

Zero Hedge with a twist of Douglas Adams writes about economic conditions.
"I look at markets right now and hold my temples, groaning. It as if we have all been drinking what the Hitchhikers’ Guide to the Galaxy calls “the best drink in existence”--Pan-Galactic Gargle Blasters--the effects of which are similar “to having your brains smashed out by a slice of lemon wrapped around a large gold brick.” "
https://www.zerohedge.com/crypto/loo...argle-blasters
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Old 09-15-2019, 05:51 PM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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Challenging the dollar,,,, deflecting blame ahead of time

Oil To Hit $100? Pompeo Blames Iran For "Unprecedented" Drone Attack That Crippled Largest Saudi Oil Processing Facility

Saudi Aramco describes the Buqyaq facility as "the largest crude oil stabilization plant in the world."

6% of world oil production capacity is off-line.
We're Ready For "Full-Fledged" War: Iran Responds To US Accusation It Launched Saudi Oil Attack

IRGC commander announces American bases and ships "within range" of its missiles.


Will McCabe Bring The FBI Down With Him?
...we should be prepared for McCabe carrying out his threat to bring them all down. We may yet find out what really happened in “Andy’s office”.

YES, bring them ALL down.
Only In Illinois: Wife Of Indicted Political Boss Will Hold Highest Judicial Post In State

Retail Carnage Continues: Forever 21 Bankruptcy Expected By Sunday
"The headwinds for retail are gaining hurricane force."

"National Emergency" - US Business Formation Goes Negative

This is just more bad news for the "greatest economy ever."

Israeli Attacks On Syria Halted After Russia Threatened To Shoot Down Jets
Russia threatened to shoot down any invading Israeli warplanes using fighter jets or their S-400 system.

This is great news. It indicates that Netanayahooo is on his way out. His enemies are Xi, Putin and Trump,,, not to mention most of Europe and the East.

IMF Estimates $15 Trillion Of World's Foreign Direct Investments Are "Phantom Capital"
This total makes up 40% of the world's foreign direct investments, and is the equivalent to the combined GDP of China and Germany...

Any hiccup in the system will turn all of it into vapor.

Europe's Dream: Escaping the Dictatorship of the Dollar ...
https://foreignpolicy

Why the Euro Won't Replace the Dollar - Barron's
https://www.barrons.

EU brings industry together to tackle dollar dominance in trade settlement.
The Rise of the Dollar and Fall of the Euro as International currency
Macron Says the Euro Is Not Yet an Alternative to U.S. Dollar ...
https://www.bloomberg
The Euro At 20: A Victim Of Economic Malpractice - Forbes


In 1989, Armstrong told the Eurocrats that a currency union with out a debt union had ALWAYS failed. They said that they were going to go ahead anyway and, "wing it"

Here is a Spanish language vid from Armstrong, In the prologue (English) , Armstrong talks about his history and, what is coming. He focuses on the fact that the bad design of the Euro will take down Europe.
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/a...is-in-spanish/

The BRICs.
BRICS Woes: Plunging Currency Values Belie Talk Of Challenging Dollar
BRICs Discuss Alternative to Dollar | The Rio Times
Is BRICS a True Alternative? - cadtm
​'BRICS system' – healthy alternative to 'defunct dollar system ...2014
Brics move to unseat dollar as trade currency - Fin24 2012

Not to be left out;
Could the Renminbi Challenge the Dollar? - Carnegie
MINTs (Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria, Turkey) - Investopedia
https://www.investopedia.com › Investing › Alternative Investments
4 days ago

BRICS Bank challenges the exorbitant privilege of the US dollar

BRICS countries dump the euro, establish bank – EURACTIV .d
The Root of All Evil? The Dollar, the BRICS and South Africa
GeoEconomics – US Oil Dollars Empire vs BRICS – China ...
The BRICS Initiatives Towards a New Financial Architecture ...
Beyond the Dollar - Institute for New Economic Thinking


Everybody wants to challenge the domination of the U.S. dollar. The Euro could have been an alternative but, Germany could not be talked into a debt union. For good reason. Germans are hard workers,,, southern Europe,,,, much less. Germany didn't want to be hitched up to pull the socialist cart for France.
The BRICs infrastructure bank, along with the Belt & Road initiative could have worked but, Asian cohesiveness was all talk. Chinese dams have cut way back on the water supply for 2 billion people on; the Indus, Ganges, Baramputra and, Mekong.
Then, there are all the problems around the South China Sea.
China is in recession and, going down fast. World trade has crashed and the Chinese are closing down their shipyards.

Armstrong blames the crash of the Euro on socialism. To a certain extent, that is true. The French government spends 57% of the GDP.
Armstrong; "There is a sense of more concern beginning to emerge for the elites are at last starting to notice that this may have gone way too far and it is unfolding as a war against capitalism. Unfortunately, they may have simply overslept way too long. Donating to politicians is not going to save the day."

"While my discussions have been with people who attend these elite conferences that others often associate with conspiracy theories of dominating the world, I can attest that they are no more in charge of the world economy than anyone reading this blog. The Club may have a get-out-of-jail-free card and never are prosecuted, but they ALWAYS lose on their manipulations and run to governments for bailouts. Even there they may have overstayed their welcome when the next one comes crashing down. So much for being in control!'
I can attest that they are no more in charge of the world economy
THAT is a big, steaming load of BS. They set the interest rates,,, the price of money and energy. Everything else follows. THEY are responsible for currency debasement
to finance wars. They are responsible for price inflation that robs us of our purchasing power. They are responsible for supercharging the budgets of the war industries.
they ALWAYS lose on their manipulations and run to governments for bailouts
They make $trillions until they blow the system, THEN, they squeeze the taxpayers to make up their gambling losses.


"The elites I have spoken to know our model and keep an eye on things. The Monetary Crisis Cycle coming due is also the convergence of many factors, not the least of which it is also the Pi turning point for Germany – October 3rd, 1990 German unification. Even the elites are starting to smell a crisis in the wind. But with all the people forecasting a recession now and Trump demanding zero or negative interest rates, I know one thing. They will all be wrong for what is unfolding is nothing like the last debacle which they always predict "

"My discussions have been about this leftist agenda which the elite have ignored as a passing trend pretty much up there with the election of Donald Trump. They want to talk and respect that our computer has been the only thing to accurately forecast not just the bull market in the US shares, the capital concentration into the USA, the slow painful economic recession in Europe which has been like watching paint dry, but also the fact that it forecast the Trump and BREXIT victories, the chaos in Japan, and the trends in India and Southeast Asia not to mention the collapse of the Swiss Peg and the ERM crisis from the beginning of the Euro. They are becoming concerned and I see this ironically as right on schedule for the turning point come January 2020."

"We are headed into a period that NO PERSON can forecast from an opinion perspective for this is not something anyone has seen in their lifetime and you really have to go past the Great Depression before you can catch a glimpse of what we face."

"There is NO PLACE left of the earth that is not moving into crisis mode. Normally, I have been running around the world getting called in from one crisis to another. But they have been isolated crises. Now we are facing crises on every continent and it is all simultaneous. To survive this total complete mess, it will take a computer to monitor everything and sort out the correlations.

This is by far the worst I have personally ever seen on top of the complete meltdown in the civility within politics. This is how republics die. They are not instruments for one side to suppress the opponent. Yet that is now the objective – crush the opposition at all costs. There can be no long-term management of the economy"
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/w...ear-campaigns/
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Old 09-16-2019, 04:49 AM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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OIL?,,,, GM,,,big pharma

Oil Explodes 20% Higher, Biggest Jump On Record
Satellite Images Reveal It Would Take "Months" To Fix Saudi Oil Facility

"US officials "certain" the attack actually originated from Iraq"
Well, shoot,,, bomb Iraq.
Goldman Goes "Lehman Weekend" On Oil: Expects Chaos When Trading Reopens
Our Energy And Debt Predicament In 2019
Many people are concerned that we have an oil problem. Or they are concerned about recession and the need to lower interest rates... As I see the situation, we have a problem of a networked economy that is not functioning well.

The Top 30 IPOs Of 2019 Will Burn A Total Of $12.5 Billion Between Them
IPOs completed during 2019 are projected to be the least profitable IPOs of any year since the Tech boom.


Yuan Extends Losses After China Macro Data Disappoints
China Inc. is shutting down all over the country.
Trump Preparing To Hit EU With Billions In Tariffs: Report
That decision follows another WTO decision which found that Airbus had benefited from illegal state subsidies.

Not happy with just pushing China off a cliff, Trump has picked Europe to be the next victim.
"Liquidity Dies In Darkness": Trillions In Assets Have No Financial Disclosure To Support Them
That is the "vapor" that I mentioned previously.
"We Can Do This For 100 Years": Taliban Threaten More Violence After Trump Kills Peace Talks
Ho Chi Minh — 'You will kill ten of us, we will kill one of you, but in the end, you will tire of it first.'

Former CIA Spook: "Clear To Me That Spying On Trump Was Ordered By Obama"
"It is clear to me that spying on Trump was ordered by Obama. It had to be, no doubt about it. He gets a Presidential brief on what the FBI, CIA, NSA are doing every single day. "

Maybe he missed a day.
Hedge Fund CIO: "The Biggest Market Player Is 15x Leveraged; That’s Why When It Starts Going Wrong, You’re Out"
They can NEVER beat a robo-trader which can sell a billion shares between 2 heartbeats.
"This Is Our Last Resort": 48,000 UAW Workers Set For First Nationwide Strike At GM In 12 Years
"That’s going to have a big effect on the economy..."

It's Official: GM Files For Bankruptcy - BankInfoSecurity
https://www.bankinfosecurity.com › its-official-gm-files-for-bankruptcy-a-...
General Motors filed for bankruptcy early Monday, marking the end of an era for GM, as the troubled automaker now represents the largest bankruptcy in history.


Big pharma says that the judge in their case is biased because he mentioned the thousands of deaths related to opioids.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-u...-idUSKBN1VZ0N1
They want him to recuse himself.
The tag team of Trump & Johnson, https://www.zerohedge.com/political/...-establishment

Lastly, There's Nothing Natural About Socialism
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/...bout-socialism
This is completely untrue. There is nothing natural about a State.
A family and clan is a natural genetic group. They support each other because they want to. In a State, we support each other because we are forced to. The State tries to take the natural umbrella of clan protection & support and stretch it out over people who are NOT of our genetic group. THAT is what is not natural.
The Kalergi plan is an old plan to saturate Europe (and america) with non-genetic immigrants to break genetic cohesiveness. They seem to ignore the fact that it will also break cooperation.

The Automatic Earth writes about the new world order with Bibi Netahayahoo as king.
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitic...-order-alright
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Old 09-17-2019, 04:24 AM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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Rickards on social unrest,,,, a new level of MAD

The whole world has turned against israel because it is led by Netanayahooo. Hopefully, the israelis will toss him out in the upcoming election.
Meanwhile Jim Rickards has a lot to say. The 16 U.S. intelligence agencies war-gamed the economy and, they asked Rickards to give them expert advice on the bond markets. They concluded that the economy is going to collapse. This is kind of a joke because nobody has an economic database anywhere near what Armstrong has.
Here is what Rickards has to say;
"With another financial crisis imminent, Mr Rickards posed the question: who is going to bail out the central banks?

“Your only alternatives are turn to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to basically bail out the world although that is a slow and difficult process.”
"Mr Rickards said some people expect the US Federal Reserve to jump to the rescue again in the next financial crisis.

“What are they going to do if a crisis hit tomorrow? Go to US$5 trillion, US$6 trillion?”
Mr Rickards said the other alternative was to shut down the banks.
“And that’s what I expect will happen. They’ll close exchanges, close banks, close ATMs, freeze accounts.”
To me, this is just simplistic an answer.
"Mr Rickards was quick to point out he doesn’t foresee a dystopian future or an end of the world scenario.
However, he said he did expect the crisis will begin with “enormous social unrest”.
"Civilised behaviour only lasts about three days in the absence of reliable water, food, electricity and all the things we take for granted.”
In a situation where banks are closed and people can’t access their money, Mr Rickards said social disorder will break out “quite quickly”.
"He said the social disorder will be most acute in major metropolitan areas.

To survive this new system, Mr Rickards anticipates communities will shift to a semi-barter system where skills are traded and silver, or gold if you have it, can be used to buy food and other essentials."
Once again, this is too simplistic. You can't break part of the infrastructure and, have the rest working ie fuel & food distribution.
"As the crisis unfolds, the US dollar is expected to become worthless – with gold the primary valuable commodity.

Even then, Mr Rickards said, in his opinion, it was safer to own mostly physical bullion rather than gold futures, options, unallocated gold contracts and ETFs etc."
Wrong again. People will be desperate to get their hands on paper dollars.
https://smallcaps.com.au/jim-rickard...s-future-gold/
He is interesting but, spoken like a true goldbug.
Here is the vid, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ok73IoKxCss

Nassim Taleb coined the term, "black swan". Something that happens that never happened before. There are several candidates.
9/15 Nearly two out of three cyber attacks targeting SMEs – Benzinga
9/15 Oklahoma pension fund cyber attack shows rising risk for munis – Bond Buyer
9/10 The untold story of Notpetya, the most devastating cyberattack in history – Wired
9/08 Warning issued after malware hijacks bitcoin blockchain – Forbes
9/07 4 biggest cybersecurity crises of 2019 to date – Hack Post

Small actors can have huge effects. The tools from the NSA got out into the wild after they were hacked. There will never be a world free of hackers.

The day after the 9/11 attack, I called up the FBI and warned them that a likely target for terrorists would be; take a big model airplane with a small charge of C-5 and, fly it into the side of a CNG or LNG tankship. There was one such explosion . It took out hundreds of square miles (shock and flame). The FBI guy agreed that it was a possible scenario.

Charles Huge Smith writes that the modern drone planes are a "black swan". Nobody anticipated how effective they would be. The attack on the Saudi refinery showed that drone attacks are like malware attacks. They don't cost much and, are hard to stop.
"This is asymmetric warfare on a new scale: $20,000 of drones can wreak $20 million in damage and financial losses of $200 million--or $2 billion or $20 billion, if global markets are upended."
"there really isn't any reliable defense against a coordinated drone attack, nor is there any reliable way to distinguish between an Amazon drone delivering a package and a drone delivering a bomb."
oftwominds-Charles Hugh Smith: The Black Swan Is a Drone
Does the world have a whole new level of mutually assured destruction?

Armstrong, "Meanwhile, economic data was released from China showing industrial growth slumping to the weakest rate in over 17 years. The US sanctions are taking a toll with the industrial output slowing down"
"A new Reuters article suggests that Australian insiders within the intelligence agency have reason to believe that China was behind a recent cyber attack on its national Parliament and three other political parties before a general election in May."

9/16 $1m a minute: the farming subsidies destroying the world – Guardian
9/16 Saudi attacks reveal oil supply fragility in asymmetric war – Bloomberg
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Old 09-17-2019, 03:18 PM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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The parasites over run the producerts

In ages past, the farmer, hunter, herdsman, miner, forester, stonemason, fisherman, et al worked hard and, some of them produced excess "wealth". They traded amongst themselves to acquire things that they didn't produce directly. Their excess wealth was later stored as the most non-perishable items. Normally, metal and stone. As time past, the increasing productivity of the farmer and herdsman allowed some people to work as craftsmen and, build cities. For ease of trade, wealth was denominated in gold and silver. Those 2 metals were a standard much easier to judge than the value of oxhides or food.

Different tradesmen offered their services to the producers. The bankers was an offshoot of the traders. The banker's job was to efficiently and intelligently allocate capital to entrepreneurs. All that he had to work with was the stored capital of the producers.
Eventually, receipts for stored capital were used as a proxy for the actual, tangible capital. They were easier to transport and, less likely to be stolen. Talley sticks were one of the best forms of receipts because they couldn't be forged.
All this time, bankers were limited to capital that had already been produced. Of course, there were exceptions for things like logs at a lumber mill or, crops in the field.
"Money" was limited to promissory notes for tangible items.

The bankers started fraudulently creating excess promissory notes. The modern monetary system was born.
The gold standard was forced on the bankers from time to time to stop them from creating capital out of thin air. Since the banker added nothing productive to the economy, he was forever motivated to cheat the system.
Since the State was also a non-producer, it too was motivated to support the banker. The State traded regulatory advantage to the banker in exchange for the banker buying government bonds. Regulatory capture was born.

Since a parasite recognises no limitations on growth, the 2 major, symbiotic parasites always blew up the system. It is advantageous (over the producers) for the parasites to legislate away,,, inflate away the wealth of the producers.
The '87....'01...07 crashes were in the private sector. Stocks, tech, real estate.
Armstrong says that the upcoming crash will be in the Sovereign bond market. Though, corporate bonds are looking equally bad.
The 2 mega parasites are creating megatons of new debt. The general belief is that producers will repay this debt as payment is slowly siphoned off from production & consumption activity.

Armstrong writes convincingly that government will collapse. The State is completely entwined with the other mega parasite. ALL the recent stimulus is channelled through the banks. U.S. FED GOV spends 24% of the gdp. How could there be a total collapse of governments worldwide without a complete collapse of the banks?
The parasites are strangling the producers. The producers are falling in numbers. Consumption and commerce are falling. The parasites continue to inflate the debt bubble to compensate for lost profits and taxes. 10 years of stimulus channelled through the bankers has failed to bring a return of commerce & consumption.
The ideas of MMT and UBI are proffered to channel money directly to the consumer to revive the economy.
At one time, the bankers was employed to efficiently and, wisely allocate stored capital to entrepreneurs. The money renters of today are throwing heaps of debt at any stupid idea that they can find. The bankers will fight UBI and MMT because it sidelines them. The rise of automation sidelines the worker. The bankers will call MMT, "communism".
With, communism, the worker is demotivated because the fruits of his labor are stolen. The parasitism of crony capitalism accomplishes the same result. The parasitism of over-taxation is equally destructive for the motivation of the producer AND the entrepreneur.

The bankers and bureaucrats are the direct enemy of the producer. The bankers use continuous price inflation to keep us from dropping out of the labor force. MMT would change this. The battle for control will not be a short one.
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Old 09-18-2019, 03:57 AM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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Liquidity crisis,,, repo window,,, QE

The current problem that is emerging is; a lack of funding.
"it now appears that the Fed is once again behind the curve, and this time the funding squeeze could have dire consequences for not only the economy but the market, as the broken repo plumbing means that despite $1.4 trillion in excess reserves, one or more banks are suddenly left without liquidity,"
"Needless to say, such a move - without a clear catalyst - is a clear indication that plumbing in the overnight funding markets has just snapped, and is badly broken to be trading so far above the effective funds rate."
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/so...kes-thunderous

Today's "Watershed" Repo-calypse Is "One Of The Worst Things That Can Happen"

$53.2 Billion In QE Lite: Fed Concludes First Repo In A Decade Amid Liquidity Panic
The first shot toward QE4 was just fired.


Liquidity Traps of Our Own Design by rcwhalen - Sep 17, 2019 4:33 pm
Is the Fed independent? No. The Treasury is the dog and the Fed is the tail


Markets That Live By The Fed, Die By The Fed
The "everything bubble" is not permanent.


Did The Fed Fail: Repo Rate Refuses To Drop
the broadest repo rate has continued to rise and according to BBG data has jumped to 3.9340%.


The FED is trying to do QE via the repo market. It doesn't seem to be working out very well.
9/17 Repo market chaos signals Fed may be losing control of rates – Yahoo!
9/17 $53.2 billion: Fed concludes first repo in a decade amid liquidity panic – Zero Hedge


Charles Hugh Smith, The Four Dynamics of Bubbles
"Financial bubbles manifest three dynamics: The one we’re most familiar with is simple human greed, the desire to exploit a windfall and catch a work-free ride to riches.

The second dynamic gets much less attention. Financial manias arise when there is no other more productive, profitable use for capital. And these periods occur when there is an abundance of credit available to inflate the bubbles."
"Corporations can’t find any other more productive, profitable use for their capital than buying back their own shares (enriching the managers via stock options and the 10% of American households who own 93% of the stocks)."
"So borrow billions at 2.5%, pour it all into buying back your own stock and reap the gains as your stock rises 10%."
Stocks buybacks were previously illegal but, the money renters needed a new way to inflate markets.
"The Fed and other central banks have created trillions of dollars, yuan, euros and yen for corporations and financiers to play with"
https://dailyreckoning.com/the-four-...cs-of-bubbles/

9/17 JPMorgan inherited ‘spoof’ method from Bear Stearns and refined it – GATA
9/17 JPMorgan’s metals desk was ‘criminal enterprise,’ DoJ says – GATA

Once again, the Trump effect. DOJ is going after those who have manipulated gold down for many years.
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/th...pulation-fraud

The Macron effect.
https://www.rt.com/news/468684-googl...-france-taxes/
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Old 09-18-2019, 03:10 PM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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Increasing volatility in finance

I wrote about the FED repo market yesterday. Obviously, this means nothing to the average person. It is a big signal to the finance industry. The volatility in finance is slowing down demand for credit.
"As Bloomberg reports, today’s surge in Treasury repo rates poses a threat to the market more broadly because traders won’t take new positions without confidence in their ability to obtain funding at consistent rates, "
Overnight financing is the key to driving the economy, leverage.
"This is without a doubt one of the worst things that can happen. In many respects it overshadows the Fed moving tomorrow, because if the plumbing doesn’t work everything starts to break down. "
"It’s a bigger deal than a rate cut by far. It’s meaningless if you put in a rate cut and overnight financing reflects nothing of that rate cut. Which is what’s happening right now."
This is a slowdown that the FED didn't plan on.
"Suffice to say, we’re not supposed to be talking about $ funding markets – the linchpin of the largest & most important (there, I said it) market in the world, US Treasuries – in the same breath as the wreckage wrought in Argentina only a month earlier. We’re definitely not supposed to be saying “the collapse in the Argentine Peso was barely 1/3 of what we just saw in the market that the Fed controls…”
As volatility and rates go up, more money will pull out of the markets. U.S. Treasuries are used as a funding pool for everything in the world.
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/re...hrough-markets
This will filter down and affect everything else.

Armstrong, "ANSWER: Capital is beginning to move already. Europe is closing in and hunting taxes. The chaos of Brexit and punishing Britain rather than addressing the economic problems has really doomed Europe.

As you can see, the peak in the PE ratio took place at the LOW in 2009, not the high. When you enter these periods of uncertainty, interest rates, dividends, and expectations of profits no longer mean anything. The primary objective is to park money in a safe place where you get it back. Banks are questionable with bail-in policies and negative interest rates. Now even gold is being targeted. Where else to go but equities?"
Armstrong says that capital will flee public debt like treasuries and, move to equities. I just don't see this. Equities are just too small a market to shove $15 trillion in treasuries in. Forget about $6 trillion in corporate bonds. Various States are making it hard to buy gold without a report. The big money will just file the stupid report and, not worry. A lot of money is moving into silver.

9/18 Fed’s first-in-a-decade intervention will be repeated Wednesday – Bloomberg
It didn't work so, try it again.
9/18 Rate cut odds dip below 50% from 92% a week ago – Mish
"They" wanted to avoid another rate cut so, they did QE via the repo market.
9/18 Illinois pension debt now a quarter-trillion dollars and counting: Moody’s – CB
AND
Illinois state workers highest paid in nation | Illinois Policy
Nearly 40000 state workers to get pay raises under new contract


9/18 Could ultra-low interest rates be contractionary? – Project Syndicate
NIRP and ZIRP are supposed to stimulate the economy. BUT, they wipe out everything and everybody who depend on interest income. Apparently, the negative from the loss of interest income wipes out the positive from low rates. NIRP and ZIRP work wonders for the State that can finance expenditures for free. But, these are expenditures, NOT investments.

9/17 In interview, GATA chairman asks: how far will rigging probe go? – GATA
If it goes far enough, the paper gold market will self-destruct and, gold will go to a price of many $thousands an ounce. Since MANY other markets are referenced to the price of gold, there would be chaos in all other markets.
9/18 Germany “cannot accept parallel currencies such as Facebook’s libra” – Reuters
France vows to block development of Facebook’s Libra cryptocurrency on European soil

The CBs can't very well tolerate competition for their paper.
9/18 Orlando housing prices are up 9 percent since this time last year – Orlando Weekly
9/17 One in four of New York’s new luxury apartments is unsold – NY Times

NYC has high taxes and Florida has low taxes.
9/17 Questions, not answers surround U.S. push to war with Iran – Tom Luongo
Yeah, how did israel manage to launch missiles and drones from Iran?
Every time that talks with Iran looked promising, "Iran" attacked a ship or an oil field or something else.

It looks like Netanayahooo is OUT. This is the best of news. The world can breathe a little easier. The election is close and Bibi refuses to concede. Bibi is charged in 3 big investigations and, will go straight to prison.
His opponent, Gantz is problematic also.
A Dutch court has held a hearing on a war crime case against a former Israeli general challenging incumbent Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in ongoing general elections.
https://www.presstv.com/Detail/2019/...tzin-Netanyahu

"Whatever the outcome, ordinary Israeli Jews will continue suffering under neoliberal harshness, Arab citizens treated far worse, Occupied Palestinians worst of all.

If Netanyahu loses to Gantz/Lapid, his toxic presence will be gone, his destructive agenda to continue under new management."
https://stephenlendman.org/2019/09/i...eyre-governed/
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Old 09-19-2019, 11:13 PM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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Armstrong and the repo storm

Armstrong spent a total of 11 years in prison when crooked NYC banks tried to get his program. Ultimately, the fault was crooked GOV. Later, he advised the Chinese to buy treasury paper directly from the FED GOV and bypass the primary dealers. He got a bit of revenge on the big NYC banks.
Armstrong predicts a rotation OUT of GOV debt and, INTO private debt. This may very well be true.
As is typical, he was correct to the day on his predictions of the economic low point in India.
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/w...their-actions/
Just how much temptation does he have to predict a crash of public debt to get back at the entity who stole 11 years of his life?
The economic writers claim that there is NO legitimate replacement for the U.S.
dollar because, there is no market with the size and depth of the U.S. treasury market.
Currently, the repo market from the FED is going crazy trying to support all the sketchy banks. Will this lead to a breakdown of the public debt markets? I have no idea. If Armstrong is correct, something will lead to a breakdown.

The State is forcing the CB to "fix" everything with monetary policy. The FED is crying for the State to fix everything with fiscal policy. The FED sees the writing on the wall and, is preparing to completely change it's "mission"
"So what is a central banker to do? Hildebrand’s proposed solution was presented in a paper he wrote with three of his colleagues at BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, where he is now vice chairman. Released in August to coincide with the annual Jackson Hole meeting of central bankers, the paper was co-authored by Stanley Fischer, former governor of the Bank of Israel and former vice chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve; Jean Boivin, former deputy governor of the Bank of Canada; and BlackRock economist Elga Bartsch. Their proposal calls for “more explicit coordination between central banks and governments when economies are in a recession so that monetary and fiscal policy can better work in synergy.” The goal, according to Hildebrand, is to go “direct with money to consumers and companies in order to enliven consumption,” putting spending money directly into consumers’ pockets."

"directly into consumers’ pockets" Sounds a lot like universal basic income.
"The central bank would maintain a “Standing Emergency Fiscal Facility” that would be activated when interest rate manipulation was no longer working and deflation had set in. The central bank would determine the size of the Facility based on its estimates of what was needed to get the price level back on target. "
"n short, Hildebrand and co-authors are not talking about central banks giving up their ivory tower independence to work with legislators in coordinating fiscal and monetary policy. Rather, central bankers would be acquiring even more power, by giving themselves a new pot of free money that they could deploy as they saw fit in the service of “government objectives."

Currently, the PPT, ESF, FED and treasury are pumping "money" into markets willy-nilly. The new idea proffered here would be to streamline and institutionalize liquidity injections to the individual rather than channelling injections through the private banks.
The article goes on examining different possible plans.
https://ellenbrown.com/2019/09/18/de...or-more-power/
The East will NEVER endorse a reserve currency created out of thin air by the West.

More on "repo"
"QUESTION: Marty; You warned that there would begin a cash shortage and real rates would rise in the private sector starting in September after Labor Day. Ok, it’s about 15 days past that marker and Repo rates have gone completely nuts hitting 10% forcing the Fed to intervene. They were calling it Armstrong’s revenge here in the dealing room. It certainly appears the Fed has lost control of short-term rates as you warned. Is this the start of the chaos you have warned about?"
"ANSWER: It’s not my revenge, it’s fiscal mismanagement. Look, this is the chaos we have coming and sorry, it is the beginning, not the end. It’s not even a fluke or a blip. So get used to it. Indeed, the Fed has lost control of short-term rates. Trump can jawbone all he wants for zero to negative rates. Sorry! The free markets are showing something else lies in wait.

The Repo Rate reached a high of 10% by about 9 am just before the stock market opened. The fed funds rate was testing the Fed’s upper limit. The Fed was forced to intervene I believe for the first time since the 2008 crisis."
"On Tuesday, the Fed offered $75 billion through its facility and received $53 billion of demand from borrowers who swap AAA Treasury holdings for cash at minimal rates"
It's hard to believe that there is a shortage of cash at the bank level.

"Overnight financing (REPO Rate) is a basic function which holds the economy together. Those who trade on leverage rely on the REPO market (Broker-dealers, hedge funds, and institutional). It is rarely written about for it is not generally seen by the public. The events of the past few days is a clear warning sign of what I have been yelling about which is on the horizon. The central banks are TRAPPED and in Europe, they have destroyed their bond market with more than $15 trillion and perhaps up to $17 trillion in negative-yielding bonds "

"NEGATIVE Repo Rates can happen when there is a shortage of cash or particular collateral security, like negative-yielding bonds, are put up to borrow against. Therefore, trying to borrow against a negative-yielding bond can present a crisis. The standard Repo contracts, such as the Global Master Repurchase Agreement (GMRA), have been drafted under the implicit assumption that general collateral (GC) Repo Rates would only ever be positive."
"We are looking at SERIOUS credit risk once again but instead of the time bombs being mortgage-backed securities, this time it will be negative-yielding bonds issued by governments. The bond markets have been converted into a child’s game of musical chairs. When the music stops, someone will be left holding negative-yielding bonds that will only be salable at even deeper discounts of perhaps as great as 50% in a few years."

"The financial system simply doesn’t work with negative rates and this is also contributing to shortages of cash for Repo markets. A slight rise in interest rates will create a massive debt crisis and if you undermine the bond market, that is what creates great depressions. Negative yields have been confined to places outside the USA and the intervention of the Fed implies they are not prepared to allow negative rates to undermine the US economy as they have done in Europe."
You can see the problem. Everyone dumps treasury debt. The sovereign bond market collapses. FED GOV is completely insolvent. 51% of Americans receive a check from GOV,,,, 44 million receive direct public assistance. The safety net would be completely useless. The FED now rolls out the Standing Emergency Fiscal Facility This would be activated when the bond market implodes. The banks will, obviously, fight against being bypassed for liquidity injections. This UBI can NEVER be implemented until after a crash.

"Unlike the 2008 crisis where the time bombs were private debt, Tuesday’s abrupt rise in short-term rates wasn’t obvious that the financial system was in trouble because sovereign debt is assumed to be AAA and risk-free. Not sure whoever started that huge lie.

Nevertheless, we have a convergence of forces which are creating the perfect financial storm on the horizon. Immediately, corporate tax payments are due so corps have less cash to sell overnight. Then there are big Treasury auctions as deficits continue to rise for governments always borrow, yet never pay off the debt as if this can continue without end."

The interest rate risk that negative-yielding bonds carry is beyond unbelievable. It is totally artificial supported only by punters. The financial system simply doesn’t work with negative rates and this is also contributing to shortages of cash for Repo markets. A slight rise in interest rates will create a massive debt crisis and if you undermine the bond market, that is what creates great depressions. Negative yields have been confined to places outside the USA and the intervention of the Fed implies they are not prepared to allow negative rates to undermine the US economy as they have done in Europe.

I have been warning that we are headed into a major financial crisis that will be a liquidity event which involves government – not simply the private sector as was the case in 2008. So buckle-up. I have been warning this is something NOBODY has ever witnessed before and if Socrates was actually alive, he would be screaming bloody-murder by now. The Institutional Bond Report will be going out to all our Institutional Clients. Those who have been thinking about joining our Institutional client base can purchase a copy $3,500."
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/m...tting-started/
Ok, so there is a cash shortage and nobody wants to loan to the government. In 1913, the government gave up it's right to coin new money,,,, gold & silver. I'm sure that, if / when things get bad enough, US GOV will authorize itself to print money directly / electronically.

Russia has reduced it's public debt,,, getting ready for the collapse in public debt.
Here is a good article on mean reversion.
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/cau...version-ahead/
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Old 09-20-2019, 03:49 AM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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Squeezing liquidity out of the repo market

9/20 Why is the Fed pumping money into the banking system? – BBC
Well, because the banks need it,,,, because that is pretty much all they can do when ZIRP lays waste to the financial system

Liquidity Shortage Getting Worse: Fed's Repo Oversubscribed As Funding Demand Soars 50% Overnight
"What is immediately notable is that except for agency paper, there was a greater use of both Treasury ($40.9BN to $51.6BN) and Mortgage-backed ($11.7BN to $27.8BN) collateral."
So, they're dumping Treasury paper and mortgage backed paper. That tells you something.
"Yesterday's Fed repo operation - the first direct liquidity injection in a decade - was an unmitigated disaster, with the NY Fed forced to cancel it in the middle due to "technical difficulties" which nobody still know what they were"
https://www.zerohedge.com/health/fed...d-across-board

9/20 Yield curve still inverted despite Fed rate cut – Mish
An ebb tide lowers all boats
9/20 Mark Spitznagel warns “They’ve created a snowflake market” – Zero Hedge
Reference to an avalanche?
9/19 Repo chaos tests Wall Street confidence in NY Fed’s Williams – Reuters
9/19 ‘This is crazy!’: Wall Street scurries to protect itself in repo surge – Bloomberg
9/19 Liquidity shortage getting worse: Fed’s repo oversubcribed again – Zero Hedge
9/19 Negative interest rates are just the price for the end of civilization – Hof Profit


9/19 China’s mighty trade engine Is stalling as negotiators seek deal – Bloomberg
Seeing this, Trump has put China up against a wall.
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/m...ember-19-2019/
9/19 Debt-wracked Chinese companies dump US & other foreign assets – Wolf Street

9/20 The triumph of Trump’s foreign policy: backing off ‘disastrous war’ with Iran – ZH
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Old 09-20-2019, 03:13 PM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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world economy locked in to a fall in consumption

Well, the climate change BS runs deep. Climate change is not a hoax because the sun is indeed changing. Add to that, the pole shift and, weakening of the magnetosphere. Just the same, charging additional taxes will NOT change the magnetosphere.
Germany Disappoints: Announces Massive Climate Plan (That Is Fiscally Neutral)
Despite all the hope of fiscal largesse from the market and pressure from ECB's Draghi, Germany has unveiled a "3-digit-billion" euro plan to address climate change, but it will have "neutral impact" on government finances.
DO NOT WORRY.
OECD Slashes Global Growth Outlook, Warns Germany Already In Recession
Germany readying stimulus plan as contingency for deep recession.
Pox Americana channels it's stimulus through the military-industrial complex.
Apparently, Germany plans to channel it's stimulus through "green" projects.

ZH;
Cooperman: If Warren Wins They Won't Open The Stock Market

Trader Deals With 'Strange Emotion': "With Each Uptick In Stocks, I'm Getting More Queasy"

Futures Frozen With $8.3 Billion Expiring At S&P 3,000 On Quad-Witching Friday

'Rogue' Oil Trader Lost $320 Million On Wrong-Way Derivatives Bets

Escobar: How The Houthis Overturned The Chessboard

The Yemeni Shiite group’s spectacular attack on Abqaiq raises the distinct possibility of a push to drive the House of Saud from power...

Guatemala: 'We're Not Just A Drug Trafficking Hub - We Produce Tons Of Cocaine Too!'


Precious metals manipulation started about 1974 with the creation of the first futures market for gold. Since then, every commodity has been cursed with a futures market. This originally helped producers to lock in profits. Later, it morphed into a system to allow speculators to lock in profits. The gold market is special because it's stock-to-flow ratio makes it exceptionally good as a bastion of stability. Over the years, gold has become suppressed in price by the State so that it would not be considered a store of value in competition with government bonds.
GOV bond markets are falling apart, as predicted by Armstrong. "The Trump effect" is causing the State to go after the commodity manipulators. Theoretically, this could entice investors to move to gold.There are 100 ounces of paper gold for every 1 ounce of physical gold. Any move to true price discovery in gold would blow up most other markets also.

Exposing The Financial-Political-Complex Protecting Its Own In The Gold Manipulation Maelstrom

Regulators Expand Already Massive Precious Metals Manipulation Probe To Other Markets


9/20 Dave Kranzler: repo rates and gold — something big is happening – GATA
9/20 Gold consolidates as the Fed loses control – 321Gold
9/19 You can’t print gold – Gold Republic

A complete blowup of the paper gold market would / will? bring down a big mess.

The Aussies are hunting for loose change.
"Australia has become perhaps the MOST aggressive country in Western Culture to hunt down its own citizens for money. They follow school children and then investigate how the parents are paying for the school. The Australian Tax Office (ATO) has applied for access to everything to hunt for money. They want access to phone calls, emails, posts, and SMS text messages. New South Wales police have come up with the most bizarre excuse to rob your money I have ever heard of. They now claim that driver safety is the main reason for this new initiative to confiscate whatever coins you have in your car. They have the audacity to claim that “Loose coins within cars are a safety hazard.” '

Here is something to think about from Armstrong;
"So, why do I say that ALL currency is backed to this very day and it is not simply fiat with no intrinsic value? All currency is backed by the total productive capacity of its people. For further proof of that statement, just look at China, Japan, and Germany and you will see that each economy rose to the top 10 list in the world when they had NO gold reserves after World War II. It was the total capacity of its people that created the wealth of those nations."

"Italy has more gold reserves than France. Yet, Italy is considered to be the third-largest economy in Europe behind France. Algeria has the largest gold reserves in Africa followed by South Africa. At the end of 2017, Algeria had a GDP of about US$170 billion. But South Africa’s GDP is about US$350 billion. The size of an economy does not correlate to its gold reserves."
"Therefore, step back a moment and abandon this old world mercantilist idea of what is behind the wealth of a nation, which was more Phyisocrat than Adam Smith. Your labor is not worthless. Each of us constitutes the wealth of a nation. America has the greatest economy, NOT because of gold, but because we have the biggest consumer market on the planet to which everyone tries to sell goods in order to take home money."

Armstrong definitely slips up here, "total productive capacity of its people." AND "biggest consumer market" He can NOT equate consumer with producer. Machines are not consumers. Consumption is still here but, production has gone elsewhere. Consumption is supported by runaway credit creation, NOT by wages.

"Money is the perception of the wealth of a nation, which is its total productive capacity of its people, and not its gold reserves or tangible resources. Russia has tremendous natural resources, but its economy is dominated by oligarchs who have prevented Russia from expanding as China has shown the opposite. The fluctuations in currencies are how capital votes on the confidence of the political state behind each currency."

This is just plain wrong. Russia has refused to blow a giant credit bubble.
9/19 While the Fed has no ‘guts,’ the PBOC is on steroids – Bloomberg
Russia refuses to blow a bubble and, has no government debt.
China has runaway debt. Armstrong is premature. China will be in revolution and, Russia will NOT.
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/m...ed-even-today/
Armstrong is simplistic on this account. Huge amounts of productive capacity have moved out of America. Automatic machines do most of the actual productivity. 96 million Americans of working age are not in the labor force. The U.S. dollar may very well be backed by our productive capacity but, all the products must be sold. The consumer base of 16 to 62 year olds is shrinking. Much of the productivity in America is absorbed by the war industries to be blown up (consumed). That is why the Pentagon gets so much. funding. Legitimate consumption is FAR below productive capacity.
Massive debt creation is funding consumption in America. ALL the markets are close to blowing up. If additional debt creation is not forthcoming, consumption will crash WAY down. The idea of MMT and UBI is to get consumption going again.
The dollar may very well be backed by our productive capacity but, that capacity has been falling for years.
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Old 09-21-2019, 06:05 PM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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Where to interest rates and money creation?

Notes on public debt;
Italian government bonds make up 20 per cent of its national banks total assets — one of the highest ratios in the world — according to the Bank for International Settlements.

FRANKFURT (Reuters) - An obscure clause in government bond contracts may help the European Central Bank clear a key hurdle to launching a fresh stimulus programme by allowing it to own even more government debt, according to central bank officials. But after hoovering up 2 trillion euros (£1.8 trillion) worth of public sector bonds in the past four years, the ECB
The Euro's $2.7 Trillion Italy Problem - Bloomberg

The BOJ holds about 50% of public debt,,, about $4.24 trillion

About $2.8 trillion debt is held by Federal reserve banks
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FDHBFRBN
They tried to unload a bunch of it but, that was deflationary to the general economy.


Dean Hook, (somewhat dated)
It is a myth that most of that $14 trillion debt is owed to the Chinese or other “governments”. The vast majority – around $10 trillion – is owed to the Eight Families Federal Reserve crowd.

In a June 9, 2011 article for Marketwatch, Unicredit’s Chief US Economist Harm Bandholz stated that the Federal Reserve is the largest holder of US debt with around 14% of the total. This does not include debt held by Rothschild-controlled central banks of other nations – including China, Japan and the GCC oil fiefdoms.
Through the recent QE2 program, the Fed purchased another $600 billion in Treasury bonds. They claimed it was a last ditch attempt to save the global economy from deflation. Instead, the banksters who got the interest free taxpayer-backed money pushed us further towards deflation
Conversely and inherent in the printing of zero-interest money, they created inflation – speculating in oil, food and gold futures and rolling this increased US debt on the roulette tables at their various wholly-owned global stock exchanges. Is it any wonder the financial parasite class is now clamoring for QE3?
Thomas Jefferson opined of the Rothschild-led Eight Families central banking cartel which came to control the United States, “Single acts of tyranny may be ascribed to the accidental opinion of the day, but a series of oppressions begun at a distinguished period, unalterable through every change of ministers, too plainly prove a deliberate, systematic plan of reducing us to slavery”.
https://hendersonlefthook.wordpress....-the-solution/

A recent report from Standard & Poor’s shows that 40 percent of global sovereign debt belongs to monarchies. However, only 39 out of the 129 countries have a king or queen as head of state, estimated the agency
The most indebted monarchy is Japan, led by Emperor Akihito. Tokyo owes more than $11 trillion, over 25 percent of the total debt.

Britain’s Queen Elizabeth II, who is also the head of state of more than a dozen nations within the Commonwealth, has the second-highest debt.
Despite its large sovereign debt, an average monarchy has three rungs better ratings than the countries without a king or a queen that have an average of BBB to BBB-, says S&P.

Below is a chart which shows the soaring amount of negative yield government debt. It has recently surpassed $15 trillion.
More alarming is the amount of corporate debt that has also hit negative yield. Currently there is over $1.2 trillion in negative yield corporate debt.
Just a few years ago there was virtually none.

Armstrong claims that there will be a low interest rate for private debt AND, a high interest rate for public debt. He also said that it would be less inflationary fro the GOV to just print the money it needs. The appeal of MMT and UBI is that it would be painless for GOV.
If the U.S. treasury originated all "money" creation, the banks would be mostly knocked out of business.
Trump is stepping on the toes of a lot of rich people. Can he wrest control of "money printing" away from the bank cartels? Can he tell the holders of public debt to go piss up a rope?

9/21 Goldman Sachs says the market is about to get wild in October – CNBC
Remember; the higher the volatility, the higher interest rate the money renters demand.
9/21 Illinoisans on hook for more than $18,000 per person in public pension debt – Newsbug
Not the ones who bailed out and moved to Florida
9/21 Bankrupt Illinois cities forced to cut services to fund pensions – Mish
This has only just barely started
9/20 Fed chairman fails to answer whether Wall Street banks are too big to manage – GATA
9/20 Interest rate derivatives trading explodes to $6.5 trillion/day – Wolf Street
Ah yes,,, the volatility

9/20 India launches MMT: Stocks soar after surprise central bank-funded tax cut – ZH
Yep, just print the money for GOV
9/20 How the Houthis overturned the chessboard – Saker
Ah yes, asymmetric warfare is now available to the little guy,,, just like hacking

Kunstler on Pocahontas
" doubt she could FDR her way through it. America back then still had plenty of everything except cash money. Lots of oil, ores, factories, and well-regimented workers. Now we’re officially $22 trillion in debt. The remaining oil costs so much to get out of the ground it’s bankrupting the oil companies. The ores are gone. The factories stand in ruin. And the workforce has degenerated into various mobs demanding something for nothing. The coming disposition of things will be less a depression than a long emergency of permanent contraction, and even Ms. Warren’s zesty grandmotherly charms may not avail to preserve the civil order under those conditions."
https://kunstler.com/cluster****-nat...f-the-selfies/

"everything except cash money."
Big, Bad, Bald Ben Shalom Bernanke claimed that the FED caused great depression one because it did not pump enough money into the economy. QE has been ongoing for 10? years now. We are still sliding DOWN. At some point, it will become even more obvious that pumping money into the banks to loan to the producers is just not working.
The proposal is to give free money to the lower loop instead of the bankers.
there will be a lot of blood in the streets before that happens.
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Old 09-22-2019, 03:06 AM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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Volatility, liquidity,,, credit derivatives

" from the economy to geopolitics to the natural world — things are swiftly worsening.
Public perception is beginning to shift from complacency to fear. Countries are fast rejecting globalization in favor of nationalization. The holes in our ecosystem — vanishing birds, insects, amphibians and fish stocks — are becoming frighteningly obvious. The threats to life as we’re accustomed to it are becoming more visible while accelerating in both magnitude and frequency."
" from the economy to geopolitics to the natural world — things are swiftly worsening.

Public perception is beginning to shift from complacency to fear. Countries are fast rejecting globalization in favor of nationalization. The holes in our ecosystem — vanishing birds, insects, amphibians and fish stocks — are becoming frighteningly obvious. The threats to life as we’re accustomed to it are becoming more visible while accelerating in both magnitude and frequency."
https://www.peakprosperity.com/the-i...esilient-life/

"What a nightmare it’s been over recent months for those attempting to hedge interest-rate risk. After trading to 4.10% in November, benchmark MBS yields were down to 3.02% near the end of March. MBS yields then rose to 3.34% in April, before reversing lower to trade all the way down to 2.51% by late June. Yields were back up to 2.91% in mid-July – only to then reverse to a three-year low of 2.30% on September 4th."
Volatility writ large
"“The Federal Reserve Bank of New York will offer to add at least $75 billion daily to the financial system through Oct. 10, prolonging its efforts to relieve funding pressure in money markets. In addition to at least $75 billion in overnight loans, the New York Fed… will also offer three separate 14-day repo contracts of at least $30 billion each next week… On Friday banks asked for $75.55 billion in reserves, $550 million more than the amount offered by the Fed, offering collateral in the form of Treasury and mortgage securities. The Fed’s operation was the fourth time this week it has intervened to calm roiled money markets."

Dumping Treasuries and MBs for cash.
"If risk suddenly becomes an issue for this shadowy network, the cost and availability of Credit for highly leveraged players is suddenly in question. And any de-risking/deleveraging at the nucleus of the global financial system would pose a clear and present danger for sparking “risk off” throughout Credit markets and financial markets more generally."
"The Fed’s return to system liquidity injections after a decade hiatus received abundant media coverage. "
"$18 TN of global investment-grade bonds traded at negative yields, including European corporate debt. " INVESTMENT GRADE
" While a deficient indicator of system liquidity, it’s still worth noting M2 “money” supply has expanded $560 billion over the past six months. Money market fund assets (retail funds included in M2) are up $350 billion since the end of April. Where’s all this “money” been coming from?"
"Bond markets have turned unstable – on both the up- and downside. Long/short strategies have been bludgeoned. "
"rom the Fed to the ECB to the BOJ. Is monetary stimulus the solution or the problem?

Autumn is set up for some serious instability. There’s all this talk of the need for the Fed to create additional bank reserves. The issue is not a shortage of reserves but a gross excess of speculative leverage. It started this week. The Fed’s balance sheet will be getting much bigger."
Yes but, they want to shrink it. Apparently, many players are dumping treasuries and mortgage backed securities.

"repo deep freeze as it has now been abundantly clear that the US financial system will need about $400BN more in reserves,"
"New York Fed president John Williams, who earlier this year unexpectedly fired not only the head of the NY Fed's markets desk, Simon Potter, arguably the most important trader in the world, manning the world's most important trading desk but also the second most important person at the NY Fed's "Plunge Protection Team", the head of the Financial Services Group, Richard Dzina,"
"New York Fed is examining "why banks with excess cash failed to lend to the overnight money market,"
"Fed officials have said it's not their fault, and instead have focused on the role played by banks, or rather the role banks with excess liquidity did not play but stepping into fund their liquidity-challenged peers.

Specifically, Williams and Lorie Logan, senior vice-president in the markets group at the New York Fed, said officials were looking at why cash failed to move from banks’ accounts at the Fed into the repo market, where banks and investors borrow money in exchange for Treasuries to cover short-term funding needs."
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/cl...alt-repo-panic
OK, so we're in a big liquidity shortage. Some of the banks have cash,,, some don't. The repo market froze up because the banks with cash held on to it. This happened before in the LIBOR markets. As things get more volatile, more banks will refuse to offer funds to the overnight market.

Armstrong cautioned the founders of the EU that no currency union had ever survived unless they had a debt union. "They" said that Germany would NEVER agree to take on the debts of southern Europe. Now, "They" are saying that Germany will have to reluctantly agree to take on those same debts. Is it any wonder that Germany is looking to dump the EU and, pair up with Russia?
https://www.forbes.com/sites/johnmau.../#5c04947adb98

They are finally getting serious about putting bankers in jail.
https://www.theguardian.com/business...-trial-in-bonn
9/21 Goldman Sachs says the market is about to get wild in October – CNBC
9/20 Interest rate derivatives trading explodes to $6.5 trillion/day – Wolf Street

Somebody is going to get burned. It might all depend on the flap of a butterfly's wing,,,, or a tweet.
Or even a hurricane.
https://www.zerohedge.com/health/cal...t-time-history
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Old 09-23-2019, 05:35 AM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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Failures mounting,,confidence melting

"looking at why cash failed to move from banks’ accounts at the Fed into the repo market, where banks and investors borrow money in exchange for Treasuries to cover short-term funding needs."
and is trying to figure out why they did not hand out their cash to other banks that were in desperate need for liquidity," "why they refused to do so even though any such loan would be perfectly collateralized by money-good securities such as Treasuries, MBS and Agency debt and they refused to do it when repo rates had soared as high as 10%, "
"one possible explanation: the banks that should have lent out cash did not do so because they were afraid that i) the borrower would not be able to return the cash on the next day and ii) any potential failure in the banking system would lead to a collapse of the repo system, potentially making their ultra-safe collateral, impaired if not worthless. Hence, their desire to hold on to cash... and dear life."
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/th...ves-are-parked
Confidence is replaced by fear.

Reportedly, volatility is going to go crazy in October.
"stock volatility has been 25% higher in October on average since 1928, according to Goldman."
ALL the big crashes have hit in October.
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/go...-chaos-october

Thomas Cook has collapsed leaving thousands stranded.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...out-talks-fail
The ECB will have to mutualize all sovereign debt.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/johnmau...an-eu-breakup/
This means screwing over the Germans. And, how do they p[land to screw the Germans?
Armstrong, "In Germany, the Federal Minister of Research has said that the introduction of a special tax on carbon dioxide is virtually certain. Global warming research is funded by governments in order to raise taxes. They refuse to fund any research to the contrary because this is all about raising taxes. Germany will soon join Canada who imposed a $1,000 tax per home. Of course, where does this money go to stop their claimed global warming? "

Major Bank to Governments: Go on, Give us your Carbon Tax Money…
Mobilizing the Billions and Trillions for Climate Finance
Climate change is potentially a $7 Trillion dollar money maker for bankers
A carbon tax is the nudge the world needs | Financial Times
What a surprise.

Armstrong; "The constant intervention of the Federal Reserve into the REPO market is the result of a global dollar shortage on a monumental scale. There is a liquidity crisis unfolding as CONFIDENCE is collapsing in Europe and Asia. The Federal Reserve has been intervening into the REPO market in a desperate effort to maintain its lower target on interest rates."
"Despite the fact that early in 2019 the headlines were that foreign governments were dumping US debt spinning this into stories that the dollar would crash. In reality, selling of US debt at that point in time was an effort to stop the dollar’s rise. However, as the world economy continues to implode going into the bottom of the business cycle as measured by the Economic Confidence Model, exactly the opposite has been taking place."
"As more and more US debt is taken up overseas as a hedge against the rising risk of the punitive sanctions of canceling foreign currencies as Christine Lagarde is preparing to take charge of the European Central Bank in October, the panic into the dollar assets is removing US debt from domestic holdings resulting in a LIQUIDITY CRISIS beyond anything you will find in the traditional economic textbooks."
"So welcome to the new world where economic theories are crumbling before our eyes and falling to the floor as dust in a world that no longer exists. We are entering a new period of reality where whatever you thought was happening may prove to be the opposite."
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/m...uidity-crisis/

Armstrong, "It is like a trader who cannot understand the thinking process of a non-trader, and likewise the non-trader cannot understand the actions of a trader. Then there is the institutional trader. He has to answer to a board that has no concept of trading and they are supposed to oversee the trading division."
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/a...ittle-bubbles/

Bloomberg writes about "helicopter money"
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...now-a-hot-idea

9/23 ECB’s new interest rate policy “as long as it takes” huge failure already – Mish
They just can't understand why investors run away from hyper-sonic printing presses.
9/23 Booming securitized loan market has echoes of financial crisis, BIS warns – Reuters
We've seen this movie before. Hopefully, this time the bankers will be jumping from TALL buildings.
9/23 South Korean exports collapse 21% – biggest drop in a decade – Zero Hedge
9/22 Massive price reversion may be days or weeks away – Technical Traders
9/22 How the Fed’s funding struggles highlight the fragility of Wall Street confidence – MW
9/22 Look out bears! Fed new QE now up to $165 billion – Phil’s Stock World
9/22 Massive price reversion may be days or weeks away – Technical Traders
9/22 How the Fed’s funding struggles highlight the fragility of Wall Street confidence – MW


It seems that hard times have created quite a market for sugar-daddies,
https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/...t-prostitution

9/19 IBM will soon launch a 53-qubit quantum computer – Tech Crunch
9/23 Google’s “quantum supremacy” to render all secrets breakable – Summit
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Old 09-23-2019, 03:02 PM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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Damn, my long post just got zapped.
Things are a mess
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Old 09-24-2019, 03:49 AM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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Desperation everywhere,,, especially for Dems

Socialism is the firewall between the non-producers and,,, Darwinian pressures. Democracy is socialism-lite and, always, eventually breaks the bank. What happens when computers displace so many productive workers that all that is left is parasites?
At one time, bankers did an expert appraisal of the moral and financial qualifications of a prospective borrower / enterprise. In return, they received a fee. At one time, the State guarded the liberty and prosperity of the people in it's domain.
The current arrangement is; the bankers and the State are pure parasites with very little regard for the actual producer. This is nothing new and, generally continues until the system blows up. The manipulators grow rich and, the producers grow poor. The beggars, bankers and bureaucrats greatly outnumber the producers.
As crony-capitalism robs the producer, socialism starts to look more attractive.

America was founded as a democratic republic to try to find a balance between fascism and democracy. Creating the federal reserve gave fascism a big boost. The balance necessary to preserve a democratic republic suffered greatly in the drive to create an American empire. Fascism has run it's course and, the treasury is just as empty as it would have been under socialism.
Our faux democracy gets the blame.

Democracy Doomed the Money System By Bill Bonner September 19, 2019
"But most of America’s $72 trillion in debt cannot be repaid. It was used to buy consumer items – tuna sandwiches, vacations, automobiles, pills – and to pay for the feds’ many boondoggles – drones, surveillance, and giveaways.
There is no investment return from this kind of spending."
Not one mention of war.
"And since it was a consumer-based expansion rather than a capital investment boom, there will be no stream of income flowing from it to pay off the debt."
Yes, the military consumer has a budget of $1 trillion a year but, strangely has misplaced $23 trillion.

"Democracy is a scam. The plain people vote. But insiders – the elite, the cronies, the Deep State – make the important decisions. And these few can increase their own wealth and power only by taking it from the many they are meant to serve – the public."
No mention of the israeli lobby controlling the district of corruption.
"Meanwhile, inflation does little for real wealth. Producing businesses, measured by the Dow 30 – the flower of American capitalism – were worth $11,500 in January 2000. Today, those stocks will cost you $27,000 – barely a 2.4-times increase.

You would have made twice as much in capital gains from low-risk gold as from high-risk stocks over the last 20 years."
https://bonnerandpartners.com/democr...-money-system/
American war protesters were shot and killed at Kent State University. It wasn't democracy that gave us unending wars.

Mises;
"Negative interest rates are just the latest front in the post-2008 era of "extraordinary" monetary policy. They represent a Hail Mary pass from central bankers to stimulate more borrowing and more debt, though there is far more global debt today than in 2007. "
" Demand-side stimulus is the mania bequeathed to us by Keynes, or more accurately by his followers. It is the absurd idea, that an economy prospers by consuming and borrowing instead of producing and saving. "
Riigght Demand-side stimulus when wages are crashing
"Marxists think interest payments represent exploitation by capital owners lending to needful workers. The amount of interest paid in addition to the capital returned was stolen from the debtor, because the lender did not work for it (ignoring, of course, the capitalist lender's risk). "
Right, the CBs pumped in $247 trillion but, the lender "worked" for his money.
"Austrians stress the time element of interest rates, comparing the lender's willingness to forego present consumption against the borrower's desire to pay a premium for present consumption."
Warren Buffet has $72 billion in the bank. Just what kind of present consumption did he forego?
"Our job, among many, is to bring the insights of Austrian economics on money and banking to widespread attention before something truly calamitous happens."
https://mises.org/wire/negative-inte...e-civilization
The canary has died and, the horse has left the barn.

ZH
Mainstream Media Claims Middle Class Isn't Shrinking (By Redefining What It Means To Be 'Poor')
Theology Students Confess "Climate Sins" While Sitting In Front Of A Bunch Of Potted Plants...
Billionaire Hedge Fund Manager Paul Singer Hedges Against Upcoming Market Crash
UK's Thomas Cook Collapses After Rescue Talks Fail; 650,000 Travelers Stranded
Rabobank: There Won't Be A Trade Deal Breakthrough As China Would Have To Change Its Entire Economic Model
The Disconnect Between The Markets & Economy Has Grown

"With 1/5 of incomes dependent on government transfers, it is not surprising that the economy continues to struggle as recycled tax dollars used for consumption purposes have virtually no impact on the overall economy."

Chinese Firms Dump $40 Billion In Global Assets, Turn Net Seller For First Time In Decades
Raising cash
Karl Denniger.
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitic...amity-possible

Kunstler;
"I have a new theory about where the 2020 election is heading: if the Democratic Party candidate happens to lose, the party’s lawyers will unleash a blizzard of litigation in every voting district where the outcome was a couple of thousand ballots against them. It will be the 2000 “hanging chad” fracas on steroids and they will go so far as render the election inconclusive, therefore provoking the most parlous constitutional crisis since the start of the Civil War. In other words, they will dare to disable the republic."

"Something or somebody will have to put a stop to these seditious turpitudes. The machinery of the law must be turned on the “resistance” and its operatives in the Deep State. Mr. Barr has the opportunity to do that. A globe of silence has enclosed his doings for many months. Impatient observers jump to the conclusion that the silence means he is doing nothing. I am not so sure of that. Given the purposeful hysteria ginned up so dishonestly in the press — and so injuriously to the actual public interest — don’t you suppose he would want to avoid tossing dynamite into that dumpster fire? By the same token, those actively stoking the dumpster fire are revealing their utter desperation. The unexpected consequence will be the suicide of the Democratic Party. But then people don’t necessarily get what they expect, they get what they deserve."
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/...e-ukraine-gate

9/23 Forget stocks – money market is signaling possible troubles ahead – Forbes
9/23 Stock market’s eerie parallels to September 2007 should raise recession fears – MW
9/23 Thomas Cook’s liquidation wipes out travel company worth £1.85 billion – MW

A new form of war;
https://www.sundayguardianlive.com/o...r-taking-shape
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Old 09-24-2019, 03:13 PM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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Ending the possibility fo war between eastern and Western Europe

Seldom, do you see an article that has over one paragraph of actual information. Here is an article that is exemplary.
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitic...comment_stream
Remember that Keynes advocated for perpetual war to keep the economy stimulated. Post- Hiroshima, it became too destructive and dangerous to have perpetual war. The cold-war was born as a way to stimulate the economy without risking global irradiation. When the U.S.S.R. collapsed, a new bogeyman had to be found to justify an arms buildup. "They" couldn't allow peace to break out.
NATO had been created to counter a Russian invasion. Russia /USSR was never in any position to invade anybody. The war hawks pushed the expansion of NATO until it was on the border of Russia. They tried to provoke a war over Georgia and Crimea. This didn't work because the people were ethnic Russians.
NATO clearly had no purpose other than invading Russia.

Well, globalism is crashing. The permanent stimulus of a war economy has broken the bank. America has long sought to prevent a natural, mutually beneficial cooperation between Russia and Germany. THAT is exactly what is unfolding. Europe is trying to get away from the post-war American control. This is made especially difficult because the European Union is crashing. The atomic bomb brought peace to a destroyed Europe for long enough for them to integrate their economies to the point where war is no longer a workable position in western Europe. There is a very heavy integration between Russia and Germany. If things continue like this, there will be NO viable way to have a war betweenEastern Europe and Western Europe.

MSM and their handlers are hard at work to prevent peace with Eastern Europe. War with Russia is much preferred. "They" are furious with Nordstream because it would/will bring economic cooperation between Eastern and Western Europe. Cooperation leads to peace and, peace must be avoided.

Meanwhile, there is little recognition of the base problem.
AI Will Take People's Jobs But 'Can Be Leveraged to Create Whole New Economy', Conference Told

Automation And The Crisis Of Work

There might be a Whole New Economy but, it won't have very many wage-earners.
Roofing Drone Perfectly Nails Down Shingles Human Jobs Slipping Away To Hi-Tech - Vid
The article goes on to say that people who are displaced can find more interesting work.
Historic House Vote Approves Broad Marijuana Federalism
TONS of cash floating around and, the growers were prevented from depositing it in the banks. What did you think would happen?
They are trying to lock up all the cash from carbon credits. Pot cash is a natural.

9/24 Billionaire hedge fund manager hedges against upcoming market crash – ZH
9/24 Jim Welsh – Fed cuts to oblivion – Market Sanity
9/24 US will follow Germany, eurozone, China into recession – Mish

NO mention of Japan where GOV debt is 240% of GDP
9/24 The Fed’s $400 billion plan to bailout the repo market – Fortune
Still pumping money into the upper loop.
9/24 Draghi says ECB should examine new ideas like MMT – Bloomberg
Draghi is leaving and, Lagarde is strict austerity. Even now, it is too late to save the Eurozone.

9/24 The coming currency war: digital money vs. the dollar – GATA
It is digital money vs the CBs
9/24 Solar investment plunges amid panel glut – Oil Price
9/24 This “anti-solar panel” could generate power from darkness – Oil Price

9/24 A half-decade late, NY Post admits ISIS is run by NATO member Turkey – Zero Hedge
No mention of israel and Saudi Arabia and Great Britain.
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  #3475  
Old 09-25-2019, 01:35 AM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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Accelerating the slowdown

MSM has to turn a profit to stay in business. Alternative media does NOT,,, for the most part. Zero Hedge gets lots of contributors who are experts in a given field. Charles Hugh Smith, for example, asks for $5 a month from contributors. Most of the writers at ZH have some other business or some other income. If you are NOT being paid to write, there is little outside pressure. ZH has writers who are very much on top of things. Not wanting to burden you with too much reading, I try to stick to headlines and blurps.

The Latest Numbers Tell Us That The Global Economic Slowdown Is Accelerating Dramatically
Economists are already predicting “the world’s lowest growth in a decade”, but it is beginning to look like what we will be facing will be much worse than that...
Tesla Involved In Deadly Las Vegas Collision Continued Driving And Hit Four Nearby Pedestrians
"Police in Las Vegas are investigating a Tesla that ran a red light and caused a deadly crash "
So, who do you sue for wrongful death?
Central Bankers' Fatal Conceit: "The Goldilocks Syndrome"
"They actually believe that if they tinker enough, they can come up with a policy that will work “just right”"
They are trying to get rich without working and, so far, it is working.

Community Outraged After City Shuts Down Farm-Stand Run By Preschoolers
"It’s like something out of The Onion: city manager shuts down preschool farm stand out of fear that, if allowed, “we could end up with one on every corner."
Trigger'd?
Risk happens fast, especially when markets run on hopium with extended valuations.

How fast?
WTI Extends Losses After Second Weekly Surprise Crude Build
WTI hovered around $57 ahead of the data, and extended the day's ugly losses after API reported the second weekly surprise build in a row...

But, but, the frackers need a higher price.
"That's The Greatest Risk" - Head Of World's Largest PE Firm Warns Of "Asset Bubble Reckoning"

"Billionaires Shouldn't Exist": Bernie Proposes Tax To Cut Billionaire Wealth In Half
"Sanders’s plan to tax accumulated wealth, not just income, is particularly aggressive in how it would erode the fortunes of billionaires."
Cryptos Are Collapsing Led By Altcoin Bloodbath
"Unclear on what the catalyst could be, if anything news-wise, but cryptos are collapsing across the board with altcoins leading the plunge..."
Foreign Buyers Surge In Blistering 2Y Treasury Auction
Complementary to this article, you must read an article from Armstrong regarding capital flows.
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/w...ter-1929-high/
"The 1989 Bubble top in Japan was so severe like 1929 BECAUSE it had attracted capital from around the world which intensified the rally. But when the foreign investors sold, Japan crashed and burned because nobody understood the consequences of capital flows.
Even when the CIA came to us and wanted me to build this model for them and I declined, they understood we invented capital flow analysis and it was the key to the rise and fall of nations."

Insider Selling Hits 20 Year High As Stock Buybacks Soar
"Executives across the US are shedding stock in their own companies at the fastest pace in two decades, amid concerns that the long bull market in equities is reaching its final stages."
This is very interesting Armstrong sees capital flows continuing to lift the stock market.
Bitcoin Tumbles After Network Hash-Rate Mysteriously Flash-Crashes By 40%
Dollar Funding Shortage Accelerates As Both Overnight And Term Repo Oversubscribed
The banks are crying POOR and, dumping risky paper back to the FED.
'Work Less, Make More': Labour Party Introduces Plan For 4-Day Work Week

"...Millions are exhausted from overwork..."

Eat less and, live on the street.

"The Dam Could Break On Thursday": Here Are 12 Quotes That Signal Democrats Are Primed To Impeach Trump
It looks like they are really going to do it...

That whole Biden / Ukraine thing has caused a collective cerebral Aneurysm in the Dem party. They have shown their true colors. They hate anybody who is anti war.
Family investment offices are stashing $trillions to protect it AND, buy up everything after the crash.
https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-f...economic-storm
It's just not that simple. If Armstrong is correct and, the crash is in sovereign bonds, the government will have to stop consuming. That leaves the public to do all the buying and consuming. That isn't going to happen at a global mean wage.

9/24 Four collision courses for the global economy – Nouriel Roubini
https://www.project-syndicate.org/co...oubini-2019-09
9/24 Student debt hits a depressing $1.5 trillion. Where do we go from here? – MB 360
9/24 Negative interest rates in the United States: not any time soon – Forbes

They lie about the inflation rate so that they can claim that interest rates are not negative.:wall
9/24 BOJ’s Kuroda expounds on virtues of negative rates – Bloomberg
I'm sure that it was a very short speech.

9/24 Scared central banks face up to threats from climate change – Bloomberg
Hopefully, they will all commit suicide.
9/24 Why is most of the media circling the wagons to protect Hunter Biden? – NY Post I have no idea.
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Old 09-25-2019, 03:01 PM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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Comes the tribulation, riding on the back of automation

We are approaching a drawn out showdown between communism and fascism,,,, masquerading as crony capitalism. The problem has been brought to a crescendo by the inroads of automation. Boston Dynamics has an untethered robot that can do a gymnastics routine.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_sBBaNYex3E
It is a world for humans but, what niche will the humans have? The communists and redistributionists both have a point. The money renters want their niche to continue on undisturbed. The parasitic loads on the State grow as more politicians give more promises for more votes. Productive capacity grows but, the number of productive employees is shrinking. The operating system of capitalism is unsuited for an automated economy. Mankind is NOT suited for a life of leisure. The whole world is thrashing around trying to find an accommodation for a fast growing population of people who have no productive niche.
The family structure has been destroyed by the bankers. Mental health is suffering greatly. Too many people are cast adrift from family and society. Everybody who has a niche wants things to continue as is,,, even though technology guarantees that it WON'T.

I need to heavily quote Armstrong. I have faulted him because his database could not have a long baseline for automation,,,, birth control,,, instant capital transfer,,,,,, forced immigration to destroy tribal continuity.
Armstrong seems to think (MAYBE correctly) that the computer can project the future without a baseline.

REPLY: This is what I have been saying. You cannot forecast something you have never witnessed that has not taken place before. It takes a computer with a vast database to see things unfold according to historical patterns, but in markets that event has never existed before.
Sorry, I need to do a lot more cites from him.
“When you see that in order to produce, you need to obtain permission from men who produce nothing; when you see that money is flowing to those who deal not in goods, but in favors; when you see that men get rich more easily by graft than by work, and your laws no longer protect you against them, but protect them against you. . . you may know that your society is doomed.”
Here, Armstrong agrees with Ayn Rand in condemning fascism but, much of the rest of the article condemns socialism. Condemning socialism is a natural for capitalists but, they have NEVER offered an alternative or cure for automation. They suggest "retraining"

They cannot survive without trying to live off of other people’s money. What happens when the productive class refuses to produce? When “Atlas Shrugged,” it all comes crashing down.
Keep them poor enough and, they can't refuse to get up and go to work.
“Atlas Shrugged” has been ranked as #2 in the most influential books just behind the Bible. People like Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren refuse to listen. They want to create utopia for themselves, convert the productive class into slaves, and expect them to work without enjoying the fruits of their own labor.
So buckle up. We are going to witness things many never even thought were possible. This may be the real confrontation between good & evil.

Sorry, it just isn't that simple.

I mean what I say that the central banks are TRAPPED!!!!! People have NO IDEA what we face. The system is unraveling but not even those in government have understood how it was interwoven to begin with. This is all part of how we are heading into a major Monetary Crisis Cycle
The system started unravelling when the first computer was used in business.
If you just play out what has taken place in socialism, there will be $400 trillion of unfunded liabilities by the time we get to 2032.
Denominating everything with a $$$$$$$$ sign is the problem. Is there a $ value to a new baby? EVERYTHING comes to a crashing halt without babies.
Governments have functioned on vote for me and I will rob someone else for you legally with a pen. This is how ALL Republics die. The very purpose of civilization was that coming together created a synergy that was beneficial for all. When government has always turned against one class for the benefit of another, the purpose of civilization ceases to exist
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/a...dity-crisis-2/
Armstrong decries socialism when it was fascism (brought on by regulatory capture) that makes socialism attractive.

Armstrong The entire climate change issue has become a covert means in this final confrontation between the left and the right. This is the very issue that will destroy the Western Society for it has been elevated to such heights and governments love it for all they see is more power and money. The activists behind the curtain are simply Marxists who are determined to make communism work one more time.
This truly isn't accurate. It is the banks that want the carbon-credits money. It is the blob state bureaucrats that wants all the wage and pension money to continue.
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/w...act-was-535ad/

"There has been some talk about a “monetary reset” in the future, how do you see it play out and what role do you think precious metals could have if there is a reset?"
Armstrong; ANSWER: There will NEVER be such a reset that returns to a gold standard. There is absolutely no likelihood of that happening, for it would mean that socialism has come to an end. There could be no unfunded promises, pensions, etc. It is just total nonsense.
The reset will be in the bond market, NOT in currency. UBI will be the centerpiece of the reset.
Moreover, absolutely EVERY attempt to fix or peg currencies throughout the centuries has FAILED!!!!
BONDS, BONDS, BONDS
Bretton Woods and the gold standard failed because they tried to fix or peg the dollar to $35 an ounce of gold, but then they spent freely and waged the Korean and Vietnam wars.
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/m...cy-reset-gold/

9/25 China’s hottest startups struggle for cash amid trade war – Bloomberg

9/25 What has frightened Wall Street banks from lending in the repo market? – PSW

That is what happens in a liquidity crisis.
9/25 Forty states in the U.S. do not have enough money to pay their bills – Forbes
That is what happens when the blob state votes for high wages and high pensions.
9/25 Peoria residents face new property tax fee devoted entirely to pensions – IP
9/24 Insider selling hits 20 year high as stock buybacks soar – Zero Hedge
9/24 Draghi open to MMT and a people’s QE – Mish

That's what happens when you have a liquidity crisis.

9/25 Bitcoin, ethereum, ripple’s xrp, and litecoin in shock meltdown – Forbes
9/24 Bitcoin falls sharply as litecoin suddenly crashes – Forbes
9/24 Bitcoin network hash rate mysteriously flash crashes by 40% – Coin Telegraph

Did you hear that the same thing happened to gold?? ,,, Neither did I.
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  #3477  
Old 09-26-2019, 02:47 AM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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Still slipping away

C.H. Smith; The financial storm clouds are gathering, and no, I'm not talking about impeachment or the Fed and repo troubles--I'm talking about much more serious structural issues, issues that cannot possibly be fixed within the existing financial system.
Yes, I'm talking about the cost structure of our society: earned income has stagnated while costs have soared, and households have filled the widening gap with debt they cannot afford to service once the long-delayed recession grabs the economy by the throat.
Everywhere we look, we find households, enterprises and local governments barely able to keep their heads above water--in the longest expansion in recent history. This is as good as it gets, and we're only able to pay our bills by borrowing more, draining rainy-day funds or playing accounting tricks.


The expansion was a torrent of new money channelled into the upper loop. This money inflation predictably created price inflation that reduced the effective purchasing power of most people.
" But asset bubbles always pop, and once they do, the wealth effect reverses and people feel poorer as the value of their homes and portfolios decline. They borrow and spend less, and all the capital gains that boosted local tax revenues dry up, too.
Here's reality: wages haven't kept up with expenses. "


WSJ "Families Go Deep in Debt to Stay in the Middle Class
Wages stalled but costs haven't, so people increasingly rent or finance what their parents might have owned outright Median household income in the U.S. was $61,372 at the end of 2017, according to the Census Bureau. When inflation is taken into account, that is just above the 1999 level."
True inflation makes this even worse.
"This leaves politicians with one easy way out: borrow enough money to satisfy the demands of every constituency, every clique of insiders and every vested interest. Rather than re-aligning costs with our ability to pay, we're going to use debt to keep all the constituencies happy."
oftwominds-Charles Hugh Smith: Financial Storm Clouds Gather
Now, Smith is a smart guy. NO MENTION of UBI and channelling debt-free money into the lower loop.

Zero Hedge;
Day Trading Bitcoin: Why 95% Of Traders Lose Money And Fail
Three Suicides On USS George H.W. Bush In One Week Sparks Crisis

Sorry for the sailors but, more and more people are seeing war as pointless.
"Who Could Have Known?" ...What The Repo Fiasco Entails
"...the Fed will have to walk back from their early assurances that the 'exit would be easy'..."
The bankers are dumping all their risk assets on the FED. Contagion is making everything risky.

One Of The Biggest ECB Hawks Unexpectedly Resigns In Opposition To Draghi's Massive Easing
Sink or swim.
Desperate Democrats Dig Deep: "Throwing Joe Biden Under The Bus"
"Democratic Party members smell something, and they think they’re sure is blood, without ever contemplating it might be their own..."
Repo Market Guru: "Whatever Changed Last Week Is Clearly Still A Problem"
""The fact that we’re discussing a quarter trillion dollars is telling as to the depth of the constraint in repo."
Von Greyerz: "Whole Financial System Disappearing Into Black Hole"
He's a gold guy but, he's pretty sharp.

Will The US Become A Socialist Country?
"..in essence, the US is between two-thirds and three-quarters socialist now, depending upon your assessment of what a government should manage."
The Fed Created The Everything Bubble And A Liquidity Crisis - What Happens Next?
"It is important to realize that the Fed has not “lost control” of the situation... rather, the Fed is perfectly aware of the damage it is causing, and it is perfectly aware of how much this chaos will benefit certain globalist organizations."
That has yet to be seen.
https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b...?itok=2NkYtx4K

9/25 As Democrats begin Trump impeachment, key ‘Russiagate’ case may be imploding – RT
Shoot yourself in the other foot.
9/25 BOJ ready to ease again if price momentum lost, risks grow – Reuters
Even Forest Gump would be mystified.
9/25 Unprofitable companies rise most IPO cash since dot-com era – Bloomberg
I'm sure that all of this will work out fine.
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  #3478  
Old 09-27-2019, 03:04 AM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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Funding problems as far as the eye can see

Negative interest rates are destroying everything they touch. Savers are hurt badly.
Ellen Brown explains why America does not need NIRP. She also mentions other problems.
"First is the massive market for money market funds, which are more important to daily market functioning in the U.S. than in Europe and Japan. If interest rates go negative, the funds could see large-scale outflows, which could disrupt short-term funding for businesses, banks and perhaps even the Treasury. Consumers could also face new charges to make up for bank losses.

Second, the U.S. dollar is inextricably tied up with the market for interest rate derivatives, which is currently valued at over $500 trillion. As proprietary analyst Rob Kirby explains, the economy would crash if interest rates went negative, because the banks holding the fixed-rate side of the swaps would have to pay the floating-rate side as well. The derivatives market would go down like a stack of dominoes and take the U.S. economy with it."

Assuming the large-scale asset purchases made at some future date were of federal securities, the federal government would be financing its debt virtually interest-free, since the Fed returns its profits to the Treasury after deducting its costs. And if the bonds were rolled over when due and held by the Fed indefinitely, the money could be had not only interest-free but debt-free. That is not radical theory but is what is actually happening with the Fed’s bond purchases in its earlier QE. When it tried to unwind those purchases last fall, the result was a stock market crisis. The Fed is learning that QE is a one-way street.

https://www.truthdig.com/articles/tr...omic-disaster/
The FED is, of course, trapped. I believe that "they" prefer formalized UBI over haphazard QE.

9/26 Dozens of failed climate predictions stretch 80 years back – Epoch Times
Yep, they ignored space weather until Piers Corbyn came along.
I do have to mention Jennifer Lawson who was doing space weather work / predictions before everybody else.
9/26 First gas station to ditch oil for electric vehicle charging now open – CNBC
Tesla Police Car Runs Out of Battery During High Speed Chase

Parting gift from Super Mario Draghi,
9/26 Euro-area money supply grows at fastest pace since 2009 – Bloomberg

9/26 California’s pension debt cannot be ignored – OC Register
A decade ago, at Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger’s request, I supervised a graduate student team that performed a comprehensive analysis of public pensions in California.

The goal was to calculate California’s pension debt, the difference between assets and liabilities.

The team’s conclusions: the unfunded liability was over $500 billion—seven times the number officially reported. That was in 2008.
Based on recently-reported public pension assets and estimated liabilities, that figure is now more than $1.109 trillion, an increase of $56 billion. That translates into $81,300 of pension debt per California household.


https://www.ocregister.com/2019/09/2...ot-be-ignored/
9/26 SF residents buy boulders, place them on sidewalk to thwart homeless tents – SF Gate
But, but, what about sanctuary status?

9/26 U.S. business investment much weaker in Q2 than previously estimated – Reuters
9/26 Second term repo oversubscribed as funding shortage keeps getting worse – ZH

The various private banks are finding more and more garbage to dump on the FED for cash.

Why is this important? Because it means that there is a supply/demand shortfall. Multiple banks and corporations need to borrow money on a short term basis to keep their operations functioning. This makes sense; US companies are currently weighed down by more debt than they were before the crash of 2008. The problem is, no one wants to lend that cash to them right now.
I wonder why.

Warren Buffet's company, Berkshire Hathaway, for example, is holding a record $122 billion in cash. What do Berkshire and other cash heavy companies know that we do not? Generally, companies hoard cash when they are expecting an economic crisis, and, in a way, this cash hoarding can actually contribute to an exponential credit collapse.

I assert that the Fed is deliberately maintaining the liquidity crisis while trying to make it look like they are “taking action”. The Fed creates bubbles and then pops those bubbles by tightening liquidity into economic weakness. When they do ease credit conditions, it is almost always well after the avalanche has already started.

They did the same thing at the onset of the Great Depression, causing the crash to expand rather than retreat, as Ben Bernanke publicly admitted in 2002. They also kept crash conditions in credit markets hidden when Alan Greenspan shut down all conversation with the public on the housing bubble. And, today the Fed continues to fraudulently claim the US economy is strong and in recovery, and has even fired Simon Potter, the official most equipped to handle a repo lending crisis – the same official that warned the Fed response is basically too little too late.

The Fed Created The Everything Bubble And A Liquidity Crisis - What Happens Next?
"first by a process of inflation,, then by deflation, the banks come to own everything"

The attacks on Trump may very well bring down everything.
https://tomluongo.me/2019/09/24/coup...ck-everywhere/
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Old 09-27-2019, 03:14 PM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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Worldwide corruption and failed Marxism

In early 1993, the Russian Ministry of Internal Affairs reported there were over 5,000 organized crime groups operating in Russia. These groups were comprised of an estimated 100,000 members with a leadership of 18,000
Federation of American Scientists
Gangster's paradise: how organised crime took over Russia ...
https://www.theguardian.com
A Tangled Web: Organized Crime and Oligarchy in Putin's Russia
Special treatment gives Israeli mobsters free access to US soil .
Is Israel becoming a mafia state? | The Times of Israel


All criminal enterprises need banks. They need corrupt bankers. Trump and Putin are trying to clean things up. Netanayahooo has been convicted of 3 major corruption charges. His "co- PM" Gantz is a wanted war criminal.
Back to Russia;
Danske Bank's Estonian branch is at the heart of one of the largest money-laundering scandals, with €200 billion ($220 billion) of suspicious funds flowing from Russia, Moldova, and Azerbaijan, for at least a decade. The amount of money that was transferred was equivalent to 10 times Estonia's GDP, mostly originating from Russia.
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/da...dal-found-dead

Netanayahoo is absolutely apoplectic about both Trump and Putin. Their tag-team is cutting into the profits of organized crime. The Russian-israeli crime families would risk thermonuclear (and worse) warfare just to keep the crime families in power.
The democratic party is desperate for funds. They have signed up with organized crime to keep the party going. They reek of DESPERATION. This kind of desperation does NOT play well at election time.
Organized crime is making a HUGE push to maintain control.
Several years ago, there was an Italian prosecutor who went after the Red Brigade. He travelled in a bullet proof limo. Out of desperation, the Red Brigade put 1,000 kilos of explosives in a culvert that the prosecutor regularly drove over. They got him in the end.

Armstrong;
COMMENT: Every ISM has failed. Maybe we are seeing the twilight of Capitalism.
China is a hybrid. Maybe that is why it will be the next world power.
CM

REPLY: People confuse capitalism with corruption. Capitalism is your freedom to choose. Corruption is when republics are available for sale to the highest bidder.
The central problem is thta it takes lots of money to run a campaign. You have to sell your soul and independence to run for office.
"Congress spends 70% of its time selling favors and trying to raise money for the next election. Term limits will end that. It will end the lobbying motto: “Do as I ask and I will fund your next election.”"
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/a...id-capitalism/
There is a youtube vid of congress giving 23 standing ovations to Netanayahooo

Armstrong;
QUESTION: What do you say about the difference between corporate socialism and democratic socialism. Thank you. Its all the buzz among those supporting Senator Elizabeth Warren.

LP

ANSWER: This is a very clever way of excusing the core issue. The Democrats preach raising taxes and then sell loopholes to the big corporations. The bankers donated to Hillary — not to Trump. This is a clever campaign assuming, as always, the people (the great unwashed) are just stupid.

The Democrats were against the flat tax because it would eliminate lobbying for tax loopholes. But more importantly, if we had TERM LIMITS and one-time-and-gone, that would eliminate lobbying for dangling money before politicians of BOTH parties for favored status.

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/w...-the-majority/

Code orange
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/f...-orange-alert/
The coup has begun – The empire strikes back everywhere – Tom Luongo
Well, organized crime is everywhere. What do you expect?
9/27 Repo meltdown shows budget deficit has limits – Bloomberg
The meltdown just shows which securities the banks are unloading because of risk.
9/26 U.S. business investment much weaker in Q2 than previously estimated – Reuters
And why is this important??
US Shale In A State Of "Deep Anxiety", Survey Signals Capex Collapse Imminent
CAPEX is capacity expansion. The well-depletion rate for shale is horrendous. If they don't do furious expansion, productivity crashes. Shale has lost $280 billion and counting.
https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/us-...lapse-imminent

The RICO Act as a shot-across-the-bow of criminal bankers. VERY good read. More of the Trump effect of going after EVERYBODY regardless of their power.
https://www.streetwisereports.com/ar...way-comes.html
The coming default cascade is coming onto view like a massive iceberg in the path of the Ship-of-State. The blob State is comprised of people who can do nothing but shuffle papers to each other. Their wage and pension demands have broken the bank in true Marxist fashion. This is NO accident. The Cloward-Piven strategy out of Chicago calls for GOV to be brought down by excessive demands from non-producers. They imagine that a bright new Phoenix will rise up out of the ashes. What will the lefties do when the phoenix fails to appear? You can bet your last bullet that they will blame Trump. Then what?
https://www.naturalnews.com/2019-09-...ng-cities.html
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Last edited by Danny B; 09-28-2019 at 02:10 PM. Reason: spelllling
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  #3480  
Old 09-28-2019, 04:39 PM
Danny B Danny B is online now
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Global warming tax ,,,, capital flows

Now that global warming has been elevated to a religion, you can bet that money is behind ALL of it.
Back in 2010 the head of Working Group 3 of the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Dr Otmar Edenhofer, told an interviewer, “…one must say clearly that we redistribute de facto the world’s wealth by climate policy. One has to free oneself from the illusion that international climate policy is environmental policy. This has almost nothing to do with environmental policy anymore, with problems such as deforestation or the ozone hole.” Since then the economic policy strategy has become far more developed.

Make no mistake. When the most influential multinational corporations, the world’s largest institutional investors including BlackRock and Goldman Sachs, the UN, the World Bank, the Bank of England and other central banks of the BIS line up behind the financing of a so-called green Agenda, call it Green New Deal or what, it is time to look behind the surface of public climate activist campaigns to the actual agenda. The picture that emerges is the attempted financial reorganization of the world economy using climate, something the sun and its energy have orders of magnitude more to do with than mankind ever could—to try to convince us ordinary folk to make untold sacrifice to “save our planet.”
https://www.globalresearch.ca/climat...-trail/5690209

Marvellous idea
Impose a carbon tax on everybody. Use the money to fund the poor so that they can reproduce even more. That will definitely fix global warming.

US wasted billions in Afghanistan while China developed infrastructure – and now New York has bumpy roads, jokes Pakistani PM
Wadayoumean wasted? The bankers made $billions by creating a vertical market for popie-opium-heroin.

9/28 Trump administration deliberates block on all US investments in China – CNBC
Kick em while they're down.
9/28 The Fed is girding for repo trouble Monday even as market calms – Bloomberg
9/28 Metro Bank teeters after bond sale fails. Shares collapsed 95% – Wolf Street

95%,,, is that all?
Realistically, what’s left to power asset prices higher? – Adam Taggart, Peak Prosperity
So, what is left?
Armstrong; "Our models based upon reliable source flow data is currently showing that the Eurozone is the NUMBER ONE place in the world with the greatest amount of capital fleeing than any other region in worldwide. This is indicating that the CONFIDENCE in the Euro Project appears to be collapsing "
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/i...world-economy/
Capital Flows Not Central Banks Are Holding Up US Economy ...
https://www.armstrongeconomics

Martin Armstrong: How Do Empires Die? Capital Flight, Not Hyperinflation

Capital flows
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/w...capital-flows/
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/a...market-trends/
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