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Old 01-04-2016, 05:33 AM
Danny B Danny B is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2012
Location: L.A. Ca.
Posts: 3,695
Avoiding world war three

I hate to start a new thread for something trivial. War is never trivial. The great powers of the world are marshalling their forces and arming. There have been proxy wars. Unfortunately, they are heating up. The latest episode is the murder of an Iranian cleric.
Iranians Burns Saudi Embassy In Tehran Over Nimr Murder
Iraq's al-Maliki 'Reaffirms' Saudi Arabia Will Be Destroyed

Genie Energy confirmed that it has discovered oil and gas in this occupied territory held by Israel on the Golan Heights, which is formally the territory of, guess who Syria. So while the pipeline issue was the real reason behind Obama wanting to invade Syria, we now have to add Israel to this mix Oil | Armstrong Economics
Most people have no idea in the West what a Sunni-Shiite conflict is all about and that this has been a cyclical trend between peace and war since Muhammad died in 632. Sunni-Shiite Civil War | Armstrong Economics
Pox Americana tried to get a war with NATO started in Ukraine. Putin wouldn't fall for it. Pox Americana tried to get a war going with Turkey and Russia. Putin sidestepped direct war. Israel wants the gas and oil in the Golan Heights. The United Nations said that the Golan Heights belongs to Syria. There are ongoing efforts to drive Syria back to the stone age so that that israel can just walk in and take the oil.
The execution of Nimr is an attempt to get Iran to attack. If pox Americana can't provoke Putin, maybe it can provoke Iran. Russia is directly backing Iran. U.S. is backing Turkey. China is siding with Russia. Europe is starting to get the idea that america is going to put them through the meat grinder.

Saudi attacked Yemen knowing that Iran would probably support them. Turkey is going into both Syria and Iraq. Chechens and Pakistani fighters are going to Daesh. Hezbollah is in Syria. Hezbollah could over run israel. Iran is flooding the oil markets and Saudi Arabia is fast going broke. The saudi Wahhabis are real nutcases but, executing a cleric to provoke Iran is worse than stupid.

The neo-cons seem to believe that they can make Russia and China back down. Armstrong' "This is not a Christmas message I cared to write. Oil will be VERY CRITICAL as a signal for 2016 because we also have the War Cycle that turned up in 2014 and is now moving sharply higher into 2017."
Turkey, israel, Russia and Pakistan all have nukes. Russia has their doomsday device; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dead_H...nuclear_war%29
If Pox Americana can't get Putin or Iran to do something stupid, maybe it can get Saudi or Turkey to do something adequately stupid to start a wider war. Saudi faces revolution when it goes broke. Yemen is kicking Saud butt with Iranian weapons. The Sauds have to be pretty stupid to think that war is better than revolution.
The great danger is that the proxies will drag in the major players. iran can easily attack Kharg island and shut down Saudi oil production. Iran can easily shut down the Straights of Hormuz. They only need to attack one tanker and insurance rates will become prohibitive. Putin is not going to back down. That would mean the destruction of Russia and the later destruction of China.
Any of these things could happen. There are too many STUPID people with their finger on the button.
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